yoda Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, psuhoffman said: @yoda Where is the secondary forming at 144? It hasn't fully formed yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, yoda said: It hasn't fully formed yet just saw your surface map.... that is pretty textbook if it were not for that vortex over Maine I would say its bob chill face worthy...but that complicates things. Could squash the secondary development due east...we need it to gain a little latitude from where its at 144...not a lot but ideally we want it to move NE from there to off the delmarva then east. It might move due east under that vortex in NE 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: just saw your surface map.... that is pretty textbook if it were not for that vortex over Maine I would say its bob chill face worthy...but that complicates things. Could squash the secondary development due east...we need it to gain a little latitude from where its at 144...not a lot but ideally we want it to move NE from there to off the delmarva then east. It might move due east under that vortex in NE You are forgetting the perfectly timed NS system over the Dakotas. That's going to yank it back into the coast and create a stalemate tug of war. Probably crawls from VA to ME over the following 48hrs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, Amped said: You are forgetting the perfectly timed NS system over the Dakotas. That's going to yank it back into the coast and create a stalemate tug of war. Probably crawls from VA to ME over the following 48hrs. I said its complicated not it wont work. I see that option...I also could see that "capture" missing and the storm slides out. Both are possible permutations. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Geps trend last 4 runs... ok the south trend can stop now 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 4 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Geps trend last 4 runs... ok the south trend can stop now We know how this will end (see the 1/28 system at 144 hrs out). Like watching the same thing. Deja vu Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 This one... we get to pick right? Isn’t that how it works? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 8 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: We know how this will end (see the 1/28 system at 144 hrs out). Like watching the same thing. Deja vu This one is coming across at a higher latitude...the blocking is relaxing... I do think there is a limit to how far south this gets suppressed...but if you told me we get no snow from this wave...I guess gun to my head...it gets squashed is still the bigger risk vs it cuts enough to be all rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 00z Euro at 120 has 998mb SLP in N OK and 1035mb HP in Quebec at 120 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, yoda said: 00z Euro at 120 has 998mb SLP in N OK and 1035mb HP in Quebec at 120 Thats souther 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 This run is on track to deliver Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 00z Para drops 6 to 10 inches across the region for Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 1006mb SLP in SW IN at 144 FWIW... no precip in DCA through 144. CMC and UKIE and para GFS had snow falling at DCA by 132ish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 3 minutes ago, yoda said: 00z Para drops 6 to 10 inches across the region for Monday Doesn't do the capture phase thing not even close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 1 minute ago, yoda said: 1006mb SLP in SW IN at 144 FWIW... no precip in DCA through 144. CMC and UKIE and para GFS had snow falling at DCA by 132ish Previous run had the WAA snow falling apart too.. interestingly enough its on its own in that regard it seems Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Mod snow at DCA at 150 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 2 minutes ago, yoda said: 1006mb SLP in SW IN at 144 FWIW... no precip in DCA through 144. CMC and UKIE and para GFS had snow falling at DCA by 132ish Weaker wave and primary. Dont want to be that guy but signs of shearing evident. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Going to be a close shave at 156... still mod snow at DCA... new SLP by VA/NC border Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 6 minutes ago, yoda said: 00z Para drops 6 to 10 inches across the region for Monday Yea the coastal gets suppressed but a nice front WAA thump. Ji: but we lost 18”, at this rate by tomorrow we’re going to owe it snow 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Still taking too long with the transfer on the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Further OTS coastal than 12z. I95 still changes but Leesburg to FDK still snow at 168 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 11 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: This run is on track to deliver 3 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Weaker wave and primary. Dont want to be that guy but signs of shearing evident. ? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just offshore Delmarva at 168... 992mb... big hit 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 WB 0Z EURO Mon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, psuhoffman said: ? Lol Tired. Eyes failing. I'll let u guys pbp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 ? LolSmh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 its a pretty big hit. 12" at DCA and still snowing 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 R/S line comes crashing back at 168hrs closed H7 over the Del Marva. I say lockitin. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Moved west a tad at 174 as SLP is now in DE at 993mb... snowing everywhere Still snowing at 180 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, Deck Pic said: A @Deck Pic face? Uh oh... git to be a great run lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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