Ji Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 give me the GFS solution(a bit more south) and I will be happy for the rest of this January 1 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 1 minute ago, LP08 said: 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 GEFS looks like a beat down. 5 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Just now, Ji said: give me the GFS solution(a bit more south) and I will be happy for the rest of this January LOL. Great....3-4 days without a breakdown. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Super inland solutions Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 I just logged on to see the GFS and... I... Yall. I... I've never seen this haha, not since I've moved here. I'm giddy. Please work out this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 2 minutes ago, Cobalt said: Super inland solutions Dude, come on. We all know how this will end. Let’s just enjoy the next 90 minutes. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 1 minute ago, Cobalt said: Super inland solutions Dartboard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 1 minute ago, Cobalt said: Super inland solutions 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Quite the signal considering this is a 24 hour total on an ensemble given some timing differences, etc. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Hard to believe the euro won't cave tonight as it has all season But....Sent from my SM-G981V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Ukie is a buzzkill. Randy was right. Go to bed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Just now, Ji said: Hard to believe the euro won't cave tonight as it has all season But.... Sent from my SM-G981V using Tapatalk We all know Wilmington will be celebrating the Euro tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Just now, Ji said: Hard to believe the euro won't cave tonight as it has all season But.... Sent from my SM-G981V using Tapatalk Or it jumps right over us and plasters PA... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Just now, Wentzadelphia said: Ukie is a buzzkill. Randy was right. Go to bed Ukie is a terrible model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 After the gfs and cmc the Ukie does this, really? Lol I hate that model sometimes 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Just now, caviman2201 said: Or it jumps right over us and plasters PA... Incorrect. Boston! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Just now, nj2va said: Ukie is a terrible model I agree. It’s been crap this year. When gfs picks up a signal like this it is usually a good sign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 This hobby is a roller coaster of emotions. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 After the gfs and cmc the Ukie does this, really? Lol I hate that model sometimesNot a good sign for euro right?Sent from my SM-G981V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDreamer Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Verbatim, GFS makes it up to hurricane force sustained winds as it pulls away. 70 knot surface winds @ hr 144. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 3 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said: After the gfs and cmc the Ukie does this, really? Lol I hate that model sometimes It's not called the crazy uncle for nothing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 4 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said: I agree. It’s been crap this year. When gfs picks up a signal like this it is usually a good sign. I’m pretty sure its verification scores are below GFS this winter. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 It’s funny too because the Ukie has been super amped all winter. Few weeks ago at this range it kept showing a hit on an event that was out to sea. Of course this event it’s out to sea. Made it to midnight night as well wait for the euro. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 FYI the 00z para updated it’s up to 90 hours 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 47 minutes ago, yoda said: I dont know if Ji accepts this or not 45 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: It’s a razor thin line guys. The thermals are iffy. There’s just no cold on this side of the globe. Sorry, couldn’t resist Your really want to tempt fate with 120 hours left to go??? 38 minutes ago, GEOS5ftw said: Biggest concern I have with the GFS is that the primary low from Monday hangs around in PA which prevents any cold from draining into our area. There's really no CAD ahead of the system. So we rely on dynamic cooling as the low bombs out. Canadian looks like it is weaker and faster with the early week system and has more of a classic CAD setup. Big differences apparent at 96 hrs. But isn't this a double edge sword...its partially the lack of cold press in front that allows the primary to amplify north and ends up with that bomb over southeast VA. The GGEM is colder but also a much less intense and "fun" storm...especially for us north of the DC area. I guess this is location specific...if I lived south of DC I probably don't want to chance "playing with that fire" and would take the less intense but more sure thing snow. 29 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: Pretty textbook HP there though. If that is accurate I won't worry about temps at all. Again..120 hours to go...we want to tempt the snow gods on this? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 8 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said: It’s funny too because the Ukie has been super amped all winter. Few weeks ago at this range it kept showing a hit on an event that was out to sea. Of course this event it’s out to sea. Made it to midnight night as well wait for the euro. It's hit or miss...sometimes its crazy amped. It had a few runs where it gave DC a blizzard before that costal scraper storm in 2018. And other times its way suppressed compared to other guidance...last winter it kept giving me 15" of snow from a storm that ended up way north long after all other guidance shifted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Para H5 looks good so far... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: It's hit or miss...sometimes its crazy amped. It had a few runs where it gave DC a blizzard before that costal scraper storm in 2018. And other times its way suppressed compared to other guidance...last winter it kept giving me 15" of snow from a storm that ended up way north long after all other guidance shifted. Yeah which is why I said I hate that model haha, it likes to torture us...I’ll take it more serious under 72 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 It's hit or miss...sometimes its crazy amped. It had a few runs where it gave DC a blizzard before that costal scraper storm in 2018. And other times its way suppressed compared to other guidance...last winter it kept giving me 15" of snow from a storm that ended up way north long after all other guidance shifted. It's probably good at 500 where they score the model but it seems to suck in forecasting actual weather Sent from my SM-G981V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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