LeesburgWx Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 On 1/27/2021 at 5:49 PM, SnowLover22 said: maybe the NAVGEM finally gets one right. It obliterates the sub-forum with the CCB. Expand Panel at 126 hr is even better 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar of Herndon Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 On 1/27/2021 at 5:49 PM, LeesburgWx said: So uh, that model called the Euro start running yet? We are on life support in this thread Expand Cranks up around 1 pm. Ecstatic Joy or doom and gloom around 1:15 pm eastern. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 NAVGEM was upgraded in April of 20 I believe. so who knows 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 On 1/27/2021 at 5:52 PM, Grothar of Herndon said: Cranks up around 1 pm. Ecstatic Joy or doom and gloom around 1:15 pm eastern. Expand Its already on hour 18 :-). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 On 1/27/2021 at 5:37 PM, WEATHER53 said: Current tally for the three storm model prediction in 5 days is little storm verified, moderate storm tonight into tomorrow gone, huge storm Sunday going away. We will see if they hit one out of three or two out of three. Either way, I’m grateful the other science methods I rely on for last 20 years Don’t have an average of 1/3 or 2/3. Vaccines are the rage now, glad they have a 99% effect rate. So many many other examples also. Expand The 'little storm' verified as a huge ice storm here. Still getting an inch or two down here from the moderate storm you say is gone (10 days ago it predicted this SW, btw) and Sunday is not going away, like we all wish you would with this load of crap you spew. So, for mby, the models are 3 for 3. Like PSU said, start making predictions 7-10 days out (or any predictions at all for that matter) and we can track your success vs the models' success. You would have no chance in hell keeping up with NWP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 On 1/27/2021 at 5:51 PM, LeesburgWx said: Panel at 126 hr is even better Expand Don't know where the R/S line is, but the area of 10+ and 20+ on that run is going to be huge. Crushes all of NE and eastern 3rd of PA/NY after us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 On 1/27/2021 at 5:51 PM, LeesburgWx said: Panel at 126 hr is even better Expand Navgem kills primary and overruning and just pops a perfect coastal. Souther and Easter folks approve Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 On 1/27/2021 at 5:56 PM, pasnownut said: Navgem kills primary and overruning and just pops a perfect coastal. Souther and Easter folks approve Expand NAVGEM and Canadian are the best case scenarios for just about everyone. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar of Herndon Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 On 1/27/2021 at 5:54 PM, Bubbler86 said: Its already on hour 18 :-). Expand Is that for tomorrow storm? We are close to getting a little something something... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 On 1/27/2021 at 5:57 PM, Eskimo Joe said: NAVGEM and Canadian are the best case scenarios for just about everyone. Expand Hoping to add the King to the list in 20 min. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 On 1/27/2021 at 5:57 PM, Grothar of Herndon said: Is that for tomorrow storm? We are close to getting a little something something... Expand It is indeed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Euro has a decent snowstorm for SW VA tomorrow. Get precip close out here even. hmmm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 On 1/27/2021 at 5:57 PM, Grothar of Herndon said: Is that for tomorrow storm? We are close to getting a little something something... Expand Beggars can't be choosers. Fairly confident CHO finally gets on the board tomorrow. I'll have to make a friend measure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Tomorrow storm was looking ok but then it kills the northern edge just as it moves south of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deer Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 On 1/27/2021 at 5:59 PM, NorthArlington101 said: Beggars can't be choosers. Fairly confident CHO finally gets on the board tomorrow. I'll have to make a friend measure. Expand Start a thread! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 On 1/27/2021 at 5:58 PM, clskinsfan said: Euro has a decent snowstorm for SW VA tomorrow. Get precip close out here even. hmmm. Expand It's right where we want it this far out. 8 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Probably the most important hour of our lives coming up. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 On 1/27/2021 at 6:00 PM, Deer Whisperer said: Start a thread! Expand If I had it my way we'd have threads for flurries... I'm a big fan of trying to archive every possible event. It's a real storm for parts of our subforum, so I'd make a thread if it wouldn't immediately get deleted. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deer Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 On 1/27/2021 at 6:02 PM, jaydreb said: Probably the most important hour of our lives coming up. Expand ironty said that was tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 On 1/27/2021 at 6:03 PM, Deer Whisperer said: ironty said that was tomorrow Expand Won’t be a tomorrow if we all jump off the cliff today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 On 1/27/2021 at 6:02 PM, jaydreb said: Probably the most important hour of our lives coming up. Expand The most important Euro run of all time is always the next one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 On 1/27/2021 at 6:03 PM, wxtrix said: you seem really emotional. Expand The irony is stunning, I must say! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 I'm out to 60 on Pivotal right now. I don't see any massive changes. Just the usual noise it seems. But I only glanced. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 On 1/27/2021 at 5:37 PM, WEATHER53 said: Current tally for the three storm model prediction in 5 days is little storm verified, moderate storm tonight into tomorrow gone, huge storm Sunday going away. We will see if they hit one out of three or two out of three. Either way, I’m grateful the other science methods I rely on for last 20 years Don’t have an average of 1/3 or 2/3. Vaccines are the rage now, glad they have a 99% effacy rate. So many many other examples also. Used to be tubes and transistors everywhere. Now microdot miniaturization and phones we hold in the palm of our hands that not long ago filled an entire room. Models are still transistors and tubes. Far more emphasis needs to be placed on the 3 day and inside and stop wasting time and money on these 5-10 out tasks which are simply too precise to actually be of value. Break it down into zones, say from Maine to VA and east of mountains is zone A. Ditch the 20” snow graphics for 5+ and merely issue text that Zone A has heightened opportunity for heavy snow in 5-10 days and then get down to the very suggestive and explicit graphics come day 3 Not merely bitching but rather offering suggestions and solutions. Expand This is a model discussion for day 3 to 7 weather threats. This type of message just clogs up the forum. 10 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Love me some 1 post posters making that type of first post 1 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Through 69, slightly higher heights through the Midwest, but I’m nitpicking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 6 minutes away from Joy or Google searches for cliffs and bridges to jump from 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 A bit more ridging in front of the s/w at 12z 72 compared to 00z 84 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 H5 seems closer to being closed off at 72 than the 0z run. By a bit - nothing huge again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 On 1/27/2021 at 6:08 PM, H2O said: Love me some 1 post posters making that type of first post Expand And timed to coincide with the most important Euro run of the year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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