Ralph Wiggum Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 2 hours ago, stormtracker said: The Para is ridiculous. Lol. Canadian like with that double tap. So nice it tapped it twice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 6 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: I would forfeit 10 consecutive winters to experience 93 again. This time being able to follow models in advance of it. You kinda did to experience 2016. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 6 minutes ago, HighStakes said: March 1956 and 1960 had impressive storms also. 1960 also had sustained cold. I don't think we give the March 2018 enough due. For late March you cant do much better. 2018 was impressive. We had snowcover for almost a week in late March. That’s crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Trend last 3 gefs 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Trend last 3 gefs Dang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 18 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: 2018 was impressive. We had snowcover for almost a week in late March. That’s crazy. I forget which one it was, but one of those storms had the heaviest snow I’ve ever seen for a sustained period. White out and thunder for a few hours it was incredible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Now we all know the 00z runs will fool us over and pull the rug out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Trend last 3 GEPS 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Trend last 3 gefs You really want to go there? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 93' Wind blew and ground blizzards for days . Never practiced on the baseball field the whole month of March lol. 1st game was 1st time outside in April Agree 2018 underrated 93 was my favorite storm ever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, psuhoffman said: Trend last 3 GEPS You still feel with better spacing this might be the one ? This potential storm has support across several models and ensembles, not that it means much, but just saying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 4 minutes ago, yoda said: Now we all know the 00z runs will fool us over and pull the rug out It'll wait until Tuesday or Wednesday to rug pull. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, Ji said: 4 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Trend last 3 gefs You really want to go there? I’m just showing the trend across guidance is shifting south. Hopefully not too far south but this wave is starting out a lot further north so I do think there is a limit to how suppressed it gets. But we fall into the trap of trying to pull details we know aren’t possible to see at range. All we can say is the setup is there for a snowstorm along the east coast next weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 1 minute ago, losetoa6 said: @psuhoffman There's still a few snowpiles from 40 days ago . Now that's impressive imo from a mid December storm There was a lot of water content in that storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, losetoa6 said: @psuhoffman There's still a few snowpiles from 40 days ago . Now that's impressive imo from a mid December storm Funny coincidence I was thinking the same a couple days ago and then today I saw a big snowpile left in Reisterstown at the shopping center across from Franklin high School 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
benjammin Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Not that great (93) for snow in Arlington as it turned to sleet but the wind was fierce. Sent from my moto z3 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 38 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: I followed it on the weather channel back then . Tornado outbreak to blizzard and all in between Consider ... a storm that stretched from Canada to Honduras ... 4” of snow in the Florida panhandle, in Mid March .... 69” of snow in Mt. LeConte in Tn. ... 100 mph winds .... 960 mb pressure 4 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 23 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said: I forget which one it was, but one of those storms had the heaviest snow I’ve ever seen for a sustained period. White out and thunder for a few hours it was incredible. You’re thinking of March 7-8 2018. That one totally screwed me. One of the worst short range busts here in a long time. EVERY piece of guidance was giving me 6-10” of snow literally 12 hours before it was supposed to start. But miller b transfers are always tricky and the low developed about 50 miles east of expected and I got fringed. Only about an inch. The big storm later in the month took the sting out of that one a little. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 4 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: You’re thinking of March 7-8 2018. That one totally screwed me. One of the worst short range busts here in a long time. EVERY piece of guidance was giving me 6-10” of snow literally 12 hours before it was supposed to start. But miller b transfers are always tricky and the low developed about 50 miles east of expected and I got fringed. Only about an inch. The big storm later in the month took the sting out of that one a little. That the one where that GL low screwed up something in the timing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 You’re thinking of March 7-8 2018. That one totally screwed me. One of the worst short range busts here in a long time. EVERY piece of guidance was giving me 6-10” of snow literally 12 hours before it was supposed to start. But miller b transfers are always tricky and the low developed about 50 miles east of expected and I got fringed. Only about an inch. The big storm later in the month took the sting out of that one a little. That march was incredibly frustrating with near misses ...kinda like this January Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 35 minutes ago, frd said: You still feel with better spacing this might be the one ? This potential storm has support across several models and ensembles, not that