jayyy Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 Lol giving up on a storm 4 days out when it’s progged to our south? No way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 Just now, jayyy said: Lol giving up on a storm 4 days out when it’s progged to our south? No way. You haven’t paid attention the last month LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 5 minutes ago, IronTy said: I gave up and reaped on December 4th or.somerhinn like that. Seems like a smart call right about now. They why you here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 21 minutes ago, nj2va said: The same thing can be said about Thursday just a few days ago. Yea and it’s right to be skeptical. But the signal is there and sooner or later it will snow again. Hopefully sooner. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 7 minutes ago, jayyy said: Lol giving up on a storm 4 days out when it’s progged to our south? No way. Idk, pretty much every meaningful factor is trending the wrong way. More progressive wave, less spacing as psu just noted, better tpv press (which actually might help the day 7 event). If anything I think this may continue to trend farther East. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Yea and it’s right to be skeptical. But the signal is there and sooner or later it will snow again. Hopefully sooner. Agree, certainly didn’t mean I don’t think it won’t snow this winter just pointing out it feels like we’re on a hamster wheel. “Great signal....24 hour snow mean is 2.5” 7 days out. Can’t ask for more than that” - sounds familiar Hopefully this one pans out! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 1 minute ago, Wentzadelphia said: Idk, pretty much every meaningful factor is trending the wrong way. More progressive wave, less spacing as psu just noted, better tpv press (which actually might help the day 7 event). If anything I think this may continue to trend farther East. The phasing of that TPV with both waves to our northeast sets up the next wave. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 10 minutes ago, mappy said: They why you here? Still hoping I'm wrong. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 You have to admire the blazing speed with which the para goes about its business. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 41 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Gefs still some good hits Thursday GEFS has more members and is more dispersive than it was prior to the upgrade, so I'm not really surprised. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 Warning for those who like happy things, look away. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 28 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: You have to admire the blazing speed with which the para goes about its business. My dog also goes about it’s business pretty fast and coincidentally produces the same result as the GFS products. 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 37 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: You have to admire the blazing speed with which the para goes about its business. I know! So fast. It’s my forecast and I need it now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 When the eps looks great often that one member that sucks is right. But why can’t it ever be this one that’s right...??? it hits DC with all 3 waves. Like 2-4, 2-4, 20” 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormfly Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 I'm thankful for the 10" we got in December because if we didn't we'd be in worse shape (snow-wise) than last year at this point. I guess if I really want it to snow I should sell the plow and blower. Isn't that how it always works? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 6 minutes ago, Stormfly said: I'm thankful for the 10" we got in December because if we didn't we'd be in worse shape (snow-wise) than last year at this point. I guess if I really want it to snow I should sell the plow and blower. Isn't that how it always works? We? Not everyone can claim that victory. 0". In any event, it's another rough year (thus far) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormfly Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Yes I know it wasn't a widespread event. The 6 hours of ZR was actually pretty bad for us, still have tree limbs needing to be removed from that. I love the beauty of an ice storm event and even the sound especially at night. But the huge crack and thumping as large limbs succumb to the weight of the accreting ice come crashing down, the reality sets in of the cleanup that follows which isn't always fun. And the power flashes and surges that accompany them inconvenience many. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 1 hour ago, psuhoffman said: When the eps looks great often that one member that sucks is right. But why can’t it ever be this one that’s right...??? I settle for the Euro control, occasional MECS, being right once every 5 years. Such a tease, and hardly ever turns out correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 1 hour ago, Stormfly said: I'm thankful for the 10" we got in December because if we didn't we'd be in worse shape (snow-wise) than last year at this point. I guess if I really want it to snow I should sell the plow and blower. Isn't that how it always works? Me too. Happy for that 1.0 inches...about the same as what you got only way less. Closer to 0 than 10. Still thankful. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PivotPoint Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 4 hours ago, psuhoffman said: I don’t think that tpv is the issue. It’s behind the trough axis. It’s close but so long as it’s behind it’s not compressing that much. It’s not helping unless it dives in behind and phases though. But the bigger issue is the spacing (or lack of) between the waves off the coast and Thursday’s storm. The ridge to the west is too close also. Yea, I agree but it’s still discouraging. I mean, yes the ridge axis out west isn’t ideal and yes, there’s some interaction with the departing storm (not ideal). But I feel like we had enough ingredients that a moderate event was possible if we got the right track. That’s the annoying thing, it’s not an awful evolution but the result is a miss. I do think though that if the TPV isn’t phasing or helping to sharpen the back side of the trough, then it’s hurting.. not helping, imo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 lol, NAM doesn't even have a molecule over the area during the supposed storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 The nam is awful lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 6 minutes ago, Ji said: The nam is awful lol So is our new winter norm 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 8 minutes ago, Ji said: The nam is awful lol Let it go. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 How long until the Parallel GFS replaces the regular one, like a week or so at this point? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Can we burn this thread at least and start a new one for the future tracking? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 9 minutes ago, Rhino16 said: How long until the Parallel GFS replaces the regular one, like a week or so at this point? probably sometime in March now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajb Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 3 minutes ago, high risk said: probably sometime in March now. Is it still the case that the ensembles will be based on the old physics? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts