NorthArlington101 Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 Man, the ICON pummels parts of the sub, DC in particular....and yet eerie silence.I don’t want to speak for everyone else but my spirit is somewhat broken. Call me when it’s 6 hours out. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PivotPoint Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 1 hour ago, JakkelWx said: I mean you should probably check his post history. I mean, go ahead. Not sure what you're referring too? I have woofed for a good period twice and been a naysayer for three individual threats that didn't materialize. In truth, I think I've done pretty well this winter. I try not to weenie-out like many in here. Sorry about that 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 Not getting my hopes up on one deterministic run, but add in the 6Z GEFS so I am watching. Just now, NorthArlington101 said: I don’t want to speak for everyone else but my spirit is somewhat broken. Call me when it’s 6 hours out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 16 hours ago, Wentzadelphia said: On a serious note with the 50/50 location and the ridge being in an iffy spot want this shortwave to have as much latitude as possible as it tracks east. This way even if it bombs on the coast and heads east quickly it would be able to throw back moisture. What’s also allowed this to come nw a bit is that tpv in Canada shifting NW. The euro and gfs did this today, but cmc kept it too Far East. This one has good potential though. Well see mentioned this yesterday, latitude latitude latitude, other factors of course, but good start on Icon. I have little hope here in philly, but would love to be able to chase to VA 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 6 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: sounds complicated... yea everything is complicated when the base state temps of the northern hemisphere are this warm. Truth is we've had several perfect track upper level features this year to produce some snow and a lot of them just did not. Sometimes the problem isnt that we arent getting some 40" historic winter...those were always rare. But its that winters with a pattern that should at least have produced like 10" are producing next to nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 CWG aleet 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 8 minutes ago, Cobalt said: Icon starting off the 12z suite nicely.. had the first feature farther northwest which seems to have helped a fair bit. Would be odd to have a historic storm on both the east and west coasts at the same time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 Id also love for the energy behind the 28th system to slow down. Let there be better ridging behind the system. It's in a sparse sampling region so hopefully that trends favorably as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 The sw is coming in more amped on the west coast, on the 12z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dabuckeyes Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 Is this one of those situations in which if the first storm is more north, than that may help with the follow up wave? In other words, sacrafice Monday to perhaps enhance Thursday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 gfs might be better than its 6z run,. better heights ahead, of course it slowed down the first system so that might have an effect too, well see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanconway63 Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 Nice hit on the 12z ICON Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 Gfs much better looking at H5 through 132 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 2 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said: gfs might be better than its 6z run,. better heights ahead, of course it slowed down the first system so that might have an effect too, well see Yea I’ve noticed a tendency to linger the Early week wave in the western Atlantic. Not thrilled with that. Was it always this difficult? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 This looks pretty good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanconway63 Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 A Big Hit for somebody is coming on the 12z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 3 minutes ago, LP08 said: Gfs much better looking at H5 through 132 TPV lobe boogies on out quickly this run. Looks norther. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: Yea I’ve noticed a tendency to linger the Early week wave in the western Atlantic. Not thrilled with that. Was it always this difficult? Lol whoa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 boomin out over the great dismal swamp 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 Congrats C VA on the GFS. DC north looks fringey? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 Richmond crushed.. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 So close to a great hit on the GFS... much improved 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanconway63 Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 Richmond would be wiped off the Map lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 Just now, stormtracker said: Congrats C VA on the GFS. DC north looks fringey? Right where we want it >:) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 22, 2021 Author Share Posted January 22, 2021 Just now, stormtracker said: Congrats C VA on the GFS. DC north looks fringey? #rightwherewewantit #northtrend 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 Better jet dynamics, less confluence but the main precip shield misses to the south. There was worse PNA ridging though, change that and move it 100 miles further west and it's game in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rvarookie Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 I’ll take and call it a winter 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 @PivotPoint I am sorry I was harsh with you earlier. Something happened that has nothing to do with weather and I took my frustration out on you. You didn't deserve that and I am sorry. I should have explained my meteorological points without the unwarranted personal attack. IMO the representation of the high is an effect of the amplitude and latitude of the trough not a cause. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 Looks like a NS disturbance timed perfectly (sound familiar!?!?) compressed heights just enough to send the ULL more SE instead of E. So close to a boom. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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