anotherman Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Yes, "Shawshank" is one of my favorites, have seen it many times!!Hope is a good thing. Maybe the best of things. And no good thing ever dies.... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 In case anyone still cares, the euro has trended EVEN WEAKER with the sw thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 2 minutes ago, paulythegun said: In case anyone still cares, the euro has trended EVEN WEAKER with the sw thursday. Old news. The new hotness is Sunday. We like our fails spaced 2 days apart. 3 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 the low on the Euro is a little bit south of the 00z run at 126hr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 This winter is like an endless bio pic about Jennifer Anniston and Brad Pitt’s love life. Endless delays to inevitable heartbreak. Unreal how many big threats have fallen apart this winter so far. Sunday’s setup is much nicer than Thursday’s - until Thursday comes and we’ll be talking about Sunday’s threat slowly disappearing and a threat for next Wednesday emerging - LOL. IM TIRED OF TRACKING YALL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 5 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Old news. The new hotness is Sunday. We like our fails spaced 2 days apart. Ha! Yes, the giant boob over Canada is responsible for this Thursday's fail. Looking forward to seeing what boob cancels Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Euro...hmmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Based on how tonights storm has trended better I will say that starting tomorrow the Thursday storm will suddenly get better. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Just now, stormtracker said: Euro...hmmm That LP craaawls east. 24 hours to get from Kansas City to southern Indiana lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Just now, Paleocene said: That LP craaawls east. 24 hours to get from Kansas City to southern Indiana lol No, that's not what I'm hmm about. Euro looks like it's heading for something big at 156 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Just now, stormtracker said: Euro...hmmm euro actually brings the snow closer than the GFS for Thursday lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Euro...hmmm timing a lot slower than the CMC..but looking interesting at 162...168 also Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Just now, stormtracker said: No, that's not what I'm hmm about. Euro looks like it's heading for something big . Indeed, a parallel hmm from me because the LP serious takes almost 2 days to move to the apps 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Just now, Ji said: euro actually brings the snow closer than the GFS for Thursday lol wasn't talking about Thursday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 big storm---loooks liek some snow showers sunday and the big Dog Monday. back to 7 days 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Ha. Damn, I was on it. ANyway, looks like the Low is tucked on the coast, literally raining on our parade. But man, at least it's another fail to track. Problem is, now we WANT the blocking/confluence to be stout. Or we need faster movement of the s/w Ugh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Just now, stormtracker said: Ha. Damn, I was on it. ANyway, looks like the Low is tucked on the coast, literally raining on our parade. But man, at least it's another fail to track. Problem is, now we WANT the blocking/confluence to be stout. Ugh its come quite a ways in 6 hours...and thinking how things have trended recently who knows...but CMC was much more fun to look at Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Just now, stormtracker said: Ha. Damn, I was on it. ANyway, looks like the Low is tucked on the coast, literally raining on our parade. But man, at least it's another fail to track. Problem is, now we WANT the blocking/confluence to be stout. Ugh just get that low to shift south and transfer south of us and it looks like a slow crawling HECS that got us into this hobby in the first place 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 That would certainly not need much adjustment to be a HECS for the cities... verbatim it is one just N&W... happy to be tracking in late Jan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 8 minutes ago, Paleocene said: . Indeed, a parallel hmm from me because the LP serious takes almost 2 days to move to the apps Seems like that slow movement works to our advantage. Gives time for the low in the Atlantic to get the hell out of the way. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 6 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Ha. Damn, I was on it. ANyway, looks like the Low is tucked on the coast, literally raining on our parade. But man, at least it's another fail to track. Problem is, now we WANT the blocking/confluence to be stout. Or we need faster movement of the s/w Ugh Seems like a camp of lows at the 0z EPS favored a transfer in a pretty decent spot.. 6z looked even better with a bit more confluence and a weaker lp before transfer (but of course it only goes out to 144, which also shows how far out this is lol). Will be interesting to see the look at this panel for 12z, I'd expect some similar looking lps, maybe an improved camp of them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 1 hour ago, stormtracker said: Thankfully the Euro should swoop in here momentarily to kill hope. Hope is a dangerous thing. 17 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Euro...hmmm Very close...big hit for NW of 95. But the trends both now and seasonal are the key. Ignore the gfs also. It’s added more confusion then anything else lately. All other guidance is trending south pretty dramatically over the last 24-48 hours and that fits the seasonal trend. I expect further south adjustment the next 2-3 days. There is a limit to how far south though because this is coming across pretty far north. I’m not as worried this gets squashed south of us as with the Thursday storm. 16 minutes ago, H2O said: Based on how tonights storm has trended better I will say that starting tomorrow the Thursday storm will suddenly get better. Trends since Dec are south/weaker day 3-7 and a slight north amp bump the final 48. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Psuhoff, You know what’s funny. The storm that forms on the euro is actually from another pac piece that breaks off and rounds the base of the trough. Normally that lead shortwave would just take advantage of the cold, but no, it gets delayed and that other shortwave turns the corner and forms a major low, but by this time a loT of the cold is eroded. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Still, it’s in a good spot knowing how we’ve trended this year with confluence trending better and better recently Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Just now, Wentzadelphia said: Still, it’s in a good spot knowing how we’ve trended this year with confluence trending better and better recently the FEb 4 storm look like nate Sudfeld when he came in for Jalen hurts though 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Just now, psuhoffman said: Very close...big hit for NW of 95. But the trends both now and seasonal are the key. Ignore the gfs also. It’s added more confusion then anything else lately. All other guidance is trending south pretty dramatically over the last 24-48 hours and that fits the seasonal trend. I expect further south adjustment the next 2-3 days. There is a limit to how far south though because this is coming across pretty far north. I’m not as worried this gets squashed south of us as with the Thursday storm. Trends since Dec are south/weaker day 3-7 and a slight north amp bump the final 48. I was going to say this, as well. The recent trend now that the blocking is established is a move south. I was thinking the same even over the last 24 hours or so as this window has popped up. You could see how if this followed the recent trends then it could ultimately give us something to really track...even if the ultimate solution isn't perfection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Just now, Ji said: the FEb 4 storm look like nate Sudfeld when he came in for Jalen hurts though Lol, That’s the pattern changer though no worries Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 One thing that looks different for the Day 7 storm, and i know it doesn't mean a whole lot at this stage, but there is definitely sufficient cold to start. This is with precip on the doorstep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 3 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said: Psuhoff, You know what’s funny. The storm that forms on the euro is actually from another pac piece that breaks off and rounds the base of the trough. Normally that lead shortwave would just take advantage of the cold, but no, it gets delayed and that other shortwave turns the corner and forms a major low, but by this time a loT of the cold is eroded. That’s too much specificity for that range. The weird double barrel h5 pinwheel aside the track of the h5 and surface low adjusted south again. That’s the takeaway at that range. I’m not even worrying about that weird h5 Fujiwara it pulled. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 5 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: That’s too much specificity for that range. The weird double barrel h5 pinwheel aside the track of the h5 and surface low adjusted south again. That’s the takeaway at that range. I’m not even worrying about that weird h5 Fujiwara it pulled. True, it does show up on the guidance though, that lead wave can’t do it by itself with the confluence that strong and no ridging behind it. You kind of see hints of it on the cmc as well. Was just pointing it out as another way we could get screwed lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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