BristowWx Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 1 minute ago, IceCAPS said: Now what makes you think the above image gives us the shaft? I don't see it. Did all members show that? Or did some have less thickness. 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 4 minutes ago, IceCAPS said: Now what makes you think the above image gives us the shaft? I don't see it. If it is more elongated and doesn't penetrate as far South, we could get screwed. But who knows. Eta: what I'm saying is, if the block pulls out prematurely then all bets are off 1 14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 8 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: The trajectory isn't straight out of the N Pole rather it comes across the Northern tier from the PAC NW....odd. I just hope we don't get shafted. I see what you did there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 @Ralph Wiggum Damn son! Got me crying 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 6 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: If it is more elongated and doesn't penetrate as far South, we could get screwed. But who knows. Eta: what I'm saying is, if the block pulls out prematurely then all bets are off I just hope we don’t end up with egg on our face and some limp shot of cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IceCAPS Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 3 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: If it is more elongated and doesn't penetrate as far South, we could get screwed. But who knows. Eta: what I'm saying is, if the block pulls out prematurely then all bets are off Now it's crystal clear and I thank you and Bristow for your illustrative explanation. I'm a bit thick-headed from time to time... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 5 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: If it is more elongated and doesn't penetrate as far South, we could get screwed. But who knows. Eta: what I'm saying is, if the block pulls out prematurely then all bets are off All the more reason to get the blue (pills) over us soon!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 All the more reason to get the blue (pills) over us soon!! 1 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 Last several comments sparked by @Ralph Wiggum make it look like this board was taken over by @ravensrule!! 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 GFS always over extends in the long range, wait and see how flaccid 0z looks. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 10 minutes ago, Always in Zugzwang said: Last several comments sparked by @Ralph Wiggum make it look like this board was taken over by @ravensrule!! Hey, all I did was trace the outline of the greatest negative temp anomalies. I have no idea wth you ppl are talking about. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 Just now, Ralph Wiggum said: Hey, all I did was trace the outline of the greatest negative temp anomalies. I have no idea wth you ppl are talking about. Whooooosh. And it went over my head... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IceCAPS Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 Just now, Ralph Wiggum said: Hey, all I did was trace the outline of the greatest negative temp anomalies. I have no idea wth you ppl are talking about. Nor do I? Additionally, I know not of this Ravensrule of whom you speak. He must be stand-up, solid guy. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 1 hour ago, nj2va said: Meh, bootleg That Baffin block sure gives us the money shot on temperature anomalies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 49 minutes ago, BristowWx said: We should be celebrating. It’s the holy grail of blocks. Hardly ever seen by human eyes. Yet somehow it’s like reaching a million in your 401K...you think it’s cool but you are more scared than excited. I've got a feeling that look will produce a snowstorm for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 1 hour ago, nj2va said: Meh, bootleg What's so strange is the CPC ensembles don't show any sort of -NAO deepening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 Whoa...apparently the Mid-Atlantic sub has taken the term "weenies" literally. Had to check the link to make sure I didn't stumble upon some weather porn site..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 March ‘18 produced the equinox storm for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 Seriously, what’s the point lol 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 16 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Hey, all I did was trace the outline of the greatest negative temp anomalies. I have no idea wth you ppl are talking about. I don’t either. Jeez people. However, it does seem like winter is hangin in the balance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 4 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: March ‘18 produced the equinox storm for us. The discussion about how that storm would've panned out if it had happened a month prior is quite interesting. I remember the DC area wasted most of the WAA precip as rain, then a fair bit more precip during the day of the 21st when rates lightened up near noon. A redux during the prime of winter would certainly make many here happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 1 hour ago, Cobalt said: For those who wanted a truly cold airmass, here you go.. quite the signal for cold across North America this far out That profile is very 2014. Makes sense. The pac ridge was further east in 2014 with some ridging in the AO domain but not much NAO. This year if that projected pattern comes to pass the EPO is further west but with more NAO blocking. Those differences offset each other and you end up with a similar pattern. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 8 minutes ago, Wonderdog said: I've got a feeling that look will produce a snowstorm for us. Not sure. We have failed in many patterns. This time Mother Nature is really calling our bluff. Just try and fail with this look. She underestimates how strong the force of fail is with us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 56 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: The trajectory isn't straight out of the N Pole rather it comes across the Northern tier from the PAC NW....odd. I just hope we don't get shafted. The block has erected quite the cold signature 2 2 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 16 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: March ‘18 produced the equinox storm for us. March 1960 was another example of a post SSW cold enso poleward Pac ridge blocking pattern where a western trough elongated east and that lead to one of the snowiest months in mid Atlantic history. In March no less. If the block is firm enough to suppress the SE ridge it’s a very good pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 21 minutes ago, Cobalt said: The discussion about how that storm would've panned out if it had happened a month prior is quite interesting. I remember the DC area wasted most of the WAA precip as rain, then a fair bit more precip during the day of the 21st when rates lightened up near noon. A redux during the prime of winter would certainly make many here happy. I was just cold enough to stay all snow and got 14” so likely something like that lol. I had some pretty low ratios that first day and the mix got really close so a month earlier I probably would have got 18-20” from that just from better ratios. ETA: just checked I had 1.6 qpf. That’s horrible ratios for here...that definitely would have been a 20” storm here had it been a little colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 1 minute ago, losetoa6 said: I think I remember 13.6" here . Just imagine March 19th -21st 1958 when a observer recorded 4.00" + qpf in Carroll county . I believe there was a very weak HP of like 1024 . Can you fathom if it was colder with that insane in the membrane liquid Yea except it’s a lot easier to get that crazy qpf in March with the added temp gradients fueling. Of course with warming that’s why we see more crazy qpf storms mid winter lately so maybe we eventually see something like that. If it can happen i along the PA NY border...they get a TON of snow but we are actually in a better spot for big totals from a coastal storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 2 hours ago, Always in Zugzwang said: Last several comments sparked by @Ralph Wiggum make it look like this board was taken over by @ravensrule!! Don’t you all wish. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 2 hours ago, psuhoffman said: The block has erected quite the cold signature It would be shrinking rapidly then. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 00z icon brought the day 6 event up the coast. And gfs looks better so far... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now