it means much, but just saying. It has potential. But so did Thursday. Look at this... that’s beautiful if you just get rid of that freaking crap wave that decides to stall and sit over the northeast all week (it’s still snowing up there as the Thursday wave passes to the south) and that stupid mini TPV on top. The NE wave is preventing the ridging from going up as well we pulling the 50/50 westward and the tpv is flattening the flow on top. The combo keeps the wave progressive and positively tilted and it ends to being absorbed and phasing with all 3 features into the Atlantic vortex. The fact they all phase into a monster vortex gives us a do over though by recycling the pattern one more time before it breaks down. But there are some subtle differences. There is slightly more space. The western ridge is further west. It’s still east of the canonical Boise ridge but that’s ok because this wave is coming in pretty far north and going negative early and so we need the ridge axis east to shove it to the coast. Otherwise it would stall and even with the block that’s to good. The blocking is in the stages of breaking down which should allow more amplification. The wildcard is the wave coming in so far north. That makes it less likely this gets squashed south but it’s flirting dangerously with a miller b screw job if the blocking relaxes too much too early and it jumps too far north. That’s the bigger fail threat with this one imo. So there are some things I like more about this threat. Some less. Both looked good from this range. Remember both of the features that screwed us Thursday weren’t there from long range. So we have to see if some discreet features not yet showing start to pop up that could interfere. Two things I don’t want to see is slowing down. The blocking is breaking down so we don’t want it taking too long. The other is too much energy on the lead wave of the trough which could drive the primary too far north. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: It has potential. But so did Thursday. Look at this... that’s beautiful if you just get rid of that freaking crap wave that decides to stall and sit over the northeast all week (it’s still snowing up there as the Thursday wave passes to the south) and that stupid mini TPV on top. The NE wave is preventing the ridging from going up as well we pulling the 50/50 westward and the tpv is flattening the flow on top. The combo keeps the wave progressive and positively tilted and it ends to being absorbed and phasing with all 3 features into the Atlantic vortex. The fact they all phase into a monster vortex gives us a do over though by recycling the pattern one more time before it breaks down. But there are some subtle differences. There is slightly more space. The western ridge is further west. It’s still east of the canonical Boise ridge but that’s ok because this wave is coming in pretty far north and going negative early and so we need the ridge axis east to shove it to the coast. Otherwise it would stall and even with the block that’s to good. The blocking is in the stages of breaking down which should allow more amplification. The wildcard is the wave coming in so far north. That makes it less likely this gets squashed south but it’s flirting dangerously with a miller b screw job if the blocking relaxes too much too early and it jumps too far north. That’s the bigger fail threat with this one imo. So there are some things I like more about this threat. Some less. Both looked good from this range. Remember both of the features that screwed us Thursday weren’t there from long range. So we have to see if some discreet features not yet showing start to pop up that could interfere. Two things I don’t want to see is slowing down. The blocking is breaking down so we don’t want it taking too long. The other is too much energy on the lead wave of the trough which could drive the primary too far north. Sounds complicated Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, losetoa6 said: Icon starting off 0z with a nice shift and it's a good one through 126 Yeppers my friend looks really nice 135, secondary forming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 I could have used a break. It feels too soon to be jumping in bed with the next one. I feel kinda dirty and cheap like this is just the rebound storm. 3 15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, psuhoffman said: I could have used a break. It feels too soon to be jumping in bed with the next one. I feel kinda dirty and cheap like this is just the rebound storm. Remember to use protection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, cbmclean said: Remember to use protection. We have protection. It’s called living in the mid Atlantic. Best **** blocker there is. 2 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 4 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: I could have used a break. It feels too soon to be jumping in bed with the next one. I feel kinda dirty and cheap like this is just the rebound storm. Dude I hear ya, lol It's too soon! (unless it actually produces)...I'm trying to live a better mental life after Thursday's disappointment...and now here this comes to tempt me, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Damn, New England ìs going to get annihilated this run. This is their storm to lose imo. But when they r in the bullseye 6 days out it usually doesn't trend worse for them does it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDreamer Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 I see the forum has solidly transitioned to late-night mode. I'm for it... The Icon looks pretty good to me. Nice thump and closer to some wrap-around snow than 12Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 11 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: I could have used a break. It feels too soon to be jumping in bed with the next one. I feel kinda dirty and cheap like this is just the rebound storm. Same...but ICON portends something good. Nice shift south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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