Porsche Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 Destroyed. happy hour delivers 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 DC peeps: 1 7 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 GFS doubling down. 90% of the season the Euro/EPS caved to the GFS except with the Jan 25 system. Can we get the magic back?!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 Lol, can the euro cave? ONE TIME JI?! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 GFS! Americuhhhhh, fu$k yeah!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 Euro has lost storms in the MR in the past to only bring them back with a vengeance. Let’s hope that happens again! 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 Only 24 more runs to go. WIth the way things are going this year, obviously that's a lock 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 Sweet. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 994 east of ORF. Beaut. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDreamer Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 Just give me this one storm. That’s all I want. One good score and I’ll go back into hibernation for summer. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 Just now, stormtracker said: Only 24 more runs to go. WIth the way things are going this year, obviously that's a lock Hopefully that will hold, going now from mid to short range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 That run brought me out from lurking 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 Geesh....gfs swings are too wild to keep up with. SC to NC to VA and just keeps moving north. Lets pause movement for a few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 Really interested to see what the GEFS do here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 Question for those more informed. What causes the ULL to push SE? We could jack if it heads due East instead of SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 Lookin PD1-ish? 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dallen7908 Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 Poor timing with all of the GFS excitement but here are the EPS numbers for the last 11 runs EPS members snow/sleet totals (inches) for the last 11 runs (College Park) through 00 UT Feb 3 90th percentile: 9 15 12 15 12 16 18 12 13 10 10 80th percentile: 6 10 11 9 10 12 13 9 11 7 6 70th percentile: 6 6 9 8 7 11 11 8 9 6 3 60th percentile: 4 5 8 6 6 7 9 7 7 4 2 50th percentile: 3 4 6 5 4 6 7 6 6 2 1 40th percentile: 2 3 4 4 4 5 6 5 6 2 0.8 30th percentile: 2 1 4 3 3 4 5 4 5 0.9 0.6 20th percentile: 0.7 0.6 3 2 2 3 3 4 3 0.5 0.4 10th percentile: 0.5 0.3 1 1 1 1 3 3 1 0 0.1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 3 minutes ago, nj2va said: 994 east of ORF. Beaut. Guess that clustering of lows there from the 6z GEFS has legs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 Juicy 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanconway63 Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 5.5 days away....this one is within reach, not fantasy land anymore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 WB 18Z GFS 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 Man the 18Z GFS is an absolute crush job. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 Maybe I'm missing something, but this is barely even double digits, if that, for most. Would not call it a crush job. It needs to stay tucked more NW so it snows much longer. Duration is just too short. It's trying to get there, though. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 6 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 18Z GFS Thermals playing a role over in S DE I assume? Because they got a lot more qpf than that. Looks like the old 33 and snow. I wish we had the para to see if it was supporting this or not. Idk fun to see, but hard to believe. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 2 minutes ago, osfan24 said: Maybe I'm missing something, but this is barely even double digits, if that, for most. Would not call it a crush job. It needs to stay tucked more NW so it snows much longer. Duration is just too short. It's trying to get there, though. Man at this point a day with a high temp that doesn't get above freezing is a crush job. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 2 minutes ago, osfan24 said: Maybe I'm missing something, but this is barely even double digits, if that, for most. Would not call it a crush job. It needs to stay tucked more NW so it snows much longer. Duration is just too short. It's trying to get there, though. Anything over an inch is a crush job when you've tallied .6" over nearly 2 winters 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 Just now, Wentzadelphia said: Thermals playing a role over in S DE I assume? Because they got a lot more qpf than that. Looks like the old 33 and snow. I wish we had the para to see if it was supporting this or not. Idk fun to see, but hard to believe. 850s never go below -1 even in S DE, and are colder than that for a fair bit of the storm. I'm guessing it's just GFS being weird with snow output. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 12 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said: Wish I could get excited...hard to without eps on board The euro isn’t flawless. You realize we’re still at the range when it was giving DC 20” of snow back in December. One of the storms in 2018 it was giving me 8” of snow literally 12 hours from the storm and I got NOTHING lol. What’s odd is they are both opposite their biases right now. But this isn’t a typical gulf wave to coastal setup. The upper low is coming across pretty far north and it’s interacting with the NS flow some on the way across and that’s the driver here not the southern stream wave it links up with in the southeast. I wonder if that has to do with why they are opposite their tendencies. I also wonder if the NS interaction matters more here and if that might not favor the gfs some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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