mississaugasnow Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 4 hours ago, EpicHECS said: Posting Winter Storm Warnings for the total entirety of TX is a little laughable. A few inches of snow doesn't even warrant an advisory and having a Winter Storm Warning for areas such as Brazoria County on south is just a total exaggeration of the current situation. This is obviously just an attempt at filling the coffers with federal money. lol is this a real comment or trolling. Im loving these photos and observations from Texas. 1" of snow is a lot for the southern parts. In this current thinking you might as well not get excited for many of your storms. Northern Michigan-Buffalo-Watertown and parts of Southern Ontario (Canada where I live) routinely see 6-12" snowstorms and daily life continues, parts of Northern Michigan and Muskoka dont get excited until you start talking 1-3 feet and they routinely have 3-4 feet on the ground from November-March. So in your theory they should be laughing at you for shutting down schools, making the nightly news, creating a 100 page thread for a 8-12" storm that will melt in 2-3 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vwgrrc Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 The Wednesday storm will probably give NTX some real power issue looks like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 4 hours ago, EpicHECS said: Posting Winter Storm Warnings for the total entirety of TX is a little laughable. A few inches of snow doesn't even warrant an advisory and having a Winter Storm Warning for areas such as Brazoria County on south is just a total exaggeration of the current situation. This is obviously just an attempt at filling the coffers with federal money. Texas laughs at your excessive heat warnings when it’s 95, yo. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cstrunk Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 32 minutes ago, canderson said: Parents measured 9” snow outside Longview. Pictures are insane. 11" on my sidewalk on Longview... amazing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Just now, cstrunk said: 11" on my sidewalk on Longview... amazing. It’s beautiful - a historic event. Enjoy it! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cstrunk Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhirlingWx Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Happy for y'all farther east who are enjoying those monster totals - this is an event that I'm sure a lot of us will never forget from our time here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Ended up with 6" in San Antonio. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 1 hour ago, vwgrrc said: The Wednesday storm will probably give NTX some real power issue looks like What do you mean exactly? What are you seeing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vwgrrc Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Just now, SnowMan said: What do you mean exactly? What are you seeing? I mean there's a chance it could a more sleet/freezing rain even than purely snow. HRRR & NAM seem both indicating that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Just now, vwgrrc said: I mean there's a chance it could a more sleet/freezing rain even than purely snow. HRRR & NAM seem both indicating that. Yeah I am pulling up the GFS...new at reading models, but doesn't seem like there is a ton of QPF with this. Although it does look it drops right over our house lol. We are located where the blue/purple is in north texas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vwgrrc Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 4 minutes ago, SnowMan said: Yeah I am pulling up the GFS...new at reading models, but doesn't seem like there is a ton of QPF with this. Although it does look it drops right over our house lol. We are located where the blue/purple is in north texas. I'm more leaning towards NAM/HRRR at this range and for the type of event. But I'm not a professional by any mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 4 minutes ago, vwgrrc said: I'm more leaning towards NAM/HRRR at this range and for the type of event. But I'm not a professional by any mean. So we in the northwest corner of collin county. Looks like sleet/freezing rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Wow and NAM is more robust with the QPF... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhirlingWx Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 As of the NWS Fort Worth's last area forecast discussion, with regard to the next system, they think that areas north of highway 380 see mostly snow, and then between there and I-20 sees a sleet, freezing rain, and snow mix. So, the further north you are, the more snow you could see (being DFW-centric here). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vwgrrc Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 32 minutes ago, TexMexWx said: As of the NWS Fort Worth's last area forecast discussion, with regard to the next system, they think that areas north of highway 380 see mostly snow, and then between there and I-20 sees a sleet, freezing rain, and snow mix. So, the further north you are, the more snow you could see (being DFW-centric here). So that basic place the immediate DFW into trouble zone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhirlingWx Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 4 minutes ago, vwgrrc said: So that basic place the immediate DFW into trouble zone Yup, do not like that. The warm nose is going to probably be a much bigger issue for us this time around than yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vwgrrc Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 1 hour ago, TexMexWx said: Yup, do not like that. The warm nose is going to probably be a much bigger issue for us this time around than yesterday. 