ovechkin Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: Ongoing theme would argue for less northern progression of the primary and a faster transfer. Seems like the ole path of least resistance theory. Only if the block doesn’t decay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 So uh, that model called the Euro start running yet? We are on life support in this thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLover22 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 maybe the NAVGEM finally gets one right. It obliterates the sub-forum with the CCB. 3 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanconway63 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 FWIW I know most in this forum don't care about tomorrows event but it did do its typical jog north in the last 24 hours with the precipitation field. Something to watch if you think you are fringed this go round.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, ryanconway63 said: FWIW I know most in this forum don't care about tomorrows event but it did do its typical jog north in the last 24 hours with the precipitation field. Something to watch if you think you are fringed this go round.... How far north? Got an image? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, SnowLover22 said: maybe the NAVGEM finally gets one right. It obliterates the sub-forum with the CCB. Panel at 126 hr is even better 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar of Herndon Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 1 minute ago, LeesburgWx said: So uh, that model called the Euro start running yet? We are on life support in this thread Cranks up around 1 pm. Ecstatic Joy or doom and gloom around 1:15 pm eastern. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 NAVGEM was upgraded in April of 20 I believe. so who knows 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, Grothar of Herndon said: Cranks up around 1 pm. Ecstatic Joy or doom and gloom around 1:15 pm eastern. Its already on hour 18 :-). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 10 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said: Current tally for the three storm model prediction in 5 days is little storm verified, moderate storm tonight into tomorrow gone, huge storm Sunday going away. We will see if they hit one out of three or two out of three. Either way, I’m grateful the other science methods I rely on for last 20 years Don’t have an average of 1/3 or 2/3. Vaccines are the rage now, glad they have a 99% effect rate. So many many other examples also. The 'little storm' verified as a huge ice storm here. Still getting an inch or two down here from the moderate storm you say is gone (10 days ago it predicted this SW, btw) and Sunday is not going away, like we all wish you would with this load of crap you spew. So, for mby, the models are 3 for 3. Like PSU said, start making predictions 7-10 days out (or any predictions at all for that matter) and we can track your success vs the models' success. You would have no chance in hell keeping up with NWP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, LeesburgWx said: Panel at 126 hr is even better Don't know where the R/S line is, but the area of 10+ and 20+ on that run is going to be huge. Crushes all of NE and eastern 3rd of PA/NY after us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 3 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said: Panel at 126 hr is even better Navgem kills primary and overruning and just pops a perfect coastal. Souther and Easter folks approve Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, pasnownut said: Navgem kills primary and overruning and just pops a perfect coastal. Souther and Easter folks approve NAVGEM and Canadian are the best case scenarios for just about everyone. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar of Herndon Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: Its already on hour 18 :-). Is that for tomorrow storm? We are close to getting a little something something... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, Eskimo Joe said: NAVGEM and Canadian are the best case scenarios for just about everyone. Hoping to add the King to the list in 20 min. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, Grothar of Herndon said: Is that for tomorrow storm? We are close to getting a little something something... It is indeed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Euro has a decent snowstorm for SW VA tomorrow. Get precip close out here even. hmmm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, Grothar of Herndon said: Is that for tomorrow storm? We are close to getting a little something something... Beggars can't be choosers. Fairly confident CHO finally gets on the board tomorrow. I'll have to make a friend measure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Tomorrow storm was looking ok but then it kills the northern edge just as it moves south of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deer Whisperer Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: Beggars can't be choosers. Fairly confident CHO finally gets on the board tomorrow. I'll have to make a friend measure. Start a thread! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 2 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: Euro has a decent snowstorm for SW VA tomorrow. Get precip close out here even. hmmm. It's right where we want it this far out. 8 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Probably the most important hour of our lives coming up. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 1 minute ago, Deer Whisperer said: Start a thread! If I had it my way we'd have threads for flurries... I'm a big fan of trying to archive every possible event. It's a real storm for parts of our subforum, so I'd make a thread if it wouldn't immediately get deleted. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deer Whisperer Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, jaydreb said: Probably the most important hour of our lives coming up. ironty said that was tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, Deer Whisperer said: ironty said that was tomorrow Won’t be a tomorrow if we all jump off the cliff today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 1 minute ago, jaydreb said: Probably the most important hour of our lives coming up. The most important Euro run of all time is always the next one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 2 minutes ago, wxtrix said: you seem really emotional. The irony is stunning, I must say! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 I'm out to 60 on Pivotal right now. I don't see any massive changes. Just the usual noise it seems. But I only glanced. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 29 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said: Current tally for the three storm model prediction in 5 days is little storm verified, moderate storm tonight into tomorrow gone, huge storm Sunday going away. We will see if they hit one out of three or two out of three. Either way, I’m grateful the other science methods I rely on for last 20 years Don’t have an average of 1/3 or 2/3. Vaccines are the rage now, glad they have a 99% effacy rate. So many many other examples also. Used to be tubes and transistors everywhere. Now microdot miniaturization and phones we hold in the palm of our hands that not long ago filled an entire room. Models are still transistors and tubes. Far more emphasis needs to be placed on the 3 day and inside and stop wasting time and money on these 5-10 out tasks which are simply too precise to actually be of value. Break it down into zones, say from Maine to VA and east of mountains is zone A. Ditch the 20” snow graphics for 5+ and merely issue text that Zone A has heightened opportunity for heavy snow in 5-10 days and then get down to the very suggestive and explicit graphics come day 3 Not merely bitching but rather offering suggestions and solutions. This is a model discussion for day 3 to 7 weather threats. This type of message just clogs up the forum. 10 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Love me some 1 post posters making that type of first post 1 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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