Weather Will Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 11 am Th 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Just now, LP08 said: Still rain at 120...I know the gfs thermals are not usually good but...seriously Lol. 993 south of VA beach, 540 thickness over the NN, and GFS has rain over DC. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 985mb just off VA Beach at 123 he is nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 4 minutes ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: The high to the north is hanging back too much. It’s too close no it’s too far. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Just now, nj2va said: Lol. 993 south of VA beach, 540 thickness over the NN, and GFS has rain over DC. This...would be something 1 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanconway63 Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 yea the track was very nice but the rain vs snow on gfs has me puzzled with that setup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 1pm Th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Just now, LP08 said: This...would be something It's going after Ji lol 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 We have the 850s below freezing for the duration but the sfc temps are wack. way warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Just now, LP08 said: This...would be something Is that snow hole over Ji’s house? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Just now, LP08 said: This...would be something OMG guess who's house that is besides mine lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 23, 2021 Author Share Posted January 23, 2021 If this: And this: Produce rain in the deformation band of a coastal low on January 28th??? Something is seriously, seriously wrong. 6 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 @clskinsfan 81 demolishing at least for what we’ve grown accustomed to. This thing will change more than I change my underwear so fun to at least see the potential 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Global warming FTW. We can’t even get a great snow with a bombing coastal low and perfect track lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VA Mad Man Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Just now, LP08 said: This...would be something New ways to show a DC snow hole 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanconway63 Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 If storm takes that track with that setup, everybody on this board would score nicely......id take my chances..... 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 2 minutes ago, LP08 said: Still rain at 120...I know the gfs thermals are not usually good but...seriously Double bind... unfortunately there just isn’t enough cold to make any storm “easy”. The amount of suppression we need to stop warmth from surging north also is very close to be too much to allow anything to amplify. Do there is a very very very narrow margin we’re playing in and to get a big snow we will have to play with fire either way. There isn’t enough cold to get some huge shield of cold smoke to the north of a storm. Everything at our latitude and south is going to have to be dynamically driven. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 that hole over my house is pretty funny. I think God is really punishing me. I might be the Jonah of this board 1 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Unfortunately, It’s irrelevant until the EURO is on board.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 I really don't understand how there isn't enough cold air. It's in the 20's today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rjvanals Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Thermals are being hurt by the lingering precip over NE PA and NJ at 105-108 so we don’t have as much room to wet bulb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Now THAT's more like it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Main takeaway I have is that it is still miles apart from the Euro since it still shows a dynamic storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 7 minutes ago, Ji said: Weaker cause of ull pressing south a bit more? Sent from my SM-G981V using Tapatalk No It was just weaker. Took the same track until it hit the east coast then it’s shoved south more by the flow because it’s weaker. It was just weaker. Maybe the more south tpv had some impact. Compressing the flow a bit. It was slightly weaker pretty early on though. But while everyone is stressing the rain the real issue is it was a definite trend towards the euro. Remember the euro isn’t really south it’s just weaker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Man, if only we could get that track during prime climo. 4 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Siberian-Snowcover-Myth Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Not buying into the gfs until Tuesday. I’ll go with the Euro/Canadian until then. The gfs is having some serious issues analyzing its data. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Dc area doesn’t even sniff freezing for the duration. Starts at 42 and maybe gets to 34. Ugly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 i just lost 20 inches without losing the storm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 23, 2021 Author Share Posted January 23, 2021 5 minutes ago, ryanconway63 said: If storm takes that track with that setup, everybody on this board would score nicely......id take my chances..... Yeah, I mean, I don't really buy those boundary layer temps on the GFS. But seriously, WTF? It's not coming up with those by magic. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 5 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: If this: And this: Produce rain in the deformation band of a coastal low on January 28th??? Something is seriously, seriously wrong. I think it’s maybe time to stop tip toeing around it. We all know what the issue is. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts