The Iceman Posted January 20, 2021 Share Posted January 20, 2021 Just now, stormtracker said: Para is better than I thought, going from the disco here. I mean, it's not ideal...but enough to keep on keeping on 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 20, 2021 Share Posted January 20, 2021 10 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Man, GFS doubled down. Like that KFC sandwich that was a chicken sandwich with chicken breasts as the buns? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 20, 2021 Share Posted January 20, 2021 Just now, leesburg 04 said: Like that KFC sandwich that was a chicken sandwich with chicken breasts as the buns? Don't make me vomit 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 20, 2021 Share Posted January 20, 2021 Just now, stormtracker said: Don't make me vomit 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 20, 2021 Share Posted January 20, 2021 10 minutes ago, The Iceman said: Ji fringed but he's in the blue at least 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 20, 2021 Share Posted January 20, 2021 11 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: Ji fringed but he's in the blue at least Everyone is fringed...it’s such a narrow area of good snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 20, 2021 Share Posted January 20, 2021 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: Everyone is fringed...it’s such a narrow area of good snow. Yep, and that will change and shift around 22 more times between now and Tuesday. It's a baby step up from a thread-the-needle event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 20, 2021 Share Posted January 20, 2021 This speaks for itself, lol. 3 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 20, 2021 Share Posted January 20, 2021 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: This speaks for itself, lol. Well this fell apart fast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 20, 2021 Share Posted January 20, 2021 Once again I am falling for the trap of looking at mean snow maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 20, 2021 Share Posted January 20, 2021 3 minutes ago, jaydreb said: Well this fell apart fast. The GFS/GEFS never had it put together in the first place 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 20, 2021 Share Posted January 20, 2021 6 minutes ago, Cobalt said: The GFS/GEFS never had it put together in the first place That's true... but I'm inclined to believe the GFS/GEFS and the 20% of EPS members that equally suck. I'm going for pessimism here -- trying a new strategy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 20, 2021 Share Posted January 20, 2021 FWIW, no idea how the GEPS performs, but it also says no and most of its members have shown nada for its past four runs. Which is interesting since the Canadian had been somewhat in on this storm. It's 00z and yesterdays 12z and 00z would be outliers among its members. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 20, 2021 Share Posted January 20, 2021 1 hour ago, Ji said: way way too complicated. Bob Chill and I are out Bob Chill has been out for a few years now, hasn't he? He's the smartest of us all by a long shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardmeiser Posted January 20, 2021 Share Posted January 20, 2021 2 minutes ago, osfan24 said: Bob Chill has been out for a few years now, hasn't he? He's the smartest of us all by a long shot. Been no storms for two years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 20, 2021 Share Posted January 20, 2021 46 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Yep, and that will change and shift around 22 more times between now and Tuesday. It's a baby step up from a thread-the-needle event. Exactly. That was the point I was making earlier. We could very well win the lottery here. But how can anyone feel safe. The snow zone is so narrow a normally nominal shift threatens anyone even if you were in the dead bullseye the run before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 56 minutes ago, osfan24 said: Bob Chill has been out for a few years now, hasn't he? He's the smartest of us all by a long shot. He was here last winter I think. I don’t suspect lack of storms is why he isn’t here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 No 18z eps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 6 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: No 18z eps? Not out yet (at least on WxBell) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 4 minutes ago, nj2va said: Not out yet (at least on WxBell) Thanks. I never can keep up with when that comes out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 1 hour ago, NorthArlington101 said: This speaks for itself, lol. The gfs is handling the progression completely different then other guidance. This isn’t a case where it’s just north or south or more/less amped then the consensus. It’s following a totally different course. It’s likely at this range that ensembles based on this it’s physics would do the same. Right or wrong we’re not gleaning much from them in this case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 18z EPS seems like it made another jog nw.. probably not gonna make many friends here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 1 minute ago, Cobalt said: 18z EPS seems like it made another jog nw.. probably not gonna make many friends here Blah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 1 minute ago, Cobalt said: 18z EPS seems like it made another jog nw.. probably not gonna make many friends here I'm not in love with these maps, but they clearly demonstrate that the look ain't getting better. 18z 12z 00z It ain't over by any means, but it's not good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 21, 2021 Author Share Posted January 21, 2021 Bleh. Good things it’s five days out still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 1 minute ago, Cobalt said: 18z EPS seems like it made another jog nw.. probably not gonna make many friends here If given the chance to make a bet on 31 Dec that most of us in the forum would have a snowless January I would have kept my money. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 12 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: The gfs is handling the progression completely different then other guidance. This isn’t a case where it’s just north or south or more/less amped then the consensus. It’s following a totally different course. It’s likely at this range that ensembles based on this it’s physics would do the same. Right or wrong we’re not gleaning much from them in this case. I agree in principle, but when you can't find at least one winner among all the GEFS members and there are a decent handful of stinkers in the 12z EPS (and now more in the 18z), I tend to align (perhaps incorrectly) with the more "consistent" guidance. I realize the GFS/GEFS has been inconsistent in why it's bad for us, but it's always bad for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 WB 18Z EPS continues to cave toward GEFS in early next week storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Scheisse! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDreamer Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 12 minutes ago, JakkelWx said: Scheisse! A true classic, the North trend only when it screws us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts