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Obs and nowcast Sun 9A Jan 3 - 6A Mon Jan 4 2021


wdrag
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5 hours ago, gravitylover said:

It has been snowing lightly for a while, radar looks like there may be one more burst here before it moves out. Nickel and dime... I'll take it.

So since it hasn't stopped snowing yet but it's compacted down to 1.5" already I can't claim 2" even though it was that much a little while ago? Sorry I'm going for max numbers ;)  I hate warm snow storms but it's better than cold rain.

fwiw, you're supposed to use max snow depth for your snowfall, prior to compacting. So your 2" snow"fall" is accurate. Your snow depth now may be under 2". 

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Short term models nailed that little gradient across parts of our area. Plows out from me north this morning (probably unnecessary given the current temps and amount of snow but whatever), literally 2 miles south the grass wasnt even covered. 

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000
NOUS41 KPHI 041022
PNSPHI
DEZ001>004-MDZ012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055-060>062-070-
071-101>106-042222-

Public Information Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
522 AM EST Mon Jan 4 2021

...SNOWFALL REPORTS...

Location                     Amount    Time/Date       Provider

...New Jersey...

...Hunterdon County...
Tewksbury Twp                0.5 in    0954 AM 01/03   Trained Spotter
Lebanon                      0.4 in    0953 AM 01/03   Trained Spotter

...Morris County...
Ledgewood                    1.5 in    1032 AM 01/03   Trained Spotter
1 NE Rockaway                1.5 in    1100 AM 01/03   Cocorahs
Lake Hopatcong               1.5 in    1000 PM 01/03   Public
2 NNE Brookside              1.2 in    1030 AM 01/03   Trained Spotter
Budd Lake                    1.2 in    1140 AM 01/03   Public
2 ESE Randolph               0.9 in    1045 AM 01/03   Cocorahs
Long Valley                  0.8 in    0955 AM 01/03   Public
Denville                     0.6 in    1109 AM 01/03   Trained Spotter
Montville                    0.4 in    1205 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter

...Somerset County...
Bridgewater                  0.6 in    0925 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter
Branchburg Twp               0.5 in    1005 AM 01/03   Public

...Sussex County...
Wantage Twp                  3.5 in    1041 PM 01/03   Public
4 SW Wantage                 2.3 in    0245 AM 01/04   Trained Spotter

...Warren County...
1 NNW Stewartsville          1.6 in    0942 AM 01/03   Public
1 ENE Pohatcong Twp          1.6 in    1100 AM 01/03   Cocorahs
Blairstown                   1.1 in    1000 AM 01/03   Public
2 NW Hope                    1.0 in    0926 AM 01/03   Trained Spotter

...Pennsylvania...

...Berks County...
2 W Colebrookdale Twp        1.4 in    0850 AM 01/03   Trained Spotter
1 N Huffs Church             1.1 in    1000 AM 01/03   Trained Spotter
Douglassville                0.5 in    0830 AM 01/03   Trained Spotter

...Bucks County...
Chalfont                     0.5 in    0921 AM 01/03   Trained Spotter
Furlong                      0.5 in    0955 AM 01/03   Trained Spotter
New Hope                     0.4 in    0915 AM 01/03   Trained Spotter

...Carbon County...
2 ENE Palmerton              1.0 in    1100 AM 01/03   Trained Spotter

...Chester County...
Elverson                     1.0 in    0811 AM 01/03   Public
East Nantmeal Twp            1.0 in    0838 AM 01/03   Trained Spotter
East Coventry Twp            1.0 in    0900 AM 01/03   Trained Spotter
1 ENE Modena                 0.5 in    0929 AM 01/03   Public
1 WNW Chesterbrook           0.5 in    0208 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter
2 SE Exton                   0.4 in    0858 AM 01/03   Cocorahs

...Delaware County...
1 WNW Wayne                  0.3 in    0916 AM 01/03   Trained Spotter

...Lehigh County...
Macungie                     2.0 in    0910 AM 01/03   Public
Whitehall Twp                1.5 in    1138 AM 01/03   Public
1 W Hokendauqua              1.4 in    0935 AM 01/03   Public
Center Valley                1.3 in    0930 AM 01/03   Trained Spotter
2 NE Emmaus                  1.2 in    1100 AM 01/03   Trained Spotter
2 SSE Zionsville             1.0 in    0903 AM 01/03   Public
1 E Allentown                1.0 in    0922 AM 01/03   Public
Coopersburg                  1.0 in    1014 AM 01/03   Public
Lehigh Valley International  1.0 in    0100 PM 01/03   ASOS
North Whitehall Twp          0.8 in    0841 AM 01/03   Public

...Monroe County...
Coolbaugh Twp                4.2 in    0930 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter
Mount Pocono                 4.0 in    0915 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter
Bossardsville                3.5 in    1030 PM 01/03   Public

...Montgomery County...
1 SSE Trappe                 1.0 in    0900 AM 01/03   Trained Spotter
Gilbertsville                1.0 in    0916 AM 01/03   Trained Spotter
New Hanover Twp              1.0 in    0918 AM 01/03   Public
Pottstown                    0.5 in    0850 AM 01/03   Public

...Northampton County...
Eastlawn Gardens             1.5 in    1001 AM 01/03   Trained Spotter
Bushkill Twp                 1.5 in    1005 AM 01/03   Trained Spotter
Bethlehem                    1.4 in    1139 AM 01/03   Public
Forks Twp                    1.3 in    1020 AM 01/03   Trained Spotter
Hellertown                   1.1 in    0920 AM 01/03   Trained Spotter
Palmer Heights               1.1 in    0957 AM 01/03   Public
1 NNW Danielsville           1.1 in    1020 AM 01/03   Trained Spotter
Lower Mount Bethel Twp       1.0 in    0915 AM 01/03   Trained Spotter
&&
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000
NOUS41 KBGM 041149
PNSBGM
NYZ009-015>018-022>025-036-037-044>046-055>057-062-PAZ038>040-043-044-047-
048-072-042349-

Public Information Statement
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
649 AM EST Mon Jan 4 2021

...SNOWFALL REPORTS...

Location                     Amount    Time/Date       Lat/Lon

...New York...

...Broome County...
2 E Vestal                   6.0 in    1212 AM 01/04   42.08N/76.01W
2 SW Vestal Center           5.8 in    1015 PM 01/03   42.01N/76.05W
2 N Johnson City             5.7 in    0646 AM 01/04   42.15N/75.96W
1 S Nineveh                  5.5 in    1220 AM 01/04   42.19N/75.60W
Port Crane                   5.1 in    0830 PM 01/03   42.17N/75.84W
4 SE Nineveh                 5.0 in    1105 PM 01/03   42.17N/75.54W
3 SSW Sanitaria Spgs         4.2 in    0830 PM 01/03   42.13N/75.79W
2 E Whitney Point            4.0 in    0754 PM 01/03   42.33N/75.93W
Vestal                       4.0 in    0717 PM 01/03   42.08N/76.05W
Nws Binghamton               3.8 in    1219 AM 01/04   42.21N/75.99W
1 SW Endwell                 2.7 in    1015 PM 01/03   42.11N/76.03W
Whitney Point                2.5 in    0511 PM 01/03   42.33N/75.97W
Port Dickinson               2.2 in    0845 PM 01/03   42.14N/75.89W
Endwell                      2.0 in    0621 PM 01/03   42.12N/76.02W

...Chemung County...
Van Etten                    2.3 in    0432 PM 01/03   42.20N/76.55W
Elmira                       1.5 in    0736 PM 01/03   42.09N/76.81W

...Chenango County...
3 SW Greene                  4.8 in    1010 PM 01/03   42.30N/75.81W
Nineveh                      4.0 in    0637 PM 01/03   42.20N/75.60W

...Delaware County...
Hobart                       4.0 in    0755 PM 01/03   42.37N/74.67W
Delhi                        2.5 in    0600 PM 01/03   42.28N/74.91W
East Meredith                2.0 in    0234 PM 01/03   42.42N/74.88W

...Oneida County...
1 NNW Utica                  0.5 in    0632 PM 01/03   43.11N/75.24W

...Onondaga County...
2 SSE North Syracuse         1.5 in    1100 PM 01/03   43.11N/76.11W
Syracuse                     1.0 in    0500 PM 01/03   43.04N/76.14W
Marcellus                    0.8 in    0700 PM 01/03   42.98N/76.34W

...Otsego County...
Hartwick                     6.0 in    1200 AM 01/04   42.65N/75.05W
Milford                      4.5 in    0900 PM 01/03   42.59N/74.95W
1 NNE Oneonta                4.0 in    0900 PM 01/03   42.47N/75.06W
Unadilla                     3.5 in    0950 PM 01/03   42.33N/75.32W
1 WSW Emmons                 3.3 in    0900 PM 01/03   42.46N/75.04W
1 N Oaksville                3.1 in    0845 PM 01/03   42.75N/75.00W
Edmeston                     3.0 in    0930 PM 01/03   42.70N/75.24W

...Sullivan County...
1 ENE Callicoon Center       7.0 in    0620 AM 01/04   41.84N/74.95W
Callicoon Center             6.0 in    1030 PM 01/03   41.83N/74.97W
1 ESE Callicoon Center       1.0 in    1045 AM 01/03   41.83N/74.95W

...Pennsylvania...

...Bradford County...
New Albany                   14.0 in   1100 PM 01/03   41.60N/76.44W
4 WSW South Branch           11.0 in   0945 PM 01/03   41.64N/76.50W
3 SSW West Burlington        7.1 in    1045 PM 01/03   41.72N/76.69W
3 ENE Alba                   4.2 in    0845 PM 01/03   41.72N/76.77W
Alba                         4.0 in    1000 PM 01/03   41.71N/76.83W
1 SSE Towanda                4.0 in    0930 PM 01/03   41.76N/76.44W
Litchfield                   3.0 in    0730 PM 01/03   41.97N/76.43W

...Lackawanna County...
Clarks Summit                6.2 in    0900 PM 01/03   41.49N/75.70W
1 SSE Clarks Summit          5.7 in    0800 PM 01/03   41.48N/75.70W
Taylor                       5.5 in    0845 PM 01/03   41.40N/75.72W
1 NW Throop                  4.5 in    0800 PM 01/03   41.45N/75.61W
1 S Blakely                  4.0 in    0800 PM 01/03   41.47N/75.60W
Scranton                     3.5 in    0718 PM 01/03   41.40N/75.67W
1 NE Moosic                  3.2 in    1100 PM 01/03   41.37N/75.68W
Richmondale                  2.0 in    0511 PM 01/03   41.63N/75.50W

...Luzerne County...
Edwardsville                 5.0 in    0945 PM 01/03   41.26N/75.91W
2 WNW Harveys Lake           3.8 in    0900 PM 01/03   41.37N/76.06W
1 S Exeter                   3.8 in    0800 PM 01/03   41.32N/75.82W
Harveys Lake                 2.5 in    0724 PM 01/03   41.36N/76.03W

...Susquehanna County...
Dimock                       4.0 in    0638 PM 01/03   41.75N/75.90W
Harford                      4.0 in    0559 PM 01/03   41.78N/75.70W
Susquehanna                  3.0 in    0744 PM 01/03   41.93N/75.60W
Forest City                  2.6 in    0600 PM 01/03   41.65N/75.47W

...Wayne County...
Beach Lake                   6.0 in    0541 AM 01/04   41.60N/75.15W
1 WNW Hawley                 1.0 in    0954 AM 01/03   41.48N/75.19W
2 ESE Beach Lake             1.0 in    0950 AM 01/03   41.59N/75.11W

...Wyoming County...
1 NNW Factoryville           6.5 in    1015 PM 01/03   41.57N/75.79W
&&

 

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000
NOUS41 KBOX 041054
PNSBOX
CTZ002>004-MAZ002>024-026-RIZ001>008-042254-

Public Information Statement
Spotter Reports
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
554 AM EST Mon Jan 04 2021

The following are unofficial observations taken during the past 23
hours for the storm that has been affecting our region. Appreciation
is extended to highway departments, cooperative observers, Skywarn
spotters and media for these reports. This summary also is available
on our home page at weather.gov/boston

********************STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL********************

LOCATION          STORM TOTAL     TIME/DATE   COMMENTS
                     SNOWFALL           OF
                     /INCHES/   MEASUREMENT

CONNECTICUT

...Hartford County...
   Burlington             3.5   519 AM  1/04  Trained Spotter
   Bradley AP             1.7  1200 AM  1/04  CWOP

...Windham County...
   East Killingly         1.2   509 AM  1/04  NONE

MASSACHUSETTS

...Essex County...
   Saugus                 1.0   952 PM  1/03  Trained Spotter

...Hampden County...
   Longmeadow             2.0  1138 PM  1/03  Trained Spotter
   Westfield              1.3   933 PM  1/03  CWO
   West Springfield       1.0   821 PM  1/03  Ham Radio
   Agawam                 1.0  1037 PM  1/03  Ham Radio

...Hampshire County...
   Easthampton            1.3  1035 PM  1/03  Ham Radio

...Middlesex County...
   Hopkinton              1.5   446 AM  1/04  Trained Spotter
   Lexington              1.3  1155 PM  1/03  Public

...Norfolk County...
   Medway                 1.9   919 PM  1/03  Ham Radio
   Millis                 1.2  1030 PM  1/03  Trained Spotter

...Worcester County...
   Grafton                1.8  1200 AM  1/04  Trained Spotter
   Westborough            1.7   949 PM  1/03  NWS Employee
   Milford                1.6   932 PM  1/03  Trained Spotter
   Leominster             1.5  1200 AM  1/04  Public
   Boylston               1.3  1041 PM  1/03  Trained Spotter
   Worcester              1.1  1144 PM  1/03  CWO
   Holden                 1.0   841 PM  1/03  Ham Radio

&&
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The snow cover line begins right at 287 where there is elevation: Tarrytown has snow, Nyack does not.

 

The storm was modeled perfectly. Models continue to be spot on. Disappointment source is from not excepting what the models are showing OR using one-off runs in the 24 hours prior to verify a wishcast.

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Mapped results of the 1/3-4/21 event: 

 

Results of the event, which was basically 830A/3-6A/4...various start times. The worst appears to be have been centered near 6-7PM/ Sunday the 3rd.  Had sleet/glaze freezing drizzle in nw NJ and ne PA during the afternoon.  First 3 are CoCoRAHS and the last  image is the NWS LSR map of posted reports.  Note that WPC guidance didn't seem to handle the 08z/3  2"+ and especially 4"+ probabilities very well in the Poconos and Catskills. 

 

Screen_Shot_2021-01-04_at_11_02.58_AM.png

Screen Shot 2021-01-04 at 11.00.57 AM.png

Screen_Shot_2021-01-04_at_10_14.39_AM.png

Screen_Shot_2021-01-04_at_11_12.56_AM.png

 
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000
NOUS41 KOKX 041623
PNSOKX
CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179-050422-

Public Information Statement
Spotter Reports
National Weather Service New York NY
1122 AM EST Mon Jan 04 2021

The following are unofficial observations taken during the past 24
hours for the storm that has been affecting our region. Appreciation
is extended to highway departments, cooperative observers, Skywarn
spotters and media for these reports. This summary also is available
on our home page at weather.gov/nyc

**********STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL (AT LEAST 2.0 INCH)**********

LOCATION                TOTAL      TIME/DATE  COMMENTS
                     SNOWFALL       MEASURED
                     (inches)

CONNECTICUT

...Fairfield County...
  Danbury                 3.4   800 AM  1/04  Trained Spotter
  Newtown                 3.2  1145 PM  1/03  Public
  New Fairfield           2.6   600 AM  1/04  Trained Spotter

...New Haven County...
  Southbury               2.0   750 AM  1/04  Public

NEW JERSEY

...Passaic County...
  West Milford            2.6   600 AM  1/04  Public

NEW YORK

...Orange County...
  Newburgh                3.9   530 AM  1/04  Trained Spotter
  1 N Orange Lake         3.3  1045 PM  1/03  Trained Spotter
  1 S Walden              3.1   930 PM  1/03  CoCoRaHS
  Gardnertown             3.0   947 PM  1/03  Trained Spotter
  1 SW Pine Bush          2.8   820 PM  1/03  Social Media


************STORM TOTAL ICE (AT LEAST 0.00 INCH)************

LOCATION                TOTAL      TIME/DATE  COMMENTS
                          ICE       MEASURED
                     (inches)

CONNECTICUT

...Fairfield County...
  Redding                   T   500 PM  1/03  Trace of freezing rain

NEW YORK

...Orange County...
  1 NNW Berea            0.03   221 PM  1/03  CoCoRaHS

&&
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