Wow Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 Looks like the 12z run mostly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 Definitely a stronger ULL this time on the NAM... a tad further north at 69 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 Still looks like a very suppressed track compared to other guidance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 Looks like 12Z, its pretty far south. heavy snow into NE GA at 78 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 Snow breaking out in southwestern nc... this might be a good run... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 Exactly what I like to see 3 days out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 NAM COMING IN BIG TIME AT THE END.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 0z NAM about to go boomSent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 Goes negative tilt at 84. Precip shield blossoming to the north and west. Extrapolated probably looks like the gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 Not a bad run, plenty of time for it to juice up qpf on the NW edges. Heaviest precip was in GA and upstate 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 That looks nice. Soundings are solid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 Just now, Wow said: That looks nice. Soundings are solid. Yes , that would turn out solid for most folks!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 NAM clown, hope for CLT and N GA folks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 What a beauty...Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 4 minutes ago, Wow said: That looks nice. Soundings are solid. Maybe by tomorrow this time we will be able to see if it is on to something. It's not in the NAM's wheelhouse yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 NAM is moving the upper low due east, fully occluded, no neg tilt or phasing. I don't see how heavy precip makes it to the NC/VA border if you extrapolate out another 12 hours. Luckily for you guys up there that's right where you want to be 4 days out anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 1 minute ago, burrel2 said: NAM is moving the upper low due east, fully occluded, no neg tilt or phasing. I don't see how heavy precip makes it to the NC/VA border if you extrapolate out another 12 hours. Luckily for you guys up there that's right where you want to be 4 days out anyways. I disagree... it kinda does go negative tilt , and the precip is headed northeast not due east.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 Also somehow the NAM has a sliver of a warm nose at 850mb that wrecks my profile at hour 84. Not a good sign, hopefully it's just noise and anyone Northwest of the 850mb low will be fine. Boundary layer temps look great on the NAM as expected... 32-33 at the surface under the heavy returns for the entire upstate and central NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 8 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: I disagree... it kinda does go negative tilt , and the precip is headed northeast not due east.... I disagree with the disagree , no negative tilt on that NAM run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 2 hours ago, BullCityWx said: There’s a trend every six hours. I don’t understand, we have the best GEFS and EPS mean we’ve had since jump with this thing. 0z NAM starting that off well 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 1 minute ago, griteater said: I disagree with the disagree , no negative tilt on that NAM run Either way , the precip shield was headed northeast... definitely a big improvement from previous runs.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 21 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: What a beauty... Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk Looks like the icon. This would be prefered track from 84 hr frame,due East,even ne heading at end would be perfect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 5, 2021 Author Share Posted January 5, 2021 2 minutes ago, Wow said: 0z NAM starting that off well I’m so old I can remember when a trend was like a days worth of runs. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 The 0z RGEM looks juiced up at 48... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 15 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: I disagree... it kinda does go negative tilt , and the precip is headed northeast not due east.... Last thing I’d be worried about if I were you would be this missing to your south anyway 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 Snow breaking out in sw NC at 75 on 0z RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 0z RGEM at the end of its run...Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 0z ICONSent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 3 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 The NAM and RGEM were similar with temps / precip types, but the RGEM was a little north of the NAM with the 850/500mb low tracks 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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