WxUSAF Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: @WxUSAF @CAPE This is a 10 day mean day 6-16. If we can’t snow with this pattern in mid to late January then it’s time to let @Ji loose on one of his scorched earth burn it to the ground epic tirades. I’ll even join in. Damn, yeah. Need a burnt offering to appease the Lord if that doesn't snow on us. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 25 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: @WxUSAF @CAPE This is a 10 day mean day 6-16. If we can’t snow with this pattern in mid to late January then it’s time to let @Ji loose on one of his scorched earth burn it to the ground epic tirades. I’ll even join in. It’s even smiling for us. 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 1 minute ago, mappy said: It’s even smiling for us. But the tear concerns me 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 16 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Damn, yeah. Need a burnt offering to appease the Lord if that doesn't snow on us. Well, there's always Jobu. Just don't drink his rum...is very bad!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 2 minutes ago, Always in Zugzwang said: Well, there's always Jobu. Just don't drink his rum...is very bad!! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 Just now, psuhoffman said: Thumbs up for the "Pirates of the Caribbean" reference...always appreciate that!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 Well, there's always Jobu. Just don't drink his rum...is very bad!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 Is the wxusaf storm the worst named storm of all time? Some models don’t even show a storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 5 minutes ago, Ji said: Is the wxusaf storm the worst named storm of all time? Some models don’t even show a storm . The 384 GFS op18z storm should named after you....that one has legs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 40 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Damn, yeah. Need a burnt offering to appease the Lord if that doesn't snow on us. Something has to give. We have had predominant -AO years we failed to cash in before but they are examples where I wonder how we only got 15” instead of 30 not where we get totally shut out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 26 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: But the tear concerns me Shhh it will hear you 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 18 minutes ago, Ji said: Is the wxusaf storm the worst named storm of all time? Some models don’t even show a storm . I mean pretty great name. But maybe crappy event. Maybe we call it the WxUSAF partly cloudy 40F January day? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 I guess 18z Eps are much stronger for Tuesday? But maybe precip type issues for strongest members apparently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 7 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: There's a cluster that develops later in timing similar to 12z that looked amped . It seems the timing has slowed across guidance considerably with the ssw . Was a Monday evening a day or 2 ago now Tuesday into Tuesday night on some guidance Slower would allow the flow to relax to our northeast and allow the stronger NS wave behind a chance to catch and phase. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 1 hour ago, WxUSAF said: lol @psuhoffman I was just coming to post the 384hr 18z GFS. I know, I know, I feel dirty just typing that. But it is literally a perfect HECS pattern. The bigger storms show themselves early 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 Nobody has 18z Euro maps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 The 384 GFS op18z storm should named after you....that one has legs Notice how that run ends before blue gets to us and I’m not sure that wouldn’t fall apart before it got to us. 500mb seems like it would shred it a bit . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 8, 2021 Author Share Posted January 8, 2021 2 hours ago, WxUSAF said: lol @psuhoffman I was just coming to post the 384hr 18z GFS. I know, I know, I feel dirty just typing that. But it is literally a perfect HECS pattern. Just now, Ji said: Notice how that run ends before blue gets to us and I’m not sure that wouldn’t fall apart before it got to us. 500mb seems like it would shred it a bit . Who should we believe? Hmmmm... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 Just now, Ji said: Notice how that run ends before blue gets to one and I’m not sure that wouldn’t fall apart before it got to us. 500mb seems like it would shred it a bit . Nah. As presented that would hit on all cylinders. You are right we are burning climo...but that doesn’t mean we can’t shift to epic in a hurry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 Nobody has 18z Euro maps?They don’t go past 90. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 1 minute ago, Ji said: They don’t go past 90 . I know this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 8, 2021 Author Share Posted January 8, 2021 1 minute ago, Ji said: They don’t go past 90 . EPS fool Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 2 minutes ago, Ji said: They don’t go past 90 . degrees? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 8 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Nobody has 18z Euro maps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 I don’t see a lot of snowy members. Slightly better north and west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 2 hours ago, psuhoffman said: @WxUSAF @CAPE This is a 10 day mean day 6-16. If we can’t snow with this pattern in mid to late January then it’s time to let @Ji loose on one of his scorched earth burn it to the ground epic tirades. I’ll even join in. 1 hour ago, mappy said: It’s even smiling for us. It's not smiling at us; it's laughing at us. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 Kind of wish Randy now didn’t ask for the maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 Looking at latest weeklies. Looks like we lose the +PNA around 1/23 and it stays negative through February. We keep the -NAO throughout, but February is AN temps with ridging in the east. Don’t know how skillful this model is. Hopefully we score in second half of January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 6 minutes ago, jaydreb said: Looking at latest weeklies. Looks like we lose the +PNA around 1/23 and it stays negative through February. We keep the -NAO throughout, but February is AN temps with ridging in the east. Don’t know how skillful this model is. Hopefully we score in second half of January. Weeklies are useless Week 3 and beyond but I’d argue they’re useless every week.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 6 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Extraping the Nam looks promising. Has some phasing occurring at 84 .Higher heights to the ne Looks better at H5 than 18z GFS at H90. What could go wrong? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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