Ji Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 just stunning differnces in runs between 18z and 00z lol. Its not like this is happening at 240 hours either Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Just now, clskinsfan said: 132 Boom. NOVA/DC special incoming. not there yet, but this is good news. If we can get a hold for like 4 runs in a row... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 still to strung out for my liking. Get that a bit stronger without the ridging lol and we can get our pink back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 GFS coming around to Euro and Icon like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: not there yet, but this is good news. If we can get a hold for like 4 runs in a row... yea--that was kind of the worst boom ever. The post was way better than what the model run showed smh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 eh, not as great as I thought, but definitely not a disaster that was 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Just now, stormtracker said: eh, not as great as I thought, but definitely not a disaster that was 18z Why what’s wrong with it. It’s blue for you and me and the others Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Yall gotta know when to call BOOM. Gonna give people in here a heart attack. That was more like a "pew pew" 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 you guys will like the para better. Thats more boom Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: not there yet, but this is good news. If we can get a hold for like 4 runs in a row... Yeah. That has to be the thinnest stripe of accumulated snow I have ever seen on a snow map. This one is going to be a heartbreaker for someone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 4 minutes ago, stormtracker said: GFS with differences vs 18z...shouldn't be as (drink)...amp'd That NS wave really makes this harder then it should be in this setup. And that’s the kind of crap you can’t see from range. But even with a weaker solution it still damages the thermals ahead of the southern wave. If that NS wave simply didn’t exist that would be a really simple WAA snow setup. This before the NS wave is still pathetic for an airmass that was directly from the Arctic but it’s decent. It’s enough. but look what the flow under the NS wave did... we’ve lost the mid levels before the SS wave is even approaching. Now we have a double bind. We need cold to press back in but we also need an amplifying wave to get good moisture. That double bind is why we see such a limited scope to the snow on most runs and why this won’t be the kind of expansive snowstorm it could be in this setup if the NS hasn’t wrecked the thermal profile in front. It also doesn’t help that even a direct shot of Arctic air isn’t really all that deep to resist a fairly weak wave. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Looking at the black and white CMC doodles, it appears it will be South of the 12z run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Just now, BristowWx said: Why what’s wrong with it. It’s blue for you and me and the others It's better than nothing, but not heavy snow. I'd rather have that than the 18z, that's for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 6 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Just now, stormtracker said: It's better than nothing, but not heavy snow. I'd rather have that than the 18z, that's for sure. Got it. It’s not Cool Ranch blue...but still blue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Yeah, Para is decent and better than the OG GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 lol so not one model shows rain now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 I prefer the para 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: I’ll take my 2” of....never mind 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Just now, stormtracker said: Yeah, Para is decent and better than the OG GFS How about having them meet in the middle? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 I’ll take my 7.1” 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: They really put their foot in this snow map, didn't they?... 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Just now, yoda said: How about having them meet in the middle? bouta say, I might prefer the OG GFS. I'm just choosing to believe @psuhoffman and am running with the idea that the middle is a happy place to be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 5 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: It also doesn’t help that even a direct shot of Arctic air isn’t really all that deep to resist a fairly weak wave. Can you clarify what "deep" means in this context? Do you mean that the air mass isn't that cold? Or that the cold is only shallow to the surface? Both? Neither? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Better view of the para GFS accums... Randy gets about 3 while @psuhoffman celebrates a 10 inch event 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Just now, yoda said: Better view of the para GFS accums yep. Yoga. That works for me 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Funny I get 7 on both maps. But the orientation to the east is so different on both of them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Para has been fairly consistent with the snow distribution the last few runs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts