TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 ICON is less enthusiastic about snow chances outside of the mountains. Even the mountains had totals cut by quite a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 12z GFS is meh.... again... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 Just now, BornAgain13 said: 12z GFS is meh.... again... There’s a reason it’s the 4th most accurate global model based on verification scores. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 The GFS isn't very good for western sections Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 I'm starting to think NE NC (Ahoskie/EC/Edenton) stand to do the best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 5, 2021 Author Share Posted January 5, 2021 GFS went back up to nearly half a foot IMBY. My guess is we got lucky and the model thinks we caught a band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 5, 2021 Author Share Posted January 5, 2021 Just now, BullCityWx said: GFS went back up to nearly half a foot IMBY. My guess is we got lucky and the model thinks we caught a band. It does seem to indicate a very heavy mid afternoon snow band with visibilities close to zero. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 1 hour ago, BullCityWx said: @oconeexman and @burrel2 getting nammed at 72. Bring it! Love the temp profiles on the nam. Wouldbe some big wet ufo's flying. Hopefully it has a handle on it this far out but I'm skeptical 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY1894 Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 GfsV16 looks like a crush job 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bargainmusic Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 The GFSv16 is dropping a bomb on WNC and the Piedmont this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 Gfs Para with a pounding on central/ Western NC.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 Para with a very sharp cut off to the east with snow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 1 minute ago, HKY1894 said: GfsV16 looks like a crush job At least the GFS replacement has a clue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 It has a 15" lollipop southwest of Winston Salem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 A lot of people will be happy with that run! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 5, 2021 Author Share Posted January 5, 2021 2 minutes ago, oconeexman said: Bring it! Love the temp profiles on the nam. Wouldbe some big wet ufo's flying. Hopefully it has a handle on it this far out but I'm skeptical You know I'm pulling for you. Yall have been left out too many times. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 Anyone have maps? Edit: You guys are liberal with use of central NC. Looks like garbage for Triangle. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 1 minute ago, StantonParkHoya said: Anyone have maps? Edit: You guys are liberal with use of central NC. Looks like garbage for Triangle. I consider the piedmont central, the triad east central Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 1 minute ago, BornAgain13 said: I consider the piedmont central, the triad east central The triad is west-central, if you consider the distance from E-W of NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 5, 2021 Author Share Posted January 5, 2021 6 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said: Anyone have maps? Edit: You guys are liberal with use of central NC. Looks like garbage for Triangle. I think it's okay if you're the western triangle. I mean, clearly not as great as west of say Burlington to Albemarle but I am also not sure I buy this break in precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC2Winston Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 Triad is NW Piedmont as defined by Raleigh NWS if I remember correctly. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 5, 2021 Author Share Posted January 5, 2021 2 minutes ago, DC2Winston said: Triad is NW Piedmont as defined by Raleigh NWS if I remember correctly. That is almost always what I've thought of the area along 40 from Hickory to Greensboro. Burlington probably starts central NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 I guess I was wrong lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 Canadian looks good for mountains and foothills is still further north than other models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 CMC with a solid storm for NW NC , SW VA, Southern VA, SW NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 1 minute ago, wncsnow said: Canadian looks good for mountains and foothills is still further north than other models Yeah its weird, maybe it's not that its further north , but it's because it has more precip on the NW side, maybe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForsythWx Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 12z GFS Para - looking good for a lot of us... sharp cutoff though 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 Also it seems the CMC doesn't detach the precip fields like the other guidance... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 12z CMC , similar to other guidance but further north with precip...Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 UKMET again , keeps the snow in the mountains , very little to the east... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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