Ji Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 00z icon brought the day 6 event up the coast. And gfs looks better so far...Gfs killed the southern energy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 GFS has energy in the SW at 180....if we could get it to eject (and of course not get shredded). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 5 minutes ago, nj2va said: GFS has energy in the SW at 180....if we could get it to eject (and of course not get shredded). Curious to see what the Alberta Clipper disturbance at 210 decides to do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 50/50 hit an absolute wall at 210 with nowhere to go. Just sits and spins. That block is doing its dirty work for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 11 minutes ago, nj2va said: GFS has energy in the SW at 180....if we could get it to eject (and of course not get shredded). So that energy just completely disintegrates and meanwhile the clipper disturbance gets sucked into the block vortex. Ok, sure that will play out like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 So that energy just completely disintegrates and meanwhile the clipper disturbance gets sucked into the block vortex. Ok, sure that will play out like that.Yea its never going to snow again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 What is this. Looks like a goal post Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 5 minutes ago, Ji said: What is this. Looks like a goal post We need the flow to slow down. It’s that simple. It’s shredding everything. All the SWs flying across are ripping each other apart instead of phasing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: We need the flow to slow down. It’s that simple. It’s shredding everything. All the SWs flying across are ripping each other apart instead of phasing. Fast flow...hasn't that been a problem the last few winters? What's causing that? The pac? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 @Ji you’re off your game. You missed this from the 18z para. Somehow this misses us. Hits the confluence from the blocking end shreds at our doorstep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 Just now, Maestrobjwa said: Fast flow...hasn't that been a problem the last few winters? What's causing that? The pac? Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 We need the flow to slow down. It’s that simple. It’s shredding everything. All the SWs flying across are ripping each other apart instead of phasing. Where the heck is the roadblock/bottle neck that blocking is suppose to give us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 Just now, psuhoffman said: Yes Now I don't quite understand why, though...what do we need to slow down the flow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 Incoming at 360. Let’s see how it screws this up. What’s more painful if it shreds if if the fun ends one panel before showing a HECS lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 [mention=514]Ji[/mention] you’re off your game. You missed this from the 18z para. Somehow this misses us. Hits the confluence from the blocking end shreds at our doorstep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 1 minute ago, Ji said: 7 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: We need the flow to slow down. It’s that simple. It’s shredding everything. All the SWs flying across are ripping each other apart instead of phasing. Where the heck is the roadblock/bottle neck that blocking is suppose to give us The flow is incredibly blocked. With that pac we would be ridging out otherwise. A 50/50 gets stuck for a week! But the block can’t slow down the pac jet or make all the SWs it ejects into the US disappear. It can buckle the flow to the north and force the jet south but it’s still a problem if there are 500 SWs flying around competing for energy 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 Incoming at 360. Let’s see how it screws this up. What’s more painful if it shreds if if the fun ends one panel before showing a HECS lol Were going to run out of time. And 6z will show a clipper instead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 OMFG 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 OMFG We need to fast forward about 8 days. Awful boring week ahead. Nothing within 10 days 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 6 minutes ago, Ji said: 9 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Incoming at 360. Let’s see how it screws this up. What’s more painful if it shreds if if the fun ends one panel before showing a HECS lol Were going to run out of time. And 6z will show a clipper instead No we actually get a hit but only takes until the last frame lol That is kinda classic how this kind of pattern would play out though. We tend to remember the hits years later but I recall a LOT of weeks of frustration during blocks BEFORE the hit the last several blocking patterns we had in 2018/2016/2011. Even 2010 we had some long dead zones even though the blocking ran the table the whole winter. You remember, you even brought it up yesterday, how you were throwing a fit during January because of that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 5 minutes ago, Ji said: 8 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: OMFG We need to fast forward about 8 days. Awful boring week ahead. Nothing within 10 days Shame that isn’t going to happen because that 1046 high blasting down the plains with a block to the northeast probably means we keep that snow around a long time lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 12, 2021 Author Share Posted January 12, 2021 00z Euro decides to bury a bunch of energy in the SW Day 7 to Day 10... ends up a cut off h5 low ETA: by Day 10 Euro finally kicks out the h5 low from the SW... it's in E TX/W LA at 240 with a 1006mb SLP in C LA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 12, 2021 Author Share Posted January 12, 2021 I'd say the 00z GEFS were quite serviceable starting next week 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 40 minutes ago, yoda said: I'd say the 00z GEFS were quite serviceable starting next week EPS looks practically identical to the GEFS through around day 12 (some minor differences from days 7-10). Quite the model agreement there, wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 4 hours ago, psuhoffman said: We need the flow to slow down. It’s that simple. It’s shredding everything. All the SWs flying across are ripping each other apart instead of phasing. I use h5 vorticity animations in my discussions of Reynolds number in flowing fluids. Turbulence is awesome. Laminar is boring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 5 hours ago, psuhoffman said: OMFG Fringed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 3 hours ago, yoda said: 00z Euro decides to bury a bunch of energy in the SW Day 7 to Day 10... ends up a cut off h5 low ETA: by Day 10 Euro finally kicks out the h5 low from the SW... it's in E TX/W LA at 240 with a 1006mb SLP in C LA Day 10? Hmmm, you don't say. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 8 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Fringed Don't worry , it's gone in the 06Z...maybe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 39 minutes ago, IronTy said: Don't worry , it's gone in the 06Z...maybe No way this misses verbatim. Digital MECS incoming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 Nevermind, spoke too soon 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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