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January Storm Term Threat Discussions (Day 3 - Day 7)


WxUSAF
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Guys...wait until the upper level energy catches up to see what happens. 
ETA:  the initial wave runs out ahead of its upper support and washes out but the upper level low looks just fine. Need to see what happens as that approaches the trough on the east coast before we decide. A surface storm could blow up quick along the coast somewhere as the upper levels catch up. 

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17 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Dam.   Wish it ran past 240.  I think it woulda been go time 

I think it was going to be huge. But it depends on this feature over Montreal that’s diving in.  
7E9EB2F1-D298-4824-93FF-72C7BCB368FD.thumb.jpeg.23b907f3bee39dfddbf7247a92aceaed.jpeg

If that was about to phase with the amplifying upper level low coming right for us it was going to be a monster outcome. If however that was going to act to shear it shunt the h5 low southeast it might be a less significant event on that run. And I think it was the former but I needed to see one more panel to be sure.  @WxUSAF curious what do you think?   

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2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

I think it was going to be huge. But it depends on this feature over Montreal that’s diving in.  
7E9EB2F1-D298-4824-93FF-72C7BCB368FD.thumb.jpeg.23b907f3bee39dfddbf7247a92aceaed.jpeg

If that was about to phase with the amplifying upper level low coming right for us it was going to be a monster outcome. If however that was going to act to shear it shunt the h5 low southeast it might be a less significant event on that run. And I think it was the former but I needed to see one more owner to be sure.  @WxUSAF curious what do you think?   

Long range thread please

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