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January Storm Term Threat Discussions (Day 3 - Day 7)


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Just now, Chris78 said:

I get it. I've had sleet with temps in the teens back in the 90s. They were storms driving in,from the west though.  My point is with a low bombing off the coast I generally would have better temps upstairs in these situations. Atleast In my BY. I'm pretty far west.

 

I have had a couple of situations with frz. Below 20 degrees.  Super cad. 

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7 minutes ago, nj2va said:

Amazing how different the evolution at 500 is than the Euro.  Vort on the GFS is robust/closed over the plains but then opens/weakens as it heads east.  Euro has a much stronger vort.

Yup. The euro rolls the upper level through amplifying the whole way. The gfs stalls the trough in the Midwest then becomes a diffuse mess opening up a broad h5 circulation. Weird. 

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Just now, psuhoffman said:

Yup. The euro rolls the upper level through amplifying the whole way. The gfs stalls the trough in the Midwest then becomes a diffuse mess opening up a broad h5 circulation. Weird. 

It’s hard to argue against the EPS 500 evolution...such a huge signal for an amplifying SW.  Also, GFS has been.....wait for it.......trending.

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