Thanatos_I_Am Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Because the CMC is showing a better result IMBY, I now have to ask... it scores better than GFS recently, no? Thought I had read that on here earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 I'd take the CMC in a heartbeat and call it a winter. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 kuchera for 24 hour accums at 00z monday --- CMC --- transfer about to pop on this panel, 108 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, Eskimo Joe said: I'd take the CMC in a heartbeat and call it a winter. you should take the GFS too considering how little snow you've gotten so far. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanconway63 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 CMC total Snow through hour 150 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Yeah, CMC is def better than the GFS. Nice compromise. I'd take it Along 95 mixes with sleet for a good while...but even that I am somewhat skeptical...it secondaries to the outer banks and tracks up off the coast and stalls for 12 hours just east of Ocean City while it tracks the upper energy right over us. History suggests that works out pretty good. The one factor muting the outcome somewhat on the CMC is the coastal takes its time really getting going. But amp that up SLIGHTLY...say one more bump like this was from 0z and we end up with a very nice outcome. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, mappy said: you should take the GFS too considering how little snow you've gotten so far. Lol. Someone call a medic. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar of Herndon Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 24 minutes ago, ovechkin said: So on the one hand we were told to be worried about suppression. Now everything is too far north. I don’t even know what to root against or for anymore. I think the south trend concern has been with the Euro. Other models have been more north and Miller B potential Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, snowfan said: Lol. Someone call a medic. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 CMC has hours and hours of rain east of I-95 with the coastal, before flipping back to snow. It would wipe out the front end thump. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanconway63 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 I would expect the 12z Euro to look very similar to the 00z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Here is total precip....through 192.....light blue is 1-1.25 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Canadian snow depth map is a pretty smooth 2-4 throughout the area. Kuchera is higher obviously. Used wrong run earlier. Disregard my stupidity. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, Deck Pic said: Here is total precip....through 192.....light blue is 1-1.25 Thanks, Matt. Looks good up here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 1 minute ago, CAPE said: CMC has hours and hours of rain east of I-95 with the coastal, before flipping back to snow. It would wipe the front end thump. if the primary hangs on too long that's a bigger problem for places southeast of 95 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 27, 2021 Author Share Posted January 27, 2021 You can send those snow depth maps to the trash can on your computer. 5 1 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 @clskinsfanthat's 0z's Kuchera map. 12z looks pretty decent forum-wide through 132 and still snowing. Will post when those panels come out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 1 minute ago, clskinsfan said: Canadian snow depth map is a pretty smooth 2-4 throughout the area. Kuchera is higher obviously: Per the Euro yesterday that's in meters, right? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, Cobalt said: @clskinsfanthat's 0z's Kuchera map. 12z looks pretty decent forum-wide through 132 and still snowing. Will post when those panels come out. You are right. I apologize for the error!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 it can suppress south again. Just sayin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deer Whisperer Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Kuchera looks like it's gonna be 7-10" for pretty much all of us 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, Deer Whisperer said: Kuchera looks like it's gonna be 7-10" for pretty much all of us Hedge the under would be a safe bet and would give you room in case the transfer to the coastal is late. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 CMC looks an awful lot like just a weaker version of the Euro to me. Snows forever, and like PSU said, just make it a better transfer and a little stronger and it's a much better result. Snows for like 60 hours. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deer Whisperer Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, Eskimo Joe said: Hedge the under would be a safe bet and would give you room in case the transfer to the coastal is late. Yeah it would definitely be iffy down here. Anything over 2" is a win for me at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 This is QPF on the GGEM after the coastal takes over. For us “westerners” this is all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 1 minute ago, Deer Whisperer said: Yeah it would definitely be iffy down here. Anything over 2" is a win for me at this point Yeah I flirt with sleet for one panel but stay in the blue. Too close for comfort if you go to sleet. Still nice event for many. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 4 minutes ago, osfan24 said: CMC looks an awful lot like just a weaker version of the Euro to me. Snows forever, and like PSU said, just make it a better transfer and a little stronger and it's a much better result. Snows for like 60 hours. I think the fact that a recent model run has still produced this version is good. Shows that idea is not off the table. Bring on the EURO! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, WVclimo said: This is QPF on the GGEM after the coastal takes over. For us “westerners” this is all snow. Man, this panel tells a lot. This is an incredibly tight set up as is. Transfer a little later... most of us are outside looking in for costal action. Transfer a little earlier... might be double digits region wide. This is going to come down to the wire for the coastal stuff. Exciting and terrifying. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Hope the Ukie is at least decent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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