JakkelWx Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 I mean the "worst" looking model for the potential storm still shows a general 4-8'' 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: You need to get ur shit together. Seriously. Para is not a disaster. 4-8 is satisfactory when that is the full potential of the storm. When its the the worst case scenario, it dosent excite me 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 1 minute ago, Ji said: 4-8 is satisfactory when that is the full potential of the storm. When its the the worst case scenario, it dosent excite me What is the best case scenario you are looking for? 40" ? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deer Whisperer Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, Ji said: 4-8 is satisfactory when that is the full potential of the storm. When its the the worst case scenario, it dosent excite me Maybe not you, but most people in here would be ecstatic with 4-8". It's not a disaster, and it was a step in the right direction. Perspective Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend 10 2 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 at a glance, it does look like gfs/para "ticked" south, but we might need that pac wave to take more of a southerly route. as is, the trough looks a little too far north/east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Anyone curious what I thought of the gfs 3 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Couldn't be happier with that run....Im not trying see any "sudden movements" or some out of the blue TPV. If the gfs dropped as far south as the euro in one run it probably wouldnt stop there. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 2 minutes ago, Ji said: 4-8 is satisfactory when that is the full potential of the storm. When its the the worst case scenario, it dosent excite me Trend 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Please stop quoting or referring to people who make attention-seeking posts. FFS. GFS is beginning its trend. 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: Trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend trend What are you saying? Can you be more emphatic or clear? Jesus Mary and Joseph 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 5 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said: What is the best case scenario you are looking for? 40" ? 41.5” but who’s counting 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 did anyone look at the 12z gfs past this storm. lol..very wintry and cold. What happened to the warm Feb? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inthepines Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, Ji said: did anyone look at the 12z gfs past this storm. lol..very wintry and cold. What happened to the warm Feb? Wheres BAM? IS the GEFS correcting warm by .23 degrees on day 16 still? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 4 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Trend do you see anything that would cause the euro to shift dramatically? besides are climo, bad luck, our magic in avoiding snow and having a "Jonah" on this forum? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 In my untrained non meteorologist opinion (shocking I know), we seem to be settling in on a decent snow event. The only thing that needs to be worked out in the coming days is if we’re getting SECS, MECS, HECS, BECS, or TEXMEX. I’ll see myself out now. 2 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 I'll take a simple blend of the Euro and GFS 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 1 minute ago, Ji said: did anyone look at the 12z gfs past this storm. lol..very wintry and cold. What happened to the warm Feb? Teleconnections look good going forward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 18z GEFS starting to pop a few lows in better spots. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardmeiser Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 7 minutes ago, Ji said: did anyone look at the 12z gfs past this storm. lol..very wintry and cold. What happened to the warm Feb? So no warmth and big lakes cutters? Good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 8 minutes ago, BristowWx said: What are you saying? Can you be more emphatic or clear? Jesus Mary and Joseph Sorry I can break it down This Run Eased Nearer Direction 2 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 9 minutes ago, Ji said: do you see anything that would cause the euro to shift dramatically? besides are climo, bad luck, our magic in avoiding snow and having a "Jonah" on this forum? No so if we fail you should definitely be sacrificed 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Climate175 Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 This seems appropriate for right now. 1 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 26 minutes ago, Dabuckeyes said: Your kind of disaster or 3-6" disaster? 29 minutes ago, Ji said: man the para is a disaster again. What is going on here? Para is a 6 to 14" disaster from SE to NW lol. Looks damn good to me lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 this did improve 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fields27 Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 This seems appropriate for right now.I remember seeing this a few years ago. I feel like the gfs and nam can easily switch seats here. Sent from my SM-N975U using Tapatalk 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 4 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Sorry I can break it down This Run Eased Nearer Direction Let me help .. This moRon irritatEs Nearly everyboDy 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 @Ji you know there are always things that could go wrong. I guess the most obvious is the flow over the NE doesn’t relax enough and the WAA wave gets suppressed then the coastal develops too slow. Secondary development is always tricky. But this has a lot more going for it then against it. BTW word of advice. Don’t set your bar at hecs. But also when evaluating the setup each run weight the guidance according to their results and performance. Euro/Eps is the baseline. Then adjust using other guidance but don’t over weight the gfs. It shouldn’t get any more weight (frankly less) that most of the other ancillary guidance available. We way over weight it because of its prevalence. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Assuming this can somehow rival 2016, did the Euro lead the way on that one? And at what point did euro and GFS both go mega solutions together? 90 hours out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: @Ji you know there are always things that could go wrong. This is where he stopped reading 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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