kvegas-wx Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 18 minutes ago, BullCityWx said: And as a bengals fan.... I kid I kid I know a thing or two about shutouts and pick 6's! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 A big Ole "0" for mby on the 3k Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Alchemist Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 Hires snowfall totals After that 3k NAM run, I’m going to be very disappointed if Saluda NC get a dusting Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 After that run I’m going to be very disappointed in Saluda NC get a dustingSent from my iPad using TapatalkShowing range of 3.5-2” for you and east into Rutherford for me. . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Alchemist Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 Showing range of 3.5-2” for you and east into Rutherford for me. .I’m way on the west end of Polk county... Looked more like 12-14 for Saluda... Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 There's a nice cutoff 850 low over eastern nc friday night. Should provide a nice band of snow over central nc. Exciting trends on the nam tonight for the triangle. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StoneColdWeatherAustin Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 Is it just me or is anyone else not getting updated SREF Plumes since this afternoon ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 1 minute ago, StoneColdWeatherAustin said: Is it just me or is anyone else not getting updated SREF Plumes since this afternoon ? Same for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 I'm gonna pretend I didn't see the latest RDPS. Gives me less than an inch after multiple runs with 4 to 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 1 minute ago, wncsnow said: I'm gonna pretend I didn't see the latest RDPS. Gives me less than an inch after multiple runs with 4 to 6 Was a good run for up here... but who knows if it's right... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_WX10 Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 1 minute ago, wncsnow said: I'm gonna pretend I didn't see the latest RDPS. Gives me less than an inch after multiple runs with 4 to 6 I am chasing to Boone and I'm getting concerned with the runs on the 00z with the lack of moisture on the front end for our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grayman Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 3 minutes ago, wncsnow said: I'm gonna pretend I didn't see the latest RDPS. Gives me less than an inch after multiple runs with 4 to 6 Agree. It took away my half inch. Damn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 1 minute ago, NC_WX10 said: I am chasing to Boone and I'm getting concerned with the runs on the 00z with the lack of moisture on the front end for our area. Someone's gonna be shafted near us with downsloping away from the main bands. Probably me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grayman Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 Just now, wncsnow said: Someone's gonna be shafted near us with downsloping away from the main bands. Probably me. I know how you feel. I’m in full chase mode Friday. I’m going to find me snow somehow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 5 minutes ago, wncsnow said: I'm gonna pretend I didn't see the latest RDPS. Gives me less than an inch after multiple runs with 4 to 6 Yeah you can definitely discard that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_WX10 Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 Just now, wncsnow said: Someone's gonna be shafted near us with downsloping away from the main bands. Probably me. Someone is definitely going to get shafted. I was thinking that the east facing slopes would have less moisture in this setup but it seems like areas further west have lower totals taking the 00z models verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 The variance in modeling is amazing this close to the event. Virtually every location has models showing jack pots and whiffs. The only real lock seems like the Southern mountains and eastern escarpment, but the RGEM looks pretty rough for those areas. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 14 minutes ago, HKY_WX said: There's a nice cutoff 850 low over eastern nc friday night. Should provide a nice band of snow over central nc. Exciting trends on the nam tonight for the triangle. So are you of the faction that considers the Triad “central NC?” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 The SREF went way up! Geez... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 42 minutes ago, CentralNC said: RAH with nice write up tonight. Sounds like they might be upping totals https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=RAH&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=0&highlight=off Agreed. That was an excellent discussion. Really interesting and informative. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 21z SREF @wncsnow Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 7, 2021 Author Share Posted January 7, 2021 2 minutes ago, burrel2 said: The variance in modeling is amazing this close to the event. Virtually every location has models showing jack pots and whiffs. The only real lock seems like the Southern mountains and eastern escarpment, but the RGEM looks pretty rough for those areas. The disagreement with the ensembles with some of these is stunning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 Another view of the SREFSent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 3 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: 21z SREF @wncsnow Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk Deal! And maybe even a "BOOM". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChesterfieldVa80 Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 3 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: 21z SREF @wncsnow Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk This is really surprising considering the nam was a whiff for VA. I wonder if there is a member or two skewing the mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 Just now, ChesterfieldVa80 said: This is really surprising considering the nam was a whiff for VA. I wonder if there is a member or two skewing the mean. Probably overdone but the SREF is showing widespread .50-.75 QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 Most likely outcome given the lack of model agreement at this point. 4 2 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 Don't pin your hopes on the SREF mean. It's fun to look at but it's trash. If it's correct it's by random luck. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grayman Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 12 minutes ago, burrel2 said: The variance in modeling is amazing this close to the event. Virtually every location has models showing jack pots and whiffs. The only real lock seems like the Southern mountains and eastern escarpment, but the RGEM looks pretty rough for those areas. I agree. Brad P just posted that the snow trend was slightly south. He include Charlotte in the 1 inch range. Dang this is tough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 Truly boom or bust. Someone on this thread will get an unreal amount with a low prediction and someone with a paste bomb prediction is going to get wet grass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now