griteater Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 3 minutes ago, buckeyefan1 said: 18z Euro 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 6 minutes ago, buckeyefan1 said: 18z Euro Please let it finish running for the more eastern folks before posting 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 3 minutes ago, griteater said: Wow Greensboro , jackpot 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 6, 2021 Author Share Posted January 6, 2021 Half a foot. Nice. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 2 hours ago, ILMRoss said: Fun fact- The elephant in the room is that BL temps are pretty terrible for this event - the main difference with the RGEM is that it's totally colder; not really much else going on. That's true. But at h5 of gfs lost alot of steam. Lot less organization over all h5 generally. Even if the Rgem looks raggedy. 24-36 hours ago gfs soundings where moist and cold all the way up to h3-h4 with questionable bl temps. A southern stronger track would be more favorable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChesterfieldVa80 Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 The warm layer at 850 doesnt make since to me across South Central Va on 18z euro. There was some good QPF across Southside and I was shocked when I saw it didn't translate to snowfall across Southern and South Central VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 Can anyone elaborate on what the 18z EURO did different than what it did at 12z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 I feel like the Euro likes to overdo precip in the medium range sometimes, but wowzers. Lock that puppy in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC2Winston Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 Personal goal IMBY still stands at 2-3”. Just some fun snow TV and maybe catch a death band. See some nice rates. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 Much different system but: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 Looking like both GFS and Euro bring some goods to KRDU. Not bad at this range 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 6, 2021 Author Share Posted January 6, 2021 One thing I noted is this run the euro is just a smidge colder at the surface. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 I’m not sure I like being in the (outside the mountains) crosshairs for the latest GFS and Euro three days out. Usually means DC ends up with a whopper of a snowstorm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 3 minutes ago, magpiemaniac said: I’m not sure I like being in the (outside the mountains) crosshairs for the latest GFS and Euro three days out. Usually means DC ends up with a whopper of a snowstorm. Right. Especially since this is a Miller AB hybrid. Places such as AL, Ga, essentially anything up stream is striking out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 SREF plumes are in and increased slightly from earlier for Asheville and Hickory 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 There are some big outliers and some with very little. Big spread still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 Dang the 0z NAM really digging the ULL south.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 10 minutes ago, wncsnow said: SREF plumes are in and increased slightly from earlier for Asheville and Hickory HKY has been an interesting one to watch today, since it’s the closest airport to my location in Burke. If memory serves me right, it was barely over two this morning with more members under the mean that a above it - then it went a little over 3 this afternoon with about a 50/50 split and now 4+ and more members at or above 4. Exciting trends for sure! I wonder if the HKY area could be the sweet spot for being close enough to the upper low for best dynamics but just far enough from the warm air advection to stay snow.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 00z NAM a couple of MB stronger @ 33 hrs. TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 center of the 5h low is nearly to the gulf coast at 33hrs on the NAM! Geez 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
85snowline Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 NC native (SE Rowan County) currently live in the Roberta Mill area of Cabarrus County.( 1 mile S of 85 as the crow flies). Keep in mind many of these maps show sharp cut off over Mecklenburg County and the CLT metro as a whole. S.Meck is heavily populated (over 650,000 people S of uptown) Plus York Co (Rock Hill) has almost 300,000 people.) That to say, any shift of the snow south, even 10 miles, will make a huge difference where snow trucks, brime, sand, etc are allocated. BUT, as most of you know this is how Winter weather works in the Carolinas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 SREF increased here... almost up to a 4" mean Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 NAM looking north at 45 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 00z NAM doesn't appear to be much of a change vs. 18z (through 42 hours). TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 Major change in the 18z EURO was how much slower the storm movement has become in the southern stream branch. I mean the system has barely moved off the NC coastline at hour 90. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 The major change in the last 24-30 hours has been the digging of the southern branch and how close to the Gulf Coast the surface low gets before moving northeastward towards the NC coastline. Also, this allows the northern branch 50/50 low over eastern Labrador, Canada to move out more before the system phases with arctic energy leftover. Again, a big nor'easter potential, if it were to happen, needs the arctic vorticity max to round the 50/50 H5 low circulation and further southwest than modeled, or it moves out just a bit quicker and allows the system up the coast while providing a cold air mass. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 This run is a warmer for western piedmont and foothills locations with more precip into East TN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 It's almost turned to rain even up here near Marion by 63. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 Crawling again and the mountains getting pounded Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 Banding just stays in the mountains per NAM... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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