BullCityWx Posted January 7, 2021 Author Share Posted January 7, 2021 5 minutes ago, BooneWX said: That deform band on the nam!! Dude that shit was wild in this part of the state. 1.25” QPF. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 Best run for the upstate yet... backside band crushes us mid-morning. That backside stuff can be fickle. Been burned many times before on that action. Just have to hope it works out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 7, 2021 Author Share Posted January 7, 2021 Kuchera maps showing over a foot for most of Durham. Wut. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 7, 2021 Author Share Posted January 7, 2021 10.7” for RDU and basically nothing for south wake. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 Hi res Nam switches some foothills areas to rain before ending. Timing isn't ideal now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 Hires nam is blah on the front end (outside the mountains), brings the goods on the back end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 Wow 3k NAM completely shuts out VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 1 minute ago, BullCityWx said: 10.7” for RDU and basically nothing for south wake. Stuart Va went from 8" on the HRRR to zero on the NAM. Dont want to be on the wrong side of the railroad tracks with this one. Difference between a touchdown and a pick6. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 Yeah these 2 runs of the NAM are concerning for my neck of the woods here in VA... very different runs from the 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 Just now, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said: Wow 3k NAM completely shuts out VA. Yea not what I was expecting with beginning of 0z runs... drier overall on front end. HRRR looked good and I would say runs of 0z suites would still be of a meaningful purpose. Anything past 12z tomorrow would pretty much completely switch over to Hi-res Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 7, 2021 Author Share Posted January 7, 2021 3 minutes ago, kvegas-wx said: Stuart Va went from 8" on the HRRR to zero on the NAM. Dont want to be on the wrong side of the railroad tracks with this one. Difference between a touchdown and a pick6. And as a bengals fan.... I kid I kid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 I'm calling convective feedback issues here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 Just now, Jonathan said: I'm calling convective feedback issues here. I wish. Geez that was awful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leesville Wx Hawk Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 9 minutes ago, BullCityWx said: 10.7” for RDU and basically nothing for south wake. Wake County gradient at it’s finest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grayman Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 I’m still stuck at hour 48 on 3k nam on pivotal weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 is the 3k stalled? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 RDU folks will take and run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 Doing a re-boot as it wasn't spitting out enough qpf! TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 7, 2021 Author Share Posted January 7, 2021 Just now, StantonParkHoya said: RDU folks will take and run Check pls 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 1 minute ago, BornAgain13 said: is the 3k stalled? I'm stuck at 49h. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 7, 2021 Author Share Posted January 7, 2021 It ran fully on wxbell. Secondary max in NE NC and the Tidewater. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grayman Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 4 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: is the 3k stalled? It is for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 Hires snowfall totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 What’s the deal with this 850mb jet? Feel like there should be some precip enhancement with it especially near the escarpment,but it doesn’t show on radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNC Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 RAH with nice write up tonight. Sounds like they might be upping totals https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=RAH&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=0&highlight=off 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grayman Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 4 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: Hires snowfall totals Is this all the way through the run.? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 Arw pummels the upstate and mountains bits it’s literally 6 hours quicker with the backside precip???? All done here by 7am? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 For those stuck in the dry slot, could be be a pretty frustrating event, looks promising to start, get a dusting, then hours of drizzle/light snow. For those at the pivot point, it could be pretty epic: a couple inches on the front end, then possibly mixing with sleet, then a couple more inches as the deform band rolls through. The triad could go either way at this point, but 1"+ is feeling pretty solid right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GunBlade Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 22 minutes ago, burrel2 said: Best run for the upstate yet... backside band crushes us mid-morning. That backside stuff can be fickle. Been burned many times before on that action. Just have to hope it works out. On the positive side it’s an ULL not a backend deform band. Much more likely to score from an ULL depending on the track. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 1 minute ago, Grayman said: Is this all the way through the run.? Yup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now