BornAgain13 Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 Snow breaking out in NE GA , far SW NC at 57 on the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowbird1230 Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 Nam looking different Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 1 minute ago, wncsnow said: Well the NAM is south of 12Z so far Between the 12z and 18z NAM, all that moisture in TN at 03z on Friday went poof. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 Definitely odd to see the NAM moisture starved 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 Well that run was a train wreck for most 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 Can't help it guys... That 63hr NAM is hittin me hard....woooo!!!!! Warm nose vanished on this run... getting obliterated at 4am with more to follow... wooooo!!! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 1 minute ago, wncsnow said: Definitely odd to see the NAM moisture starved Been it’s bias to be too dry since it’s “upgrade”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 Just now, burrel2 said: Can't help it guys... That 63hr NAM is hittin me hard....woooo!!!!! Warm nose vanished on this run... getting obliterated at 4am with more to follow... wooooo!!! Congrats! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow dog Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 1 minute ago, burrel2 said: Can't help it guys... That 63hr NAM is hittin me hard....woooo!!!!! Warm nose vanished on this run... getting obliterated at 4am with more to follow... wooooo!!! Cant wait to see the maps Burrel! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 NAM looks a little north with the wave, but south with the 50/50 low, and the wave is getting weakened. I'm a fan of the NAM model, even at range, but it can be jumpy obviously given that it is high resolution...I would be surprised if we move toward this kind of heavily sheared out, weakened wave look, but you never know 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 2 minutes ago, burrel2 said: Can't help it guys... That 63hr NAM is hittin me hard....woooo!!!!! Warm nose vanished on this run... getting obliterated at 4am with more to follow... wooooo!!! Anywhere from 2-8" in Oconee and Pickens! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 Lol. I don't even get an inch while Asheville gets half a foot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 Please let this sounding be accurate for mby!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 Now this is a funky QPF map. I don't even get a tenth of precip while 30 miles to the SW gets almost 1 inch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow dog Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 Just now, oconeexman said: Anywhere from 2-8" in Oconee and Pickens! If ANYONE deserves a good snow, its NW upstate of SC. Even in storms where Greenville cashed in, you guys would be shafted.. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 Hi Res NAM at the end of its run doesn't look much better, super splotchy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 NAM is usually AMPED UP! So, the latest upgrade "fixed" that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 4 hours ago, BornAgain13 said: Gfs Para with a pounding on central/ Western NC.... 4 hours ago, BornAgain13 said: I consider the piedmont central, the triad east central 4 hours ago, StantonParkHoya said: The triad is west-central, if you consider the distance from E-W of NC. 4 hours ago, DC2Winston said: Triad is NW Piedmont as defined by Raleigh NWS if I remember correctly. You guys really tickle me sometimes. You can argue over a difference of 1 mph wind or 1 millibar of pressure in a hurricane but somehow still haven’t figured out the different geographic regions of the state in which you live. As you read the above posts notice that two different things are being talked about and that causes the confusion. Some of you were talking about regions of the state and some sections of the Piedmont. NW NC is not the same as the NW Piedmont. We have to get geography back in the schools!! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 5 minutes ago, TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 said: NAM is usually AMPED UP! So, the latest upgrade "fixed" that? “Fixed” it to where it now has somewhat a dry bias in its mid range. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 7 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Lol. I don't even get an inch while Asheville gets half a foot Chimney Rock jackpot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upstate Tiger Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 KGSP (That's in northwest SC...the center left corner of state) still cautiously optimistic for 2 storms. Synoptic forecast still essentially the same. https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=GSP&product=AFD&format=ci&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 10 minutes ago, jburns said: You guys really tickle me sometimes. You can argue over a difference of 1 mph wind or 1 millibar of pressure in a hurricane but somehow still haven’t figured out the different geographic regions of the state in which you live. As you read the above posts notice that two different things are being talked about and that causes the confusion. Some of you were talking about regions of the state and some sections of the Piedmont. NW NC is not the same as the NW Piedmont. We have to get geography back in the schools!! Well some guy on here is from "Central, SC" and that's in the far western part of his state. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 3 minutes ago, CaryWx said: Well so guy on here is from "Central, SC" and that that's in the far western part of his state. North,SC is in central SC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 1 hour ago, BornAgain13 said: What kind of totals would you say for Danville, Southern VA? 3-6 for the time being. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 God love those ale drinking colonial mapmakers? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 I've been sucker punched last minute by the SREF before Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 18z RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 Just now, griteater said: 18z RGEM It would make a lot of people happy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 42 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Lol. I don't even get an inch while Asheville gets half a foot 2.5 inches for here in Greenville? I’ll believe it when I see it. Probably be less QPF than modeled, all of the QPF being used up as rain for evap cooling, soil layer temps, BL temps, or a mix bag of all of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 18z RGEM 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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