Ji Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 Just now, LP08 said: Smoked (relatively speaking). great run but man---there seems to be a narrow window(area wise) for snow and so much time left 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 26 minutes ago, The Iceman said: Just because you continue to parrot this weird diatribe over and over again doesn't make it true. There is numerous statistical evidence that our modeling forecasting capabilities are much better than 20 years ago and continue to improve each year. It's not an opinion, it's a fact. Facts can’t penetrate truthyness Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 WB EURO Day 7...ok so where does the next picture go??? Since it is after Day7 3 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 Just now, Ji said: great run but man---there seems to be a narrow window(area wise) for snow and so much time left Just about to type the same thing - very small area of decent snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dabuckeyes Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 Does the 180 frame go boom is the next question ETA: Answer: Not really....but still solid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 Still snowing at 180, great run. Area wide winter storm warning event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 Pivotal depth map has D.C ~8". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 Just now, DCTeacherman said: Still snowing at 180, great run. Area wide winter storm warning event. we just need to break this DC snow drought. SO tired of hearing about it! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 1 minute ago, Weather Will said: WB EURO Day 7...ok so where does the next picture go??? Since it is after Day7 I have a feeling based on what the ops looks like irt track and what the gfs shows, the eps mean is going to be a real beaut (Clark). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 3 minutes ago, jaydreb said: Just about to type the same thing - very small area of decent snow. dunno... pretty wide swath of warning level snow if you take this run verbatim. 6 2 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 5 minutes ago, Ji said: great run but man---there seems to be a narrow window(area wise) for snow and so much time left 4 minutes ago, jaydreb said: Just about to type the same thing - very small area of decent snow. That was the point of my post a couple hours ago in the long range thread. Yes there will be hits somewhere from this setup. But the snowfall area won’t be as expansive as it should with a normal temp profile for late January in this pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 A lot of this happens after D7 (post 168 hour mark). We flirt with above freezing in the afternoon next wednesday, but verbatim surface maps show most/all of this as snow NW of 95 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 1 minute ago, Ji said: we just need to break this DC snow drought. SO tired of hearing about it! Funny you’re the one making the most noise 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 It's about as classic a track as we can get with the primary to Ky then transfer. The only bad thing with the run is its 150+hours out. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: dunno... pretty wide swath of warning level snow if you take this run verbatim. Meh....I've seen narrower swaths 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 Never seen a primary over the Virginia Capes exit SE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 Let’s see what the EPS support says before everyone gets too excited...remember what EURO showed at 0Z. No trend yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 4 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: dunno... pretty wide swath of warning level snow if you take this run verbatim. If you expand out to a national level it’s not really compared to what a healthy west to east wave under a block can look like wrt geographic coverage. This run was perfect for us in every way but even there the temps were iffy at times for south of DC. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 Just now, RedSky said: Never seen a primary over the Virginia Capes exit SE Takes a jog north between 174-180. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 LONG LIVE KING EURO O 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 Meh...next! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 2 minutes ago, RedSky said: Never seen a primary over the Virginia Capes exit SE It happens in blocking. The extreme blocking part is what’s rare...a surface low that’s not amplifying getting forced south of east like that isn’t unusual in this setup. The storm around the 28/29 has more chance to amplify and gain latitude (some) on the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 maybe this winter is like 99-2000. where everything happened in a short amount of time..inlcluding Jan25th! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 3 minutes ago, Weather Will said: Let’s see what the EPS support says before everyone gets too excited...remember what EURO showed at 0Z. No trend yet. True but that was a northerly outlier among the eps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 Second storm looks like it'll be a banger for somebody on the 12z euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 SOLD! 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 9 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: dunno... pretty wide swath of warning level snow if you take this run verbatim. We abscond... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 1 minute ago, Ji said: maybe this winter is like 99-2000. where everything happened in a short amount of time..inlcluding Jan25th! Another period that showed up in the cpc pattern analogs recently Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: SOLD! But for how much? Might need to check on the bus... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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