IronTy Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 12Z euro baby! 3 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deer Whisperer Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 5 minutes ago, IronTy said: 12Z euro baby! Baltimore bullseye! Edit: Like that second bullseye being 100 miles south of mby too 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Just now, IronTy said: 12Z euro baby! Remember that this includes snow from the Monday system. Here's what seems to be a better map. Also that doesnt include the fact that it's a fluff bomb for points NW 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 I would gladly take the EURO and a call it a winter 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Just now, Cobalt said: Remember that this includes snow from the Monday system. Here's what seems to be a better map. Also that doesnt include the fact that it's a fluff bomb for points NW That's a cheat, kuchera. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 shades of feb 1979 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 1 minute ago, JakkelWx said: If it just turned the corner a little more and hugged the coast a touch more, we get a nice deform and it's major storm, if not pushing historical. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Just now, JakkelWx said: shades of feb 1979 Reminds me more of 1996. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDreamer Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 850s look really solid throughout. This is close to a very big hit, already not bad at all. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Just now, IronTy said: That's a cheat, kuchera. Consider the 850s during the heaviest part of the storm. The 850s get even colder after the low pulls offshore a bit (still snowing though). This certainly wouldnt be 10:1, especially for the elevated areas and places where their average ratios are already 12:1 or more. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deer Whisperer Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 1 minute ago, IronTy said: Reminds me more of 1996. What about 2018 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 1003-984 in 6 hrs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 1 minute ago, Deer Whisperer said: What about 2018 Close call, how do the dynamicals compare? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 5 minutes ago, Cobalt said: Consider the 850s during the heaviest part of the storm. The 850s get even colder after the low pulls offshore a bit (still snowing though). This certainly wouldnt be 10:1, especially for the elevated areas and places where their average ratios are already 12:1 or more. Seen too many Joe D kuchera maps at weatherbell to take seriously...but I won't hate on that if it verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 9 minutes ago, IronTy said: Reminds me more of 1996. Haha every time a model spits out decent snow it doesn’t have to be compared to 96 fellas....was 79 pd1 I’m blanking out. Was it that small angry small closed off ULL that crushed dc? If so yeah it has more similarities to that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 JMA That model really likes this subforum for the run duration. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Josh would chase this thing if it were over land. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 1 minute ago, Amped said: Josh would chase this thing if it were over land. What causes this from continuing NE or even getting captured rather than diving ESE off of Hatteras? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 23 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Wish that was farther W and crawling the coast but given it is progged to keep trucking E could still pack a quick punch with those dynamics in the Mid Atlantic and near the coast. Moving this from the “wrong” thread lol. Like I said last night this setup reminds me of PD1. Now that was a max anomalous outcome so that doesn’t mean we get that exact outcome. But I expect models are underestimating the intensity of lift along the inverted trough as it slams into the confluence from the block. If that setup holds there will be some pretty good banding stretched NW along the trough from the surface low. It will hit a brick wall though somewhere. My guess is Philly ends up ok but it’s close...any further north though... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 2 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: What causes this from continuing NE or even getting captured rather than diving ESE off of Hatteras? Retrograding ridge as HM pointed out 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 32 minutes ago, JakkelWx said: Now this is more the result you'd expect for the high to be in that position. So much better than what we've been seeing, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 So EMT class has sucked me into a black hole. Are there 2 threats for next week...Monday and Thursday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deer Whisperer Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Just now, Eskimo Joe said: So EMT class has sucked me into a black hole. Are there 2 threats for next week...Monday and Thursday? Yes. Monday threat is in its own thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 3 minutes ago, Deer Whisperer said: Yes. Monday threat is in its own thread Thanks. Here's to 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 can we change the name of this thread to the Jan 28 thread since the Jan 25 already has one and this is the only other event in the the day 1-7 window lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 10 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: So EMT class has sucked me into a black hole. Are there 2 threats for next week...Monday and Thursday? Yes, Monday is likely some slop fest that will disappoint most. Thursday screams big potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 This threat looks nice. Temps are good and the heaviest stuff would come through during the day. Please oh lordy let us have this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 9 minutes ago, DCTeacherman said: This threat looks nice. Temps are good and the heaviest stuff would come through during the day. Please oh lordy let us have this one. Why just one? You’re allowed to ask for both the appetizer and the main course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 30 minutes ago, osfan24 said: Yes, Monday is likely some slop fest that will disappoint most. Thursday screams big potential. Ah, so big bust potential then. Classic. Here's to snow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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