Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,915
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Alexmilolan
    Newest Member
    Alexmilolan
    Joined

January Long Range Disco Thread


yoda
 Share

Recommended Posts

  On 1/8/2021 at 12:33 AM, psuhoffman said:

@WxUSAF @CAPE


This is a 10 day mean day 6-16. If we can’t snow with this pattern in mid to late January then it’s time to let @Ji loose on one of his scorched earth burn it to the ground epic tirades. I’ll even join in. 

Expand  

Damn, yeah.  Need a burnt offering to appease the Lord if that doesn't snow on us.  

  • Haha 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 1/8/2021 at 12:45 AM, WxUSAF said:

Damn, yeah.  Need a burnt offering to appease the Lord if that doesn't snow on us.  

Expand  

Something has to give. We have had predominant -AO years we failed to cash in before but they are examples where I wonder how we only got 15” instead of 30 not where we get totally shut out. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 1/8/2021 at 1:44 AM, losetoa6 said:

There's a cluster that develops later in timing similar to 12z that looked amped . 

It seems the timing has slowed across guidance considerably with the ssw . Was a Monday evening a day or 2 ago now Tuesday into Tuesday night on some guidance 

Expand  

Slower would allow the flow to relax to our northeast and allow the stronger NS wave behind a chance to catch and phase. 

  • Like 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 1/8/2021 at 1:23 AM, BristowWx said:
The 384 GFS op18z storm should named after you....that one has legs  

Notice how that run ends before blue gets to us and I’m not sure that wouldn’t fall apart before it got to us. 500mb seems like it would shred it a bit

 

 

.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 1/8/2021 at 12:12 AM, WxUSAF said:

lol @psuhoffman I was just coming to post the 384hr 18z GFS.  I know, I know, I feel dirty just typing that.  But it is literally a perfect HECS pattern.  

Expand  

 

  On 1/8/2021 at 2:19 AM, Ji said:

Notice how that run ends before blue gets to us and I’m not sure that wouldn’t fall apart before it got to us. 500mb seems like it would shred it a bit

 

 

.

Expand  

Who should we believe?  Hmmmm...

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 1/8/2021 at 2:19 AM, Ji said:


Notice how that run ends before blue gets to one and I’m not sure that wouldn’t fall apart before it got to us. 500mb seems like it would shred it a bit


.

Expand  

Nah.  As presented that would hit on all cylinders.  You are right we are burning climo...but that doesn’t mean we can’t shift to epic in a hurry.  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 1/8/2021 at 12:33 AM, psuhoffman said:

@WxUSAF @CAPE

7C1D99AA-6AC6-4F5B-8864-30F3B933251A.thumb.png.f4260cdf6171296c9dc00c5d90fe3e02.png
This is a 10 day mean day 6-16. If we can’t snow with this pattern in mid to late January then it’s time to let @Ji loose on one of his scorched earth burn it to the ground epic tirades. I’ll even join in. 

Expand  

 

  On 1/8/2021 at 1:00 AM, mappy said:

It’s even smiling for us. 

Expand  

It's not smiling at us; it's laughing at us.

  • Haha 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Looking at latest weeklies.  Looks like we lose the +PNA around 1/23 and it stays negative through February.  We keep the -NAO throughout, but February is AN temps with ridging in the east.  Don’t know how skillful this model is.  Hopefully we score in second half of January.   

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 1/8/2021 at 2:44 AM, jaydreb said:

Looking at latest weeklies.  Looks like we lose the +PNA around 1/23 and it stays negative through February.  We keep the -NAO throughout, but February is AN temps with ridging in the east.  Don’t know how skillful this model is.  Hopefully we score in second half of January.   

Expand  

Weeklies are useless Week 3 and beyond but I’d argue they’re useless every week....

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...