psuhoffman Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 8 minutes ago, Ji said: is supression still a risk lol? Yes but if the further north primary idea of the gfs/Cmc is correct it’s a split threat. WAA wave gets suppressed coastal forms late. We’re stuck in between. Always something waiting to steal out snow man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Here’s UK at 120 and 144: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, Ji said: i think i would take the CMC if euro folds What does it say? For some reason CMC not updating on TT or WB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, jaydreb said: What does it say? For some reason CMC not updating on TT or WB. 4 to 8 basically 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, jaydreb said: What does it say? For some reason CMC not updating on TT or WB. the precip(not the precip type) has fully updated. Lots of greeen over us https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gem®ion=neus&pkg=mslp_pcpn&runtime=2021012700&fh=24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, yoda said: 4 to 8 basically really? from 42 hours of snow smh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 120 hr 24 hr snowfall map still looks solid for 0z Ukie. Solid 5-10” deal to the naked eye Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: Yes but if the further north primary idea of the gfs/Cmc is correct it’s a split threat. WAA wave gets suppressed coastal forms late. We’re stuck in between. Always something waiting to steal out snow man. So we need the suppression on the primary to get it just south enough to form when we need it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, Ji said: really? from 42 hours of snow smh? Yes... it's on PW out to 192 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 2 minutes ago, Ji said: the precip(not the precip type) has fully updated. Lots of greeen over us https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gem®ion=neus&pkg=mslp_pcpn&runtime=2021012700&fh=24 Thanks. I only look at weenie maps that show blue. Looks like DC flirts with mixing/rain during at least part of the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 7 minutes ago, Ji said: got it---still with that track--threre isnt much CCB on the model. is it cause LP isnt deep enough? Messy transfer. The euro amplified the h5 low and rolls it through with a clean transfer and phase with the secondary. The other guidance gets to the Ohio valley then gets messy. The upper level low broadens and starts to pinwheel around and the secondary can’t really amplify and develop a nice clean closed circulation to get that ccb going. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 2 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: So we need the suppression on the primary to get it just south enough to form when we need it? Basically we need just enough suppression but not too much suppression. We need it to transfer further south, but not too south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 so euro has no model that even supports half of whats its giving us. Maybe a good time to go to bed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, Ji said: so euro has no model that even supports half of whats its giving us. Maybe a good time to go to bed See you in an hour 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 UK is a weird run. Looks like it runs the ccb through NOVA and DC. But only about an inch total QPF through 144. Still a really nice hit. Just weird look to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fourseasons Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 36 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Man it took me 10 seconds to find MD on that thing, lol *gets dizzy* If it helps, I'm from Canada and I was wondering what kind of sad Ys are those for the Canuck airport locations. They look like Vs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Definitely a disappointing night but if euro is close to holding we can do a full reset tomorrow Sent from my SM-G981V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 9 minutes ago, fourseasons said: If it helps, I'm from Canada and I was wondering what kind of sad Ys are those for the Canuck airport locations. They look like Vs. Wait those are Y's? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fourseasons Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 6 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Wait those are Y's? Lol Now what starts with the letter Y? Canadian airports start with Y! Toronto is YYZ! (Sorry, not mocking, just had a certain song pop into my head. Give me a couple minutes and I could probably write an entire parody to said famous song using the above.) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 I hope this isn't one of those zwyts one post night Sent from my SM-G981V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Any word on the GEPS for those who can see? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 I hate typing this but based on the 12z and 18z eps...there should not be a dramatic shift in the euro tonight.Sent from my SM-G981V using Tapatalk 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 3 minutes ago, Ji said: I hate typing this but based on the 12z and 18z eps...there should not be a dramatic shift in the euro tonight. Sent from my SM-G981V using Tapatalk This is interfering with my sleep, but we gain like 3 minutes of sleep with every run 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 12 minutes ago, Thanatos_I_Am said: Any word on the GEPS for those who can see? 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 6 minutes ago, Ji said: I hate typing this but based on the 12z and 18z eps...there should not be a dramatic shift in the euro tonight. Sent from my SM-G981V using Tapatalk Anything less than 25” will be a step back though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 This is interfering with my sleep, but we gain like 3 minutes of sleep with every runThis is alot harder to do than 10 years agoSent from my SM-G981V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Anything less than 25” will be a step back though. It's going to step back because 12z was a perfect run. But the old euro would never go from 35 to 8 in one runSent from my SM-G981V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, Ji said: This is alot harder to do than 10 years ago Sent from my SM-G981V using Tapatalk If it wasn't for the 3 second commute from my pillow to my laptop, this would be tougher. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 1 minute ago, Deck Pic said: This is interfering with my sleep, but we gain like 3 minutes of sleep with every run At least we’ll know quickly. Someone will post how it looks different before 115 and bam off to slumber town Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, BristowWx said: At least we’ll know quickly. Someone will post how it looks different before 115 and bam off to slumber town If it's good, there is no immediate going to sleep... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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