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January 8th-9th threat


BullCityWx
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12 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said:

@eyewall are you still sticking with your prediction or have u made adjustments from yesterday?

There will be adjustments. I am following today's trends closely. One thing that does suck on the 12z GFS aside from being a bit warmer is the loss of the second system. One thing I will say is we have to watch northeastern NC and southeastern VA for a secondary max as the surface low deepens while moving out.

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4 minutes ago, TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 said:

Well, this is just terrible trends for everyone outside the mountains. Seems to be a common theme the last few winters. We need an absolute perfect set up to squeeze out an inch in many places now. Could it be global warming? Does anyone know?

It was worse in the 90’s. We’re lucky to be having any threats at all right now.  Pattern should get colder over next 2 weeks 

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5 minutes ago, TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 said:

Well, this is just terrible trends for everyone outside the mountains. Seems to be a common theme the last few winters. We need an absolute perfect set up to squeeze out an inch in many places now. Could it be global warming? Does anyone know?

The last few winters? Last winter wasnt good but 2018 saw a ton of snow. 

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29 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said:

Not much outside the mountains....

 

28 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said:

Man with a track like that , it's a shame it's not much moisture outside the mountains...

 

27 minutes ago, TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 said:

Well, this is just terrible trends for everyone outside the mountains. Seems to be a common theme the last few winters. We need an absolute perfect set up to squeeze out an inch in many places now. Could it be global warming? Does anyone know?

 

Several of you have really wonky perceptions of where the mountains actually are in NC.  A lot of the western piedmont of North Carolina (essentially north and west of Charlotte) actually do quite well on this model run of the ECMWF-HiRes.  Plus, there is a decent snow signature in a horizontal line from Hickory to Raleigh.  This looks pretty good to me, with round 2 just emerging for early next week.

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