jayyy Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, Chris78 said: The thermals are wonky surface temps in the low 20s in Northern MD with a bombing storm off the coast and it's not snow lol. Doesnt make sense to me. It can be 20-25 degrees and be pouring sleet. Trust me. As somebody who grew up in the mix zone NW of NYC, it happens enough. Saw a nasty sleet storm up there in the early 2000s and it never got above 30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 1 minute ago, LP08 said: Stronger primary into MO...high is a mb or two weaker. huh? at 96 primary is the exact same strength and position vs 18z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: at H5, not noticing any huge differences so far. At 96 there’s a difference along the coast, up north and south of us. I’m not up on the technical terms 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanconway63 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 looks almost identical to 18z through 90 to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, stormtracker said: huh? at 96 primary is the exact same strength vs 18z? It was a mb or two stronger in the plains. Noise I know. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Snow on DC doorstep at 102. Primary on Southern Missouri and Indiana Bordee Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 1002mb SLP SW IN at 108 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Riding further west at 102 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 GFS has light snow breaking out in the SW part of the forum late Saturday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Heavy stuff moving in by 108. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 confluence is a touch better at 108 but not sure it's going to give us the goods this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Primary in N KY and moving due west. Still snow from about ezf and north. At 111 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Transfer ongoing at 120 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, jayyy said: It can be 20-25 degrees and be pouring sleet. Trust me. As somebody who grew up in the mix zone NW of NYC, it happens enough. Saw a nasty sleet storm up there in the early 2000s and it never got above 30 I get it. I've had sleet with temps in the teens back in the 90s. They were storms driving in,from the west though. My point is with a low bombing off the coast I generally would have better temps upstairs in these situations. Atleast In my BY. I'm pretty far west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, stormtracker said: confluence is a touch better at 108 but not sure it's going to give us the goods this run Nope, it’s a mix up here at 120 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Decent thump to dry slot by 117 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 still shitty with the transfer, but it's a touch souther....so still on track with the trend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 GFS not going to get the job done. Upper energy looks baggy and transfer too late to the coastal. We get waa front end and that is all. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, mappy said: Nope, it’s a mix up here at 120 Yep. it was rain at 18z. But still a fail on the GFS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 GFS is a hot steaming pile of garbage. See y'all tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanconway63 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Nobody on this board should be taking the GFS seriously with how it has performed lately. If the Euro ends up being even remotely close its the King for a reason 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Another tick south. Trend 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDreamer Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 D.C. loses 850s at 120, remarkably consistent with 18Z this run for the GFS so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, Quasievil said: GFS is a hot steaming pile of garbage. See y'all tomorrow. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, Chris78 said: I get it. I've had sleet with temps in the teens back in the 90s. They were storms driving in,from the west though. My point is with a low bombing off the coast I generally would have better temps upstairs in these situations. Atleast In my BY. I'm pretty far west. I have had a couple of situations with frz. Below 20 degrees. Super cad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Para looks a bit colder. Heavy snow breaking out at 108 sw va and moving toward the dc crew. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, Buddy1987 said: Para looks a bit colder. Heavy snow breaking out at 108 sw va and moving toward the dc crew. Heavy snow at 114 Dry slot at 120 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Amazing how different the evolution at 500 is than the Euro. Vort on the GFS is robust/closed over the plains but then opens/weakens as it heads east. Euro has a much stronger vort. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Para looking better with the WAA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, psuhoffman said: Another tick south. Trend It is the seasonal trend. I saw it on the 12Z euro too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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