psuhoffman Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 1 hour ago, yoda said: 00z CMC drops an inch or so next Monday afternoon across the region FWIW Don’t spend it all in one place 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 0z GEFS has 10 members that give the area "some" snow early next week. A few nice hits but most look weakish with light snow/snow showers. I will take any snow at this point. Approaching one and a half winters with bupkis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 1 hour ago, CAPE said: 0z GEFS has 10 members that give the area "some" snow early next week. A few nice hits but most look weakish with light snow/snow showers. I will take any snow at this point. Approaching one and a half winters with bupkis. @losetoa6 said in the main thread there are some monster hits on the 6z GEFS. Haven't seen the individual panels but the H5 means is gaining legs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 10 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: @losetoa6 said in the main thread there are some monster hits on the 6z GEFS. Haven't seen the individual panels but the H5 means is gaining legs. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 1 hour ago, IronTy said: P10/P22 blend please and I'm good for the month of January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 The weenie in me says GEFS caught onto the gung ho block first then the others picked up on it this week. Itshappening. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 4 minutes ago, nj2va said: The weenie in me says GEFS caught onto the gung ho block first then the others picked up on it this week. Itshappening. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 44 minutes ago, Ji said: Title of the thread is days 3-7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 GFS is back for the 18th. Mostly light stuff. Some marginally better snow down towards Richmond. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 I have a feeling that this is going to be those rarer times the models come back in a big way in the medium range. My weenie in me says the models will show a foot over my yard by the 00z Thursday suite 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 1 minute ago, JakkelWx said: I have a feeling that this is going to be those rarer times the models come back in a big way in the medium range. My weenie in me says the models will show a foot over my yard by the 00z Thursday suite Might need to have a talk with your Weenie. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 12, 2021 Author Share Posted January 12, 2021 I don’t see this anafrontal deal, but looks like some rain/snow showers on Saturday possibly behind the front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 Just now, WxUSAF said: I don’t see this anafrontal deal, but looks like some rain/snow showers on Saturday possibly behind the front. Potentially of the more "convective" nature. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 18 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: I don’t see this anafrontal deal, but looks like some rain/snow showers on Saturday possibly behind the front. Yeah, I think snow TV/mix is in the cards for N&W of 95. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 54 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: I don’t see this anafrontal deal, but looks like some rain/snow showers on Saturday possibly behind the front. Do you see the anarear deal? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 12, 2021 Author Share Posted January 12, 2021 Just now, ravensrule said: Do you see the anarear deal? Depends if your mom can squeeze me into her busy...schedule 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 12z Gefs took a step back at h5 for day 6 . Just one run . Back to work Of course it didSent from my SM-G981V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 GFS just moved the center of a low about 250 miles at 78 hours out in one run. Won’t affect us but it’s noteworthy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 And check out the para! LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 13 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Gfs has SS all day Saturday it appears. Green under 522dm...how thick do we need the cold to be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 10 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Green under 522dm...how thick do we need the cold to be. It wont be below freezing until Sat night. And barely. By then it will be dry. What a mid Jan cold front. Mid 50s on Friday and mid 40s Sat. Wicked shit. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 11 minutes ago, CAPE said: It wont be below freezing until Sat night. And barely. By then it will be dry. What a mid Jan cold front. Mid 50s on Friday and mid 40s Sat. Wicked shit. Not gonna lie I’m getting discouraged. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 26 minutes ago, CAPE said: It wont be below freezing until Sat night. And barely. By then it will be dry. What a mid Jan cold front. Mid 50s on Friday and mid 40s Sat. Wicked shit. It's like a summer cold front, where the temperatures drop from 90 to 89 in just a 24 hour period but it's in winter and its 50 to 49 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 48 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Green under 522dm...how thick do we need the cold to be. Lol. Gfs is really fouled up irt that since last "upgrade" . Ive recorded 4 snowfalls here this season and on several occasions it showed that on its runs and it turned out to be snow, to no surprise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 8 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: I keep hearing people at the jobsite saying 50s tomorrow and Thursday but I'm not seeing that on guidance up here . Tomorrow looks like 42-44 and Thursday 44-46 . Good working weather for me though . I got alot of outside work the next few weeks Nah, 45-50 tomorrow and Thursday. Forecast high for Friday here is 54, and 46 on Sat. This front has no balls. We can do better in November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 14 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: I keep hearing people at the jobsite saying 50s tomorrow and Thursday but I'm not seeing that on guidance up here . Tomorrow looks like 42-44 and Thursday 44-46 . Good working weather for me though . I got alot of outside work the next few weeks I agree about great weather for outside. Happy to have an actual dry period here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 For Westminster- 46, 49, 48 the next 3 days, then 43 on Sat. Hopefully we see a legit cold front sometime in the next 10 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 13, 2021 Share Posted January 13, 2021 41 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: It's hot in Bermuda is it iyby. Still snow piles here from the Dec storm near a month ago Looks like between 35-44 Friday depending on model up here. Most guidance dips to low mid 30s with good 850s here by late evening and moisture still around. Once in meso range maybe they'll pick up on some kind of changeover. I'm not picky lol. Strong vort pass on some guidance Saturday. There is not a strong vort max/shortwave there. Its a broad vorticity lobe, and they generally don't induce anything notable at the surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 13, 2021 Share Posted January 13, 2021 3 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: I was looking at this enhanced piece on the Gfs The vorticity is still strung out/elongated, and so the divergent flow (PVA) is not very strong. Plus dry air is advecting in and the upper jet is off to the east. I mean, it could produce some rain/snow showers, and that's basically what the model is depicting. There isn't much chance of anything more than that unless something significantly changes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts