Ji Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 thoughts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Gefs trends 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TPAwx Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Tempted to come up for this one, if Euro holds serve 96 hours out. Need a change from running the AC and wearing shorts. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 On 1/27/2021 at 4:45 AM, Ji said: what do you mean it captures too soon? Expand Too far west...tucks in slightly too tight. But I don’t buy a lot from off VA beach ending up inland over NJ. But one reason that run is icon takes too long to progress the h5 east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 On 1/27/2021 at 4:52 AM, psuhoffman said: Too far west...tucks in slightly too tight. But I don’t buy a lot from off VA beach ending up inland over NJ Expand got it---still with that track--threre isnt much CCB on the model. is it cause LP isnt deep enough? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricanegiants Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 On 1/27/2021 at 4:52 AM, psuhoffman said: Too far west...tucks in slightly too tight. But I don’t buy a lot from off VA beach ending up inland over NJ. But one reason that run is icon takes too long to progress the h5 east. Expand Just for clarification, assuming the ideal spot for the coastal is V/NC border? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 i think i would take the CMC if euro folds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 On 1/27/2021 at 4:46 AM, Ji said: is supression still a risk lol? Expand Yes but if the further north primary idea of the gfs/Cmc is correct it’s a split threat. WAA wave gets suppressed coastal forms late. We’re stuck in between. Always something waiting to steal out snow man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Here’s UK at 120 and 144: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 On 1/27/2021 at 4:57 AM, Ji said: i think i would take the CMC if euro folds Expand What does it say? For some reason CMC not updating on TT or WB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 On 1/27/2021 at 4:58 AM, jaydreb said: What does it say? For some reason CMC not updating on TT or WB. Expand 4 to 8 basically 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 On 1/27/2021 at 4:58 AM, jaydreb said: What does it say? For some reason CMC not updating on TT or WB. Expand the precip(not the precip type) has fully updated. Lots of greeen over us https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gem®ion=neus&pkg=mslp_pcpn&runtime=2021012700&fh=24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 On 1/27/2021 at 5:00 AM, yoda said: 4 to 8 basically Expand really? from 42 hours of snow smh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 120 hr 24 hr snowfall map still looks solid for 0z Ukie. Solid 5-10” deal to the naked eye Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 On 1/27/2021 at 4:57 AM, psuhoffman said: Yes but if the further north primary idea of the gfs/Cmc is correct it’s a split threat. WAA wave gets suppressed coastal forms late. We’re stuck in between. Always something waiting to steal out snow man. Expand So we need the suppression on the primary to get it just south enough to form when we need it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 On 1/27/2021 at 5:01 AM, Ji said: really? from 42 hours of snow smh? Expand Yes... it's on PW out to 192 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 On 1/27/2021 at 5:00 AM, Ji said: the precip(not the precip type) has fully updated. Lots of greeen over us https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gem®ion=neus&pkg=mslp_pcpn&runtime=2021012700&fh=24 Expand Thanks. I only look at weenie maps that show blue. Looks like DC flirts with mixing/rain during at least part of the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 On 1/27/2021 at 4:54 AM, Ji said: got it---still with that track--threre isnt much CCB on the model. is it cause LP isnt deep enough? Expand Messy transfer. The euro amplified the h5 low and rolls it through with a clean transfer and phase with the secondary. The other guidance gets to the Ohio valley then gets messy. The upper level low broadens and starts to pinwheel around and the secondary can’t really amplify and develop a nice clean closed circulation to get that ccb going. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 On 1/27/2021 at 5:01 AM, Maestrobjwa said: So we need the suppression on the primary to get it just south enough to form when we need it? Expand Basically we need just enough suppression but not too much suppression. We need it to transfer further south, but not too south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 so euro has no model that even supports half of whats its giving us. Maybe a good time to go to bed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 On 1/27/2021 at 5:05 AM, Ji said: so euro has no model that even supports half of whats its giving us. Maybe a good time to go to bed Expand See you in an hour 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 UK is a weird run. Looks like it runs the ccb through NOVA and DC. But only about an inch total QPF through 144. Still a really nice hit. Just weird look to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fourseasons Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 On 1/27/2021 at 4:26 AM, Maestrobjwa said: Man it took me 10 seconds to find MD on that thing, lol *gets dizzy* Expand If it helps, I'm from Canada and I was wondering what kind of sad Ys are those for the Canuck airport locations. They look like Vs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Definitely a disappointing night but if euro is close to holding we can do a full reset tomorrow Sent from my SM-G981V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 On 1/27/2021 at 5:08 AM, fourseasons said: If it helps, I'm from Canada and I was wondering what kind of sad Ys are those for the Canuck airport locations. They look like Vs. Expand Wait those are Y's? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fourseasons Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 On 1/27/2021 at 5:19 AM, Maestrobjwa said: Wait those are Y's? Lol Expand Now what starts with the letter Y? Canadian airports start with Y! Toronto is YYZ! (Sorry, not mocking, just had a certain song pop into my head. Give me a couple minutes and I could probably write an entire parody to said famous song using the above.) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 I hope this isn't one of those zwyts one post night Sent from my SM-G981V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Any word on the GEPS for those who can see? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 I hate typing this but based on the 12z and 18z eps...there should not be a dramatic shift in the euro tonight.Sent from my SM-G981V using Tapatalk 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 On 1/27/2021 at 5:41 AM, Thanatos_I_Am said: Any word on the GEPS for those who can see? Expand 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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