hudsonvalley21 Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 1.34 as of 12:30 pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted September 1, 2021 Author Share Posted September 1, 2021 44 minutes ago, snywx said: That’s great! I don’t think this will rival Irene but time will tell I guess Irene was 6.61" for me, sitting at 1.52" so far. What also helps my location is that the other side of the river is lower so much of the river goes that way when it spills its banks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted September 1, 2021 Author Share Posted September 1, 2021 Here's a link to a river gage on the Wallkill near Garnet (Orange Regional Medical Center) https://waterdata.usgs.gov/ny/nwis/uv/?site_no=01370520&PARAmeter_cd=00065,00060,62614,72020,00062,00010,99904,99905 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 1 hour ago, IrishRob17 said: Irene was 6.61" for me, sitting at 1.52" so far. What also helps my location is that the other side of the river is lower so much of the river goes that way when it spills its banks. How were Floyd and Lee up your way? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 This is the HREF ensemble mean. Not even member max, but the mean. Heck of a signal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted September 1, 2021 Author Share Posted September 1, 2021 6 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: How were Floyd and Lee up your way? For Floyd my boys were 6, 3, and 2...I wasn't keeping records then as every day was survival mode. For Lee I have 7.50" from Monday afternoon through Thursday of that week. On 10/8/05 I had 8.51" of rain, I think that there was a tropical connection to that but my records then didn't include some of the details that I add now. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 I had a ~15' tall chokecherry growing in the yard that I found yesterday. It wasn't there at the beginning of the year because I cleaned that corner of the yard down to dirt in March. I say had because a few minutes ago I went and pushed it over then ripped it out. It pulled up nearly a foot and a half around root ball. What I'm getting it is the ground is so soft that healthy, new growth that big can just be pulled out by hand. As the wind is already coming up a little in the heavier showers I'm getting concerned for the 50+ foot trees all over the hill. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 Floyd was insane. Just under 14" here, between 14.5-15 along the Taconic Spine just west of here and a max of 16.5-17 along Quaker Hill and Cranberry Mt in Patterson. Whole hillsides washed away, roads were rivers and waterfalls were everywhere. It was the most intense weather I've ever seen for over an hour. I drove home from work at what I thought was the end of the worst of it and got caught in some downpours that forced me to stop the car because I couldn't see past the windshield. It was exhilarating 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 Floyd was easily the worst of them all in Rockland. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 1 minute ago, BxEngine said: Floyd was easily the worst of them all in Rockland. hi can you unpin the older ida thread so everyone uses the nowcast one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted September 1, 2021 Author Share Posted September 1, 2021 5 minutes ago, forkyfork said: hi can you unpin the older ida thread so everyone uses the nowcast one Do you really think it'll matter? It could be a little experiment/test, with many failing I'm sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 Unfolding as expected with widespread 1"+/hr rainfall rates now. Pond is already flooding the road so that's gonna get pretty bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 Next few hours are gonna suck. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 45 minutes ago, BxEngine said: Next few hours are gonna suck. I shoulda stayed at work Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hitman Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 Just over an inch here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 2.60 in the bucket as of 7:00 pm. We’re getting close to going thru the belly of this beast. It’s good that we’re on the north side of the front. They are getting some nasty stuff in NJ. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 719 PM EDT Wed Sep 1 2021 NJC021-PAC017-012330- /O.CON.KPHI.TO.W.0049.000000T0000Z-210901T2330Z/ Mercer NJ-Bucks PA- 719 PM EDT Wed Sep 1 2021 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM EDT FOR CENTRAL MERCER AND SOUTHEASTERN BUCKS COUNTIES... At 718 PM EDT, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was located over Trenton, moving northeast at 40 mph. This storm has a history of producing strong tornadoes. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! HAZARD...Damaging tornado. SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado. IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction is possible. Locations impacted include... Trenton, Ewing, Pennington, Yardley, Edinburg, White Horse, Windsor, Mercerville-Hamilton Square, Lawrenceville, Woodside, Levittown, Morrisville, Yardville-Groveville and Fairless Hills. This includes the following highways... Interstate 195 in New Jersey between mile markers 0 and 5. Interstate 295 in New Jersey between mile markers 59 and 76. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted September 2, 2021 Share Posted September 2, 2021 Uncle! Uncle! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted September 2, 2021 Share Posted September 2, 2021 Briefly considered a jebwalk to marvel at this historic event, then I remembered that rain sucks a lot 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted September 2, 2021 Author Share Posted September 2, 2021 The 23z HRRR finally has me under 2” of accumulated precip, of course 3.60” has already fallen though. 5” looking achievable here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted September 2, 2021 Share Posted September 2, 2021 Apparently I'm just passing 2" now. Considering how steadily and how heavily the rain has been all day I expected more but when a half dozen local stations are within .2 ya gotta go with it. Flash flood warnings have been issued for the area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted September 2, 2021 Share Posted September 2, 2021 10 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: The 23z HRRR finally has me under 2” of accumulated precip, of course 3.60” has already fallen though. 5” looking achievable here. Think so too for the 5”. 3.32 here as of 8:20 pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted September 2, 2021 Share Posted September 2, 2021 The stronger-than-modeled convection over PA/NJ and now moving into NYC has been robbing our moisture a bit. Whatever ridiculous rainfall total you end up with, it was almost even worse. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted September 2, 2021 Author Share Posted September 2, 2021 4 minutes ago, hudsonvalley21 said: Think so too for the 5”. 3.32 here as of 8:20 pm Up to 3.82, pouring but not as bad as NJ, there are a number of river gauges that just go straight up at a 90 degree angle, real bad down there 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hitman Posted September 2, 2021 Share Posted September 2, 2021 1.7”. Getting some lightning now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted September 2, 2021 Share Posted September 2, 2021 1 minute ago, IrishRob17 said: Up to 3.82, pouring but not as bad as NJ, there are a number of river gauges that just go straight up at a 90 degree angle, real bad down there I’m sure the areas that flood such as Wayne will have a rough night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted September 2, 2021 Share Posted September 2, 2021 4 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: The stronger-than-modeled convection over PA/NJ and now moving into NYC has been robbing our moisture a bit. Whatever ridiculous rainfall total you end up with, it was almost even worse. Current radar is showing an impressive slug of moisture from Newark northwards thru Bergen and Rockland county swinging up to our region. Should keep us in the moderate/heavy precipitation for the next couple of hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted September 2, 2021 Share Posted September 2, 2021 Holy smokes I am so glad we are not in the tornado threat area. It is now September and the flakes may start flying only 3 months or sooner from now. Looking forward to a hopefully pleasantly cool and calm fall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted September 2, 2021 Author Share Posted September 2, 2021 11 minutes ago, hudsonvalley21 said: Current radar is showing an impressive slug of moisture from Newark northwards thru Bergen and Rockland county swinging up to our region. Should keep us in the moderate/heavy precipitation for the next couple of hours. I might be just a tad too far west for that, fine by me. You guys further east certainly look to get into that though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted September 2, 2021 Share Posted September 2, 2021 I think I’ll be clipped by it. 3.60 so far. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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