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January Storm Term Threat Discussions (Day 3 - Day 7)


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Just now, Wentzadelphia said:

This storm relies on a complicated phase. You guys are in a great spot because WAA snow should hit you either way, but be careful tracking this one. Fasten your seatbelts. I just pray models are right with the phase job this is March 58 esque

Hey guys, that stove is hot and there's an open flame...be careful and don't stick your hand in the fire. 

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Where's the huge Bob Chill stunned face?! :o

What an unreal, amazing Euro run there.  I seriously doubt it will be just like that (but we can hope, sure!)...but I'm encouraged by the possibility even if it ends up not as out-there crazy with the totals or how long it stalls just off OC.  Good 12Z suite today, really.  Let's face it, even the lighter amounts in the GFS and CMC give us near or at warning-level snows.  The Para GFSv16 gives a solid 6-12", the UKMET is in that ballpark.  And the Euro on the high end.  Can't much complain about those goal posts, really, at this point.

Anyone offhand have the temperatures through the entire time?

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Just now, Always in Zugzwang said:

Where's the huge Bob Chill stunned face?! :o

What an unreal, amazing Euro run there.  I seriously doubt it will be just like that (but we can hope, sure!)...but I'm encouraged by the possibility even if it ends up not as out-there crazy with the totals or how long it stalls just off OC.  Good 12Z suite today, really.  Let's face it, even the lighter amounts in the GFS and CMC give us near or at warning-level snows.  The Para GFSv16 gives a solid 6-12", the UKMET is in that ballpark.  And the Euro on the high end.  Can't much complain about those goal posts, really, at this point.

Anyone offhand have the temperatures through the entire time?

27-32 degrees

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4 minutes ago, Always in Zugzwang said:

Where's the huge Bob Chill stunned face?! :o

What an unreal, amazing Euro run there.  I seriously doubt it will be just like that (but we can hope, sure!)...but I'm encouraged by the possibility even if it ends up not as out-there crazy with the totals or how long it stalls just off OC.  Good 12Z suite today, really.  Let's face it, even the lighter amounts in the GFS and CMC give us near or at warning-level snows.  The Para GFSv16 gives a solid 6-12", the UKMET is in that ballpark.  And the Euro on the high end.  Can't much complain about those goal posts, really, at this point.

Anyone offhand have the temperatures through the entire time?

based on snow maps and how far south this shows, I think it fair to put that worry away....for 6 hours anyway :)

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