Chicago Storm Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Have been meaning to start a thread like this for the past few winters, but always end up forgetting... Just a little something for these systems, such as the one today/tomorrow, that don’t quite make it to being thread worthy... . 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 2, 2021 Author Share Posted January 2, 2021 And speaking of the system for tonight, most guidance bumped back north...with agreement on 1-2” for a good portion of the area.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 18 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: And speaking of the system for tonight, most guidance bumped back north...with agreement on 1-2” for a good portion of the area. . Good idea. One thing I'll say the touch of snow and ice we got yesterday is very picturesque. An inch or so of fluff would only make it more so, 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Not golden on this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 looks like a good burst of snow to come through late tonight, but temps look to be mild, 32-33. This thread is a good idea instead of putting everything non-thread worthy in the monthly discussion thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 I remember the days where we had to worry about nw trends but that hasnt been the case for awhile. Rap/nam have been consistent bringing the banding to about m-59. Dtx seems to think it'll stay at the border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 bettin I get more snow tonight than yesterday. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Ice has been slow to melt here. The snow that fell last night is still on on top of the ice. Pretty remarkable and beautiful. But there’s also plenty of ice on the trees and the wind is starting to blow again. Not real excited for the inch or two of cement coming. I’m afraid we’re going to see outages skyrocket overnight and into the morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 3 hours ago, michsnowfreak said: looks like a good burst of snow to come through late tonight, but temps look to be mild, 32-33. This thread is a good idea instead of putting everything non-thread worthy in the monthly discussion thread. Similar concept with what we do with the non-thread worthy severe weather days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 As others have mentioned in January thread, tonight looks good for a solid fairly short- lived burst of snow. Nice mid-level lapse rate (>7C/km) plume advecting northward over the mini trowal across northeast and central IL and northwest Indiana. One of these similar setups last winter produced a localized swath of 3-4". I think 1-2" amounts will be common for all but the northern tier, with spots of 2-3". Can't rule out a very localized 3"+ given the nature of these potent little waves with good lapse rates. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 Congrats @A-L-E-K Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 IWX 7pm update .Update... Issued at 717 PM EST Sat Jan 2 2021 Trends in near term guidance along with upstream sat/radar depiction of vigorous sw disturbance and attendant baroclinic leaf lifting out of nrn AR and expansion of radar returns through cntrl TN/wrn KY along leading edge of return moisture plume. This portents a brief period of mod-hvy snow likely to develop after midnight. Some nw displacement of H7 dilatation axis also noted in model guidance and suspect a robust deformation response aloft will occur overhead for a time late tonight. Thus have backed prior gridded stripe of higher qpf a bit nwwd esp under the guise of related H7 pivot point shaping up further nw from prior. Otherwise with a period of low static stability aloft timed with wwd arching but brief trowal, some banded enhancement likely which may yield some over performance in snow amounts northeast. Regardless rapid newd progression of upper sys lends a risk of going any higher with top end snow probs even though they may verify correct in some locations far northeast. Otherwise primarily a snow event with drizzle persisting this evening before ice nucleation takes over with arrival of upstream mid level moisture slug. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 i think that's 10 blocks north of him. DAB. Talk about sour luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 Chambana getting in on a little action this eve. CMI was down to 1/2 mile in moderate snow a short while ago. Should snow well there for another hour or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 3, 2021 Author Share Posted January 3, 2021 Corridor between Champaign and Lincoln will end up with several inches.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherMonger Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 Solid coating here, guesstimate 1/2" currently. All back end snow from yesterday had melted and most icing had dropped but not all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherMonger Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 Wow, takes a lot get a pic uploadable... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherMonger Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 Pouring snow right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherMonger Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 Ground is completely covered now, closing in on an inch easily. Still pouring snow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEILwxbo Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 Quite the weenie band near Monticello. Wouldn’t be surprised to see a 6” report from around there 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherMonger Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 Easily going to be the biggest snow of the year/season here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEILwxbo Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 Not sure how accurate this is being 40 miles from the radar but wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 3, 2021 Author Share Posted January 3, 2021 ILX needs a short fuse warning.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherMonger Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 6 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: ILX needs a short fuse warning. . ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 Radar estimates over 0.3" of precip fell in the past hour around the Cisco area to the west of Monticello/Champaign. Likely 2-3" per hour rates there the past hour, and it continues. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 8 minutes ago, WeatherMonger said: ? There's a high likelihood of 6"+ snow in 12hrs or less in a portion of the ILX cwa. No advisories or anything other than dense fog advisory at present. EDIT: ILX did take the time to peck out a special weather statement though (after 3"+ has already fallen lol) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 3, 2021 Author Share Posted January 3, 2021 Radar estimates over 0.3" of precip fell in the past hour around the Cisco area to the west of Monticello/Champaign. Likely 2-3" per hour rates there the past hour, and it continues.Total precip bullseye up a max around 1.50” now. Even with a full half reduction, that’s over 7”.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 This system had overachiever written all over it as we were discussing in the January thread. Just wasn't sure exactly where. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 3, 2021 Author Share Posted January 3, 2021 Looks like higher totals will translate into N IN as well, as banding is setting up as the UL disturbance pushes ENE.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 Baby Kanuk nailed the snow around Champaign at 00Z if it comes to fruition. Have some low/mid level dry air issues in IN but as the UL moves ENE should ring those out in the next hour.. Possible defo zone setting up from around Danville Il. up through Marion IN. -SN here, probably reach my 2in forecast for temporary relief from mudpocalypse. Points just to my N, especially IWX, are still in the game for an over performer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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