WEATHER53 Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 I think prime time cold started today 1/7 and runs thru 1/16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 @stormtracker @Ji this needs to go away. GFS actually had an excellent representation of the wave in the Miss Valley but it’s can’t amplify and pump and ridge in front with that there. NAM doesn’t have that feature and that’s why it was coming north had it gone out 12 more hours. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 I think prime time cold started today 1/7 and runs thru 1/16 Brrrr i can already feel it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 1 minute ago, Ji said: 10 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said: I think prime time cold started today 1/7 and runs thru 1/16 Brrrr i can already feel it Does it make you blue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 10 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: @stormtracker @Ji this needs to go away. GFS actually had an excellent representation of the wave in the Miss Valley but it’s can’t amplify and pump and ridge in front with that there. NAM doesn’t have that feature and that’s why it was coming north had it gone out 12 more hours. Same verse, same as the first. I'm mostly joking by posting the 84 hour NAM because I know it's going to eventually correct to what the globals say...but man, I wish it pull a shocker and be right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 GEFS is really going bonkers with the Greenland block signature around day 10 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 0z Euro seems to have that slowed down wave idea.. weak/no precip through Tuesday but the secondary wave of precip gets to just south of our area near 0z Wednesday.. not much in the form of anything, but it's quite the trend considering that the 12z run had no precip during that time. Perhaps this is what we want? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 Big changes in gfs....from no rain to moderate rain 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 Just now, Ji said: Big changes in gfs....from no rain to moderate rain Rain into 540 line in January with a robust 1013 high near ORF...1013 low I mean 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 0z EPS. Its something, but this seems to be evolving much like this week's event, only weaker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 6z GFS has a totally different look beyond 180 and it’s not a good look. Ridge in SE popping up like crabgrass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 1 hour ago, BristowWx said: 6z GFS has a totally different look beyond 180 and it’s not a good look. Ridge in SE popping up like crabgrass Seeing hints of the EPAC ridge strengthen/retrograde into its typical Nina happy place towards day 15 on the ens means. That would favor some troughing out west. Long way off, and even with some signs of that on the means, the -AO/NAO/EPO are still there. Hell, the way things are going so far, we could use a bit of a SE ridge. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 I’m not seeing much of a SER in that run. For me the pattern looks a little better moving forward. We aren’t going to get a storm with that zipper off the east coast right at our latitude Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 Just waking up here. Are we still on track for epicness beginning the 15th then epicness with epic cold starting the 20th? Trying to plan ahead. Thanks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 6z GEFS isn’t enthused on snow chances for the next 7-8 days. Continues to suggest our chances increase after the 15th/16th. ETA: Here’s the 7 day mean ending 1/22. if we can’t score a warning-level event in this pattern along 95, time to see PSU and Ji go scorched earth. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
howrdcounty snow Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 22 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Just waking up here. Are we still on track for epicness beginning the 15th then epicness with epic cold starting the 20th? Trying to plan ahead. Thanks. are you talking about epic cold like 77,, or 93 I believe?? the bay froze in 77 and 93 also Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 2 hours ago, Ji said: Big changes in gfs....from no rain to moderate rain Hopefully, there is still enough time for it to trend to cold rain. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 10 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said: Hopefully, there is still enough time for it to trend to cold rain. Make it heavy too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 8 minutes ago, CAPE said: Make it heavy too. It will be for you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 Just now, EastCoast NPZ said: It will be for you! Yeah that goes without saying lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 7 hours ago, psuhoffman said: GEFS is really going bonkers with the Greenland block signature around day 10 too east...next Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 45 minutes ago, nj2va said: 6z GEFS isn’t enthused on snow chances for the next 7-8 days. Continues to suggest our chances increase after the 15th/16th. ETA: Here’s the 7 day mean ending 1/22. if we can’t score a warning-level event in this pattern along 95, time to see PSU and Ji go scorched earth. Are you feeling our window has narrowed down a bit? Its looks like it can produce near the 20 to 23 rd , but the longevity of it seems to be lessening. We kind of knew the Pac would improve, but then go the other way again. Certainly possible we warm up in early Feb only to turn colder again later. If indeed this SSWe has any role in our sensible weather it would produce another period of - NAM later in Feb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 5 minutes ago, frd said: Are you feeling our window has narrowed down a bit? Its looks like it can produce near the 20 to 23 rd , but the longevity of it seems to be lessening. We kind of knew the Pac would improve, but then go the other way again. Certainly possible we warm up in early Feb only to turn colder again later. If indeed this SSWe has any role in our sensible weather it would produce another period of - NAM later in Feb. Lol after all this......we have a 3 day window for winter weather. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 This still looks poor. The Pac puke has left its mark in Canada. I know some are expecting a change here by mid month, we shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 Havent seen any posts...did the 84 hour 6z NAM cave? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 4 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Havent seen any posts...did the 84 hour 6z NAM cave? everyone thought it would gave in Mid December when it predicted to ruin our snow. It only caves in one direction Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 2 minutes ago, Ji said: Lol after all this......we have a 3 day window for winter weather. I'm giving it til the 15th like every other year. If no digital blue appearing on the horizon still, and the Nina looks staring us in the face, it may be time to lower expectations from low to nil. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 10 hours ago, Scraff said: It’s happening gif has been summoned. Hahaha. I've been wondering where that was. I even started looking for it online. lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 38 minutes ago, frd said: This still looks poor. The Pac puke has left its mark in Canada. I know some are expecting a change here by mid month, we shall see. It's not that it left its mark. It is still occurring. Until that NE PAC trough weakens and retrogrades, and the PAC jet relaxes, the puke continues to flow into our source region. That happens right around mid month and as the PNA/EPO ridge develops, the fire hose is pinched off and we have a mechanism to inject polar air southward. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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