Ji Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 And after the close miss on the 18th, here’s Ji’s fantasy land snowstorm so he can go to sleep Lol only took an hour and a half of gfs spitting out data to get it done 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
85snowline Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 If anyone is bored and cares to enlighten us in the Southern thread regarding this Friday's potential(likely) snow event... PLEASE HELP!! Thxs so much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 Just now, 85snowline said: If anyone is bored and cares to enlighten us in the Southern thread regarding this Friday's potential(likely) snow event... PLEASE HELP!! Thxs so much. Take Ji. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
85snowline Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 Just now, nw baltimore wx said: Take Ji. What is this Ji? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 10 minutes ago, 85snowline said: What is this Ji? He’s the self-crowned and resident Court @Jister. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 3 hours ago, frd said: @psuhoffman Psu Interestig comments by Anthony here wondering what to make of it. If forcing shifts later in the month of January especially with the latest forecast that show cold over the Eastern United States do you care to elaborate on what your feelings are regarding the progression of forcing in the West Pac. @antmasiello Replying to @webberweather I've been thinking about preseason/years like 88-89 showing up. Then I see the pattern ahead, etc. & tropical forcing reorganizing to Maritimes for Feb. You have to wonder if we see a rapid flip to very cold in W-C US. This would be a lot easier if polar state was more 1980s like 8:44 AM · Jan 5, 2021·Twitter for Android So far the Mjo hasn’t been a major influencer this year. Could it become more dominant and could it shift back to the MC....lots of could there and that’s a long way out. I won’t pretend to know. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 0z Euro is certainly more suppressed, not a cave to the GFS, but quite the shift.. although the interesting thing is that the storm gains latitude earlier than it's 0z counterpart, near the Louisiana coast rather than over Tallahassee. 18z EPS did the same IIRC, so perhaps that's our ticket to getting the storm up here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 3 minutes ago, Cobalt said: 0z Euro is certainly more suppressed, not a cave to the GFS, but quite the shift.. although the interesting thing is that the storm gains latitude earlier than it's 0z counterpart, near the Louisiana coast rather than over Tallahassee. 18z EPS did the same IIRC, so perhaps that's our ticket to getting the storm up here? 204 Euro OMG crazy storm. Ripping snow for the whole area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 Euro ftw. Weird how it got there tho. But it's a significant storm for us 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 1 minute ago, Amped said: 204 Euro OMG crazy storm. Ripping snow for the whole area Would comply with the Jan 15-20 idea. The main takeaway from that Euro is the pure rapid-fire nature of shortwaves, just gonna need some luck and timing to make one work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 Euro went from disasta to epic unexpectedly 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 8 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Euro ftw. Weird how it got there tho. But it's a significant storm for us It washed the initial wave out because of the monster wave amplifying right behind it. The evolution at h5 of that system was very similar to Jan 1996. Beautiful monster closed h5 low with a perfect track. That solution didn’t even maximize potential. The storm got a late start because of the initial wave running the baroclinic zone and deep moisture feed off the coast ahead of it but the upper level pattern was so perfect another storm exploded behind it anyways as the upper low got close enough to tap whatever gulf and Atlantic moisture left. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 9 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: It washed the initial wave out because of the monster wave amplifying right behind it. The evolution at h5 of that system was very similar to Jan 1996. Beautiful monster closed h5 low with a perfect track. That solution didn’t even maximize potential. The storm got a late start because of the initial wave running the baroclinic zone and deep moisture feed off the coast ahead of it but the upper level pattern was so perfect another storm exploded behind it anyways as the upper low got close enough to tap whatever gulf and Atlantic moisture left. Ah ok, thanks for the explainer. This is why I thought it was weird because it was so close on the heels of the frontrunning wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Ah ok, thanks for the explainer. This is why I thought it was weird because it was so close on the heels of the frontrunning wave. It was a little odd how it didn’t phase the initial wave and instead had it wash out in favor of the wave behind. But the h5 evolution of that second wave was just classic. It was a nice ending to a very good night. Cheers. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
howrdcounty snow Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 46 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: It was a little odd how it didn’t phase the initial wave and instead had it wash out in favor of the wave behind. But the h5 evolution of that second wave was just classic. It was a nice ending to a very good night. Cheers. what is the precipice type for the 2nd storm?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 what is the precipice type for the 2nd storm??Blue 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 Significant changes at H5 continue to happen on the GFS with that piece of energy up north this weekend. In the past 4 runs it went from northern Maine to Labrador. Surface doesn't look much better but things haven't finished trending in the right direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 44 minutes ago, peribonca said: Significant changes at H5 continue to happen on the GFS with that piece of energy up north this weekend. In the past 4 runs it went from northern Maine to Labrador. Surface doesn't look much better but things haven't finished trending in the right direction. It won't make any meaningful difference at the surface or 850 mb. It's still there and without any phasing, there is really no way for the coastal low to gain latitude with that compressed flow out in front. The only way this was going to work imo was if that NS vort ended up far enough west to at least partially phase in time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 43 minutes ago, CAPE said: It won't make any meaningful difference at the surface or 850 mb. It's still there and without any phasing, there is really no way for the coastal low to gain latitude with that compressed flow out in front. The only way this was going to work imo was if that NS vort ended up far enough west to at least partially phase in time. We’ve got time to get that flow a little further east LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 3 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: We’ve got time to get that flow a little further east LOL. I will keep watching it lol. Heck my yard would be a decent spot to benefit, but even for me it would take some major changes that seem unlikely at this range. At this point coastal SBY over towards coastal DE may see some light precip on the NW edge. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 im guessing the 0z euro has no support lol? Looks like pure Northern S/W for the next 16 days that will result in dry clippers or Millers. We could really use a split flow. Our that ridge being more west 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 the para is closer to the euro---except for the blue part. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 Happy Anniversary! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 we are 36 days into Met Winter and alot of people still havent seen their first inch with nothing in sight. Sad! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 19 minutes ago, Ji said: im guessing the 0z euro has no support lol? Looks like pure Northern S/W for the next 16 days that will result in dry clippers or Millers. We could really use a split flow. Our that ridge being more west Still a signal for something, but not as good as the 12z run. Lets see if I can do the bingo card thing. we are still in the game plenty of time for changes- still 6 days out we just cant know 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 6 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: Happy Anniversary! how does this belong in the mid Range thread? Banter please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 Today is a great day in so many ways 7 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, Ji said: we are 36 days into Met Winter and alot of people still havent seen their first inch with nothing in sight. Sad! I have seen 14 flakes man. And my brother in Greensboro NC is getting actual snow in a couple days. patience the better pattern has not yet begun 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, CAPE said: Still a signal for something, but not as good as the 12z run. Lets see if I can do the bingo card thing. we are still in the game(because its winter so were always in the game) plenty of time for changes- still 6 days out(for things to go even worse we just cant know(we kind of do. No snow for you,me or DT) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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