BornAgain13 Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 It just keeps going and going Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 Lol, NAM with a damn foot for northern Wake/Durham counties Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 Wowzers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jwisephoto Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 Talk about getting snow holed :/ i get 3 inches and 10 miles down the road they get 10 lol what a time to live in Lenoir. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 SREF means are about the same as last run. Hickory is actually a bit lower Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY1894 Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 On 1/6/2021 at 2:33 PM, Jwisephoto said: Talk about getting snow holed :/ i get 3 inches and 10 miles down the road they get 10 lol what a time to live in Lenoir. Expand Hi res nam looks better! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chapelhillwx Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 Lol Athens GA mini jackpot zone on the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 Plenty of sleet mixed in for optimum sledding potential 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 On 1/6/2021 at 2:33 PM, Jwisephoto said: Talk about getting snow holed :/ i get 3 inches and 10 miles down the road they get 10 lol what a time to live in Lenoir. Expand On 1/6/2021 at 2:35 PM, wncsnow said: SREF means are about the same as last run. Hickory is actually a bit lower Expand That's living in the lee of the Apps... Argh! To be fair, the 3KNAM looked to have better potential for the lee than than did the 12K, but it ended at hour 60. Again, the onset of this event for areas outside the mountains continues to be delayed, while the duration may actually be lengthened a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow dog Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 On 1/6/2021 at 2:35 PM, HKY1894 said: Hi res nam looks better! Expand LOL...6" in Greenville. So that means flurries and a dusting for me I guess 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CUJO38 Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 On 1/6/2021 at 2:49 PM, Snow dog said: LOL...6" in Greenville. So that means flurries and a dusting for me I guess Expand Yea probably but dang I will take something out of this system Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 Surprised no one said anything about the 6z ICON it was the best run yet , although it's not a great model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 As someone who grew up in the immediate Lee, this system is not the system you want to see. Downsloping can be a killer. With that said, not trying to be pessimistic for those living in those regions, just trying to spare you the heartache I’ve had through the years lol edit: but being in Marion, Lenoir etc won’t be as bad in this scenario than say a location like Mt. Airy. Central foothills should be just close enough to the best dynamics to help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 On 1/6/2021 at 2:59 PM, BooneWX said: As someone who grew up in the immediate Lee, this system is not the system you want to see. Downsloping can be a killer. With that said, not trying to be pessimistic for those living in those regions, just trying to spare you the heartache I’ve had through the years lol Expand It's definitely on my mind. You don't want to see the forcing setup south of you. I think the further north outcomes are better here. March 08 still haunts me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 Warm inversion in the Lee sucks lol. Remember that many times in hky. Ral looks like a classic front end dusting to sleer/rain with a backend inch or two. These 10:1 maps are worthless if you live below 3000ft. I'd stick to the ferrier method for a system like this. This will be purely rate driven outside of the mountains and VA/NC border. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GunBlade Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 On 1/6/2021 at 2:37 PM, buckeyefan1 said: Plenty of sleet mixed in for optimum sledding potential Expand Love when it’s a good sleet to start then changeover to snow. Not that this will be that way... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 On 1/6/2021 at 3:03 PM, HKY_WX said: Warm inversion in the Lee sucks lol. Remember that many times in hky. Ral looks like a classic front end dusting to sleer/rain with a backend inch or two. These 10:1 maps are worthless if you live below 3000ft. I'd stick to the ferrier method for a system like this. This will be purely rate driven outside of the mountains and VA/NC border. Expand IMBY , if you use the Kuchera , it only knocks off maybe 2" from the 10:1 , so not a huge deal... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 12z ICON is warmer for most outside the mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow dog Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 On 1/6/2021 at 2:35 PM, HKY1894 said: Hi res nam looks better! Expand Saluda, NC with the jackpot zone on this map.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 just when I thought I was out, the hi res nam sucks me back in! Feel confident on at least seeing some moderate snow here Friday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNC Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 On 1/6/2021 at 3:03 PM, HKY_WX said: Warm inversion in the Lee sucks lol. Remember that many times in hky. Ral looks like a classic front end dusting to sleer/rain with a backend inch or two. These 10:1 maps are worthless if you live below 3000ft. I'd stick to the ferrier method for a system like this. This will be purely rate driven outside of the mountains and VA/NC border. Expand Brandon - what do you think about the NW piedmont triad area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 On 1/6/2021 at 3:18 PM, burrel2 said: just when I thought I was out, the hi res nam sucks me back in! Feel confident on at least seeing some moderate snow here Friday morning. Expand Don't fall for it Burrel! Save your sanity, you know how this plays out; hwy 11 north = some snow, state line north = buried, us ... = rain pain! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 12z RGEM is a solid run... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 On 1/6/2021 at 3:26 PM, CentralNC said: Brandon - what do you think about the NW piedmont triad area? Expand Outside of the mtns and va border, the triad is prob the best spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 After that last NAM run somebody will be posting the ground temp maps in 3..2..1.. Liking my chances either in the Triad or in Stuart, VA. But I've been waiting to capture some snow drone footage and also wanting to film around Lover's Leap over towards Hillsville. This could be the best of both worlds so I may be mobile come Friday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 12z RGEM KucheraSent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 GFS looks, warm, but just glad it didn't jump north. Time to start relying on hires models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 GFS is just so disorganized 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 No one over a few inches even in the mountains Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNC Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 On 1/6/2021 at 3:41 PM, kvegas-wx said: After that last NAM run somebody will be posting the ground temp maps in 3..2..1.. Liking my chances either in the Triad or in Stuart, VA. But I've been waiting to capture some snow drone footage and also wanting to film around Lover's Leap over towards Hillsville. This could be the best of both worlds so I may be mobile come Friday morning. Expand We look forward to your updates! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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