MJO812 Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 The ICON is a miss to the north. But it's the ICON. It's no icon that's for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 On 1/19/2021 at 3:44 PM, JakkelWx said: The ICON is a miss to the north. But it's the ICON. It's no icon that's for sure. Expand well if the icon is a miss, then I'm out. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 On 1/19/2021 at 3:44 PM, JakkelWx said: The ICON is a miss to the north. But it's the ICON. It's no icon that's for sure. Expand Is it? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 19, 2021 Author Share Posted January 19, 2021 Fair to say TT and StormVista have very different views of Icon snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 ICON QPF is a juicy 1-1.75 for 1/26. Too bad it’s not frozen. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 On 1/19/2021 at 3:44 PM, mappy said: well if the icon is a miss, then I'm out. Expand I'm still in until we lose the RPM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 On 1/19/2021 at 3:48 PM, WxUSAF said: Fair to say TT and StormVista have very different views of Icon snowfall. Expand if only TT applied the same snow formula to ICON as it does for the NAM12K Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 I am sure the ICON can model the block and the TPVs correctly. Good luck to any model this far out. Anxious to see the EPS later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 Wasn't the last trend for the ICON to drop the SW further South on it's way East . This could trend South easily, but is the ICON really worth discussing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rvarookie Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 If this fails we may need to sacrifice this thread to protect future threats Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 On 1/19/2021 at 3:57 PM, H2O said: I'm still in until we lose the RPM Expand I remain hesitate to get excited about anything just yet. While I don't comment much on LR, I do skim it and it seems like all these promising threats the last couple weeks have gone poof in the short range. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 On 1/19/2021 at 3:48 PM, WxUSAF said: Fair to say TT and StormVista have very different views of Icon snowfall. Expand I thought StormVista was supposed to have realistic clown maps? TT has my yard at 1/2" and the map Metfan posted has 12". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 GFS and Icon almost identical and neither is good for us. Close though. EDIT: GFS does show some frozen precip in our northern areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dabuckeyes Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 On 1/19/2021 at 4:16 PM, jaydreb said: GFS and Icon almost identical and neither is good for us. Close though. EDIT: GFS does show some frozen precip in our northern areas. Expand GFS shows it verbatim, but the surface temperatures are around 35. I know this is over-analyzing something that is 8 days away. Happy that it is close and curious to see what the follow up wave does the 28th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 WB 12Z GFS thru Day 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 Para GFS looks much better Good snow into central MD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 19, 2021 Author Share Posted January 19, 2021 On 1/19/2021 at 4:25 PM, Dabuckeyes said: GFS looks close to something at 204. Expand Wrong thread 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 On 1/19/2021 at 4:24 PM, Chris78 said: Para GFS looks much better Expand FWIW, one of the findings during the GFSv16 evaluation was that it handled cold air damming better than v15, possibly due to having more vertical levels. It still won't be nearly as good as the NAM nest, which in my opinion handles damming the best of the models (and sometimes even overdoes it), but once synoptic disagreement is removed, I'd favor the v16 profiles over v15. 5 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 On 1/19/2021 at 4:24 PM, Chris78 said: Para GFS looks much better Expand i dont see much difference. its really a matter of miles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 On 1/19/2021 at 4:28 PM, Ji said: i dont see much difference. its really a matter of miles Expand 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 Cmc looks nice for you guys 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 Like the trends. Juicier system that now the models are realizing is gonna have a tough time going north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 remember that time we were tracking the Jan 22 event? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 Para has a ton of blue opportunies next week 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 On 1/19/2021 at 4:30 PM, MJO812 said: Cmc looks nice for you guys Expand when is the last rain to snow storm we had that worked out? the PSU Storm @psuhoffman Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 On 1/19/2021 at 4:37 PM, Ji said: when is the last rain to snow storm we had that worked out? the PSU Storm @psuhoffman Expand at least its not 50 to 32 its like 35 to 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 On 1/19/2021 at 4:42 PM, losetoa6 said: Gefs has a bit more of a cad wedge through 144 Expand I don’t know, looks way too warm for the 1/25-26 event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 12Z GEFS only has one hit through Day 7. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 On 1/19/2021 at 4:56 PM, jaydreb said: I don’t know, looks way too warm for the 1/25-26 event. Expand A smorgasbord of solutions...green being the dominant color but a few frozen solutions to keep interested for sure. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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