LeesburgWx Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Who's starting the thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, LeesburgWx said: Who's starting the thread? Randy on Thursday 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, LeesburgWx said: Who's starting the thread? No one. Until Thursday at least. 6 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 3 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: My baseline is 6" - 10" for this event. If we get somewhere in there, cool. Anything more is gravy. The past 4 years have been poo and having it fall on a weekend would be great. If we're taking the Icon's snowfall duration into consideration.. are you talking about this weekend or the weekend after that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 The one thing I did not like was at hour 96 on the H5, the pesky TPV showed up again... that is what pushed everything south... We have played this game before. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 2 minutes ago, Interstate said: The one thing I did not like was at hour 96 on the H5, the pesky TPV showed up again... that is what pushed everything south... We have played this game before. but the run ended up fine... so... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 So 12z Recap and please correct me if I'm wrong about any of these GFS/GEFS: light/decent Para: good CMC/GEPS: decent UK: decent Euro/EPS: ridiculous Icon: very good JMA: good Navgem: good Am I missing anything? I'll tell you what, I'm glad it's not the GEFS/EPS reversed. The GEFS was holding on to the Thursday storm long after the EPS said it was going to the Carolinas. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just missing your old avatar...I miss the weather weenie superhero. My mistake, that might be DD Weatherman or something of that ilk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 9 minutes ago, DCTeacherman said: So 12z Recap and please correct me if I'm wrong about any of these GFS/GEFS: light/decent Para: good CMC/GEPS: decent UK: decent Euro/EPS: ridiculous Icon: very good JMA: good Navgem: good Am I missing anything? I'll tell you what, I'm glad it's not the GEFS/EPS reversed. The GEFS was holding on to the Thursday storm long after the EPS said it was going to the Carolinas. The UK would have been very good IMO. Only out to 144. There was a lot of meat left on that bone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDreamer Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 I count no less than 16 EPS members that give DCA 10"+ With 5 days until it starts snowing here that's crazy. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 1 minute ago, clskinsfan said: The UK would have been very good IMO. Only out to 144. There was a lot of meat left on that bone. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve25 Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 I've noticed a bit of a trend this winter, that there have been some insane model results from 6-7 days away, people have gotten really hyped up, and then around day 5 the models tend to get a much more realistic grasp on things, then within 5 days the more fine details are worked out. It's taught me not to buy in to any solutions at all until the height of the storm is within 120 hours on the models. So, if the models are still on board for a decent snowstorm of any variety come tomorrow's 12z suite, I'll jump on the train. Until then, I wish you all the best. Hoping there's no crumble overnight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Bastardi is all-in. He invoked 1996 and 1978. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Improvement 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 1 minute ago, Steve25 said: I've noticed a bit of a trend this winter, that there have been some insane model results from 6-7 days away, people have gotten really hyped up, and then around day 5 the models tend to get a much more realistic grasp on things, then within 5 days the more fine details are worked out. It's taught me not to buy in to any solutions at all until the height of the storm is within 120 hours on the models. So, if the models are still on board for a decent snowstorm of any variety come tomorrow's 12z suite, I'll jump on the train. Until then, I wish you all the best. Hoping there's no crumble overnight. You just noticed this trend this winter only? In all seriousness that is how the models generally work every year. Outlandish solutions possible at long leads, slowly figuring out the details as we get closer and then fine tuning closer in. That's not a unique thing to this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, Kmlwx said: You just noticed this trend this winter only? In all seriousness that is how the models generally work every year. Outlandish solutions possible at long leads, slowly figuring out the details as we get closer and then fine tuning closer in. That's not a unique thing to this year. Also remember all of the bitching and moaning about no model showing blue over us...that didn't really change until about the 19th or 20th of this month 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 3 minutes ago, IronTy said: Bastardi is all-in. He invoked 1996 and 1978. Is there a time where hes NOT all-in? lol...Looks good so long as the block pushes this thing just underneath of us and then off the VA capes...but we've been Charlie Browned too much already 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 I’m all in if the 0z Euro holds serve tonight. Then I’m driving the bus when the GFS caves at 12z tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Don’t leave the area, have pushed my chips in, am flying in from K.C. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, Solution Man said: Don’t leave the area, have pushed my chips in, am flying in from K.C. Where you gonna stay? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 1 minute ago, Solution Man said: Don’t leave the area, have pushed my chips in, am flying in from K.C. You're flying out for high cirus clouds? That is some dedication! 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, DCTeacherman said: Where you gonna stay? With my brother who lives in Manassas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deer Whisperer Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, Solution Man said: With my brother who lives in Manassas Bring the magic brother Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Countdown to MOST IMPORTANT EURO RUN EVER. 3 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, Thanatos_I_Am said: You're flying out for high cirus clouds? That is some dedication! This one will work, my bad knee tells me so. If it doesn’t happen at least I can smoke some cigars and drink good scotch with my brother 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, Deer Whisperer said: Bring the magic brother Book it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 17 minutes ago, JakkelWx said: Is that ketchup or mumbo sauce. :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 1 minute ago, Deer Whisperer said: Bring the magic brother Actually moving back to the area again this Summer. My agency is reposting me again 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 12k NAM looks similar to Euro to my untrained eye. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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