18z HRRR is pushing the snow/sleet slightly south and right across the middle of the metroplex. That's better than 12z, but at the same time a little bit more QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhirlingWx Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Segment from short term AFD update from 2 hours ago regarding the Tue/Wed system Later in the day, further amplification of upstream ridging off the West Coast will allow a broad trough to continue digging into the 4-corners region and West Texas. As it does, surface pressure falls across Texas will lead to a broad surface trough draped roughly along the I-20 corridor by midnight Tuesday night. This will help pull additional moisture north and westward while deep layer forcing for ascent begins to increase. The tightening low level thermal gradient will result in a strengthening upper jet of near 140 kt overnight Tuesday night right across Central and North Texas. Widespread deep isentropic ascent through the lower half of the atmosphere should lead to an area of precipitation rapidly developing in the Texas Big Country and moving into North Texas overnight Tuesday night. This should be mainly a freezing rain and/or sleet mix which could result in additional significant icing especially south of the Metroplex. As the trough pivots eastward and colder air spills southward, a transition to all snow is expected north of I-20 with additional snowfall amounts of 3 to 5 inches possible from the Metroplex northeast into the Arklatex through Wednesday. In addition, temperatures will continue to be very cold through the end of the week. A Winter Storm Watch is expected to be issued this afternoon. Dunn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vwgrrc Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 NWS AFD on icing - The latest 3km NAM suggests a significant freezing rain event will take place with ice accumulations greater than currently forecast, however, it may be a little too aggressive with its low level warming given the extremely cold airmass in place. We`ll have to watch this closely though through the day Tuesday. Our current forecast will continue to advertise a freezing rain/sleet potential mainly from the Metroplex southward with a transition over to snow late in the night. Areas from the Metroplex northward may see more snow accumulation. Ice accumulations of 1/10 to 1/4 inch appear likely, especially from the Waco/Temple/Killeen areas northeast in the Palestine/Canton areas. There will also be some minor ice accumulations through the Metroplex before a transition to snow. Snowfall amounts will range from 2 to 6 inches with the heaviest amounts northeast of the Metroplex... Edit: meanwhile 18Z GFS largely dialed down the Wednesday threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheese007 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 I may have been a bit too pessimistic regarding snow totals lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DFWWeather Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Looks like the official low at DFW Airport might be -2°F. If true and not due to a rounding error off the 5 minute observations, it would be the coldest temps since January 31, 1949. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Wonder how much snow melt we will see up in North Texas today before tomorrow's storm. Hopefully not too much, but with a high around 20 and the sun angle we could see more than expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cstrunk Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Longview and Tyler broke all-time record lows this morning. -5F and -6F, respectively. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Off topic but people needs to be put in jail for the electrical grid failure. It's unfathomable they knew this was a problem, did nothing to address it, and just have punted down the road essentially. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Just now, cstrunk said: Longview and Tyler broke all-time record lows this morning. -5F and -6F, respectively. Mighty impressive. What was the previous low for Longview, any idea? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vwgrrc Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 49 minutes ago, SnowMan said: Wonder how much snow melt we will see up in North Texas today before tomorrow's storm. Hopefully not too much, but with a high around 20 and the sun angle we could see more than expected. latest guidance seems showing a lower amount of snow/sleet than previously expected. Not a bad news given the stress we have in infrastructure now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheese007 Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Anyone know why the forecast pages, hourly forecasts, and snowfall map on FWD's main page all diverge in their snowfall projections? And 2nding the power companies and state leguslature being held responsible. I know two folks without electricity *and* running water since no heat = burst pipes in this weather. There is no reason for folks having to poop in a bucket all to line the pockets of politicians and CEOs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cstrunk Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 26 minutes ago, canderson said: Mighty impressive. What was the previous low for Longview, any idea? -4F on 1/18/1930. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhirlingWx Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 FWD's snow forecast has been changing a good deal, but now they're basically forecasting another 3-4" for me, with a relatively tight gradient to the south along I-20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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