Vice-Regent Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: Great. Frozen brown ground At least you can go ice skating and then proceed to die due to top layer freezing too quickly. xD All joking aside .. this won't play out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IceCAPS Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 4 minutes ago, yoda said: Mother of God! Talk about too much of a good thing! If I'm reading this right, I would think suppression would be the key word of the week here... cold as hell and bone dry. Of course, we do need cold for snow but this seems to be overdoing it a tad. I sure do hope I'm wrong or that this output is overdone, just a tad. :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 People one week ago “Where’s the cold?” People in one week “where’s the precip?” 9 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vice-Regent Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 Long-term cold bias in winter and warm bias in summer. This model is so bad the only thing the updated GFS does better is tropical cyclones. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 5 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Great. Frozen brown ground I always expect at least a light snowfall when true arctic air masses arrive. Seems to be the case most of the time in our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 21 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Those two maps are so different that they are really incomparable Should have had the gfs too. Icon as well with the same progression. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 Worried about the backside shortwave not phasing in properly. I suppose if southern wave is strong enough it could work on its own, but I wouldn’t count on it right now with current guidance. So many shortwaves to key on it’s not gonna be easy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 18 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Great. Frozen brown ground Don't forget sunny skies and wind. It'll be good weather to stay inside and watch Weather Channel coverage of the blizzards pummeling the deep south and southeast. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VA Mad Man Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 Does the Euro start at 1pm EST? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deer Whisperer Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 5 minutes ago, VA Mad Man said: Does the Euro start at 1pm EST? around then Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 6 minutes ago, VA Mad Man said: Does the Euro start at 1pm EST? Yes and is running now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 28 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said: Worried about the backside shortwave not phasing in properly. I suppose if southern wave is strong enough it could work on its own, but I wouldn’t count on it right now with current guidance. So many shortwaves to key on it’s not gonna be easy Even when the backside doesn't phase in properly it's still an enjoyable storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 6, 2021 Author Share Posted January 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: I can only see out to 120 but it looks pretty good to me...does it fall apart at 144? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 Through 102, euro's 500mb evolution is simpler than 0z. Somewhat like the GFS so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 6, 2021 Author Share Posted January 6, 2021 Just now, WxUSAF said: Through 102, euro's 500mb evolution is simpler than 0z. Somewhat like the GFS so far. 00z had a huge northern piece of h5 energy at 120... comparing to 12z at 108 its not even there lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Through 102, euro's 500mb evolution is simpler than 0z. Somewhat like the GFS so far. Agreed. Got rid of that strong s/w. I think this might be better/simplier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 1 minute ago, yoda said: 00z had a huge northern piece of h5 energy at 120... comparing to 12z at 108 its not even there lol Through 114...I'm kind of in love. Famous last words... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 6, 2021 Author Share Posted January 6, 2021 Just now, WxUSAF said: Through 114...I'm kind of in love. Famous last words... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 Just now, yoda said: yea I was looking at 0z lol. That's a nice H5 low over KS/MO but a LOT of confluence to the NE. The initial wave sheared out ala last nights Euro but it could be headed towards a similar secondary development IF that shred factory to our NE can relax some. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 4 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Through 114...I'm kind of in love. Famous last words... That confluence is a bear tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 6, 2021 Author Share Posted January 6, 2021 h5 low is moving slowly ENE/NE between 120 and 138 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 6 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Through 114...I'm kind of in love. Famous last words... you have teased us twice already today ---into light snow/flurry events. Bring it home man! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 5 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Through 114...I'm kind of in love. Famous last words... I am a little worried about the NS wave coming across Canada right on top of it....otherwise its BEAUTIFUL but...we need that flow to our NE to back off a LITTLE and that wave threatens to squash it south...will be close though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: That confluence is a bear tho Yeah, but also helps keep it cold. 1 minute ago, Ji said: you have teasted us twice already today ---into light snow/flurry events. Bring it home man! Trying my best! Just now, psuhoffman said: I am a little worried about the NS wave coming across Canada right on top of it....otherwise its BEAUTIFUL but...we need that flow to our NE to back off a LITTLE and that wave threatens to squash it south...will be close though. So many shortwaves...lol. But damn it's pretty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 6, 2021 Author Share Posted January 6, 2021 SLP at 144 is on C AL/GA border Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 Just now, psuhoffman said: I am a little worried about the NS wave coming across Canada right on top of it....otherwise its BEAUTIFUL but...we need that flow to our NE to back off a LITTLE and that wave threatens to squash it south...will be close though. Wouldn't mind that piece over south dakota diving in at 144 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: I am a little worried about the NS wave coming across Canada right on top of it....otherwise its BEAUTIFUL but...we need that flow to our NE to back off a LITTLE and that wave threatens to squash it south...will be close though. you should be. Since 2019, every possible thing you have worried about to screw us from snow...you have been right about 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 1 minute ago, yoda said: SLP at 144 is on C AL/GA border With snow up to CHO 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 Just now, WxUSAF said: With snow up to CHO Kinda warmish up our way, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 Just now, WxUSAF said: With snow up to CHO And then it torches the boundary layer. Sigh, I don't know what we have to do to get snow here anymore 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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