nj2va Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Isobars starting to bend towards the NC coast at 132...transfer should be beginning I’d think. eta: primary holding on too long Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Snowing at DCA at 126 ETA: still snowing at 132... but getting mixy just southDon't like it...still too north but its trending south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, Ji said: 2 minutes ago, yoda said: Snowing at DCA at 126 ETA: still snowing at 132... but getting mixy just south Don't like it...still too north but its trending south 18z was up by the OH/MI border at 144... 138 00z is in SE OH (SLP that is) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Snowing at DCA at 126 ETA: still snowing at 132... but getting mixy just southSurface temps at 7am is disaster https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=neus&pkg=T2m&runtime=2021012600&fh=132 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Lol GFS moves the SLP position S by about 400 miles at 150... then moves east at 156.. okay then Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Isobars starting to bend towards the NC coast at 132...transfer should be beginning I’d think. eta: primary holding on too long Not even close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Wtf is gfs doing lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 You know, all the models have this strange double tap thing going on in some form or fashion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Lol light snow again at 159/162 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 You know, all the models have this strange double tap thing going on in some form or fashionLet's tap it from nc not nj Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 1 minute ago, Ji said: Wtf is gfs doing lol Looks like it’s still trying to work out how our 60 hour snowfall happens. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 last 5 gfs runs 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 .75 qpf over 69 hours. Impressive rates 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 9 minutes ago, Ji said: Surface temps at 7am is disaster https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=neus&pkg=T2m&runtime=2021012600&fh=132 ask me how much I care about the surface temp on the GFS at 132 hours. I dare ya Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, Ji said: .75 qpf over 69 hours. Impressive rates March 1958 this is not 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 00z CMC at 144 has a 1039mb HP up in N Quebec and a 1006mb SLP on the IN/KY border Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Siberian-Snowcover-Myth Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Old Yeller > GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 It be cool to get 5 inches of snow and then 75 hours of light snow showers 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 00z CMC at 144 has a 1039mb HP up in N Quebec and a 1006mb SLP on the IN/KY borderIs that north or south of 12z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 8 minutes ago, stormtracker said: You know, all the models have this strange double tap thing going on in some form or fashion Two vorts one trough Lead wave is dying as it runs into the block...second wave re-amplifies and sparks a secondary coastal. This setup has happened before but its "complicated". I know I know...we dont do...but if we keep getting pretty darn good setups, even if complicated...eventually you would think law of averages would be on our side. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 3 minutes ago, Ji said: .75 qpf over 69 hours. Impressive rates ask me how much I care about the GFS qpf at 132 hours...go ahead I dare ya 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 ask me how much I care about the surface temp on the GFS at 132 hours. I dare ya How much do you care about gfs surface temps at 132? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Two vorts one trough Lead wave is dying as it runs into the block...second wave re-amplifies and sparks a secondary coastal. This setup has happened before but its "complicated". I know I know...we dont do...but if we keep getting pretty darn good setups, even if complicated...eventually you would think law of averages would be on our side. So after all what we've gone thru..were going to win with a Miller b lol? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 How about no QPF through 144 lolHuh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 2 minutes ago, Ji said: 3 minutes ago, yoda said: How about no QPF through 144 lol Huh? I deleted it... looking at wrong frames Looks like just a tad too late for transfer as well on CMC tonight as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 If psu promise of a south trend continues. .well be in fantastic shape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 CMC has an even more aggressive cold push in front of the storm. But it also amplifies the primary a little too much and so the transfer happens a little slower and further north...Not the improvement I wanted to see but not a bad run either. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 My eyes.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, Ji said: If psu promise of a south trend continues. .well be in fantastic shape The cold push trended south...even with the further north primary the temperatures (other then right as the primary jumps over us) are colder. NW of 95 stays all snow. But we kind of get screwed on precip...the initial WAA thump goes southeast of us (colder press suppresses that)...then the redevelopment is mostly north...we are in a screwzone of lighter precip in between. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 I know its not what Ji wants... but I'll take 4 to 6 inches on the CMC tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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