Hitman Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 5 hours ago, IrishRob17 said: Is it too soon to discuss the various leathery worn out shades of green the leaves have taken on and the early droppers that have littered parts of the lawn? Please advise. Bring it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted August 30, 2021 Share Posted August 30, 2021 The maple in front has been dropping slowly for 2 weeks and is starting to show some color, the pos chokecherry in the back is dumping blighted leaves into the garden for a month and the sheer volume of berries coming down is insane. It's easily 2-3" deep under the tree and that's after thousands, millions?!, are rotting and drawing tons of wasps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted August 30, 2021 Share Posted August 30, 2021 On 8/26/2021 at 5:58 PM, IrishRob17 said: I think today was worse for me as I decided to get into an insulated jumpsuit and start chopping down the mile-a-minute that has taken off in the phragmites…I such a dumbass Sorry I missed this gem, Irish. I noticed Julian didn’t. I may just hunt down one of those insulated jumpsuits. It would offer protection, if some parts of me decide to come back to life. As always …. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted August 30, 2021 Share Posted August 30, 2021 36 minutes ago, gravitylover said: The maple in front has been dropping slowly for 2 weeks and is starting to show some color, the pos chokecherry in the back is dumping blighted leaves into the garden for a month and the sheer volume of berries coming down is insane. It's easily 2-3" deep under the tree and that's after thousands, millions?!, are rotting and drawing tons of wasps. Good morning gl. Your post inspired me, as follows: At dusk the skulking figure crept slowly over the thick layered ground. The buzzing began as he observed the target residence. Within seconds the cloud rose and surrounded him. His scream was cut off as his mouth offered another entrance for the insects. The next day the owner noticed the carpet of berries had grown considerably. They were still dropping at quite a clip and the wasps seemed to be busy making a new home right in their midst. With the loud buzzing fading the owner walked slowly back to his home silently praying for an early winter. As always … 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted August 30, 2021 Share Posted August 30, 2021 I hate wasps...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted August 30, 2021 Share Posted August 30, 2021 Yup. I'm getting worried that they're going to start making a home in the ground or somewhere less than obvious and I won't see it until it's too late. Three and a half day away with not maintenance and the garden took a beating. Mildew completely took over all 8 melon vines and the weight of tomatoes brought most of those plants down but where they aren't overrun with blight they're still flowering and producing nicely while existing fruit is still ripening slowly. Peppers are doing nicely but the beans are done. Looks like plenty more rain incoming. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted August 30, 2021 Author Share Posted August 30, 2021 Picked up .61 today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted August 30, 2021 Share Posted August 30, 2021 10 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: Picked up .61 today Beat me, 0.46 here and a rain rate of 7.28 with the line that just came thru. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted August 30, 2021 Author Share Posted August 30, 2021 33 minutes ago, hudsonvalley21 said: Beat me, 0.46 here and a rain rate of 7.28 with the line that just came thru. Peak of 8.23” here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hitman Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 Got .14”. Dew up to 76. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 Dry and warm here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 20 hours ago, IrishRob17 said: Picked up .61 today 20 hours ago, hudsonvalley21 said: Beat me, 0.46 here and a rain rate of 7.28 with the line that just came thru. Nada on this side. Around 730pm was able to get a bit of a lightning show tho looking to my N Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hitman Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 Don't recall ever seeing this in my point forecast. New precipitation amounts in excess of 4 inches possible. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 These values would be decent as snowfall accums 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 6 hours ago, snywx said: Nada on this side. Around 730pm was able to get a bit of a lightning show tho looking to my N Not such a bad thing missing out on, rare to say that often. recent runs on a few models have bumped the heavier rains up this way. Here is the18z euro as one example. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 and the 18z NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 3 hours ago, Juliancolton said: These values would be decent as snowfall accums West Milford jackpot of 5 feet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
etudiant Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 1 hour ago, hudsonvalley21 said: and the 18z NAM Seems the bulk of the system will bypass the metro area to the north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 1 hour ago, hudsonvalley21 said: and the 18z NAM South shift on the Nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: South shift on the Nam Not on the nested version, at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 From the HPC, generally 10-year return periods for 24-hour QPF but potential for 25 and even 50-year rainfall events in spots. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 There's really no "moderate" anymore, is there? Go big or go home. Precip amounts, dewpoints, snow by the foot... Howzabout we get a quarter inch of rain here and there, maybe 4-6" of snow, maybe a hot week where it gets to 87 once or twice rather than 96. Geez 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted September 1, 2021 Author Share Posted September 1, 2021 1 hour ago, gravitylover said: There's really no "moderate" anymore, is there? Go big or go home. Precip amounts, dewpoints, snow by the foot... Howzabout we get a quarter inch of rain here and there, maybe 4-6" of snow, maybe a hot week where it gets to 87 once or twice rather than 96. Geez Agreed but I think many like it this way. This kinda relates to how people like their snowfalls, say you get 48" in a season, many will say give me 2 24" storms and call it a season. I'd prefer many more smaller events spread out over the winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 What a disaster the main thread is. Terrible. Anyway... beyond the obvious issues, it's worth keeping an eye on winds late this evening. Rather potent low- to mid-level jet with 50kt+ flow not too far off the ground. We're lucky to have a deep stable layer to keep those winds aloft most of the time, but I'm sure it'll get breezy in the heaviest downpours. Some of the algorithms do show a period of 50-60 mph gusts. While one can safely discount those numbers, even a few 30 mph gusts would probably become problematic after several inches of rain. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maureen Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 14 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: What a disaster the main thread is. Terrible. Anyway... beyond the obvious issues, it's worth keeping an eye on winds late this evening. Rather potent low- to mid-level jet with 50kt+ flow not too far off the ground. We're lucky to have a deep stable layer to keep those winds aloft most of the time, but I'm sure it'll get breezy in the heaviest downpours. Some of the algorithms do show a period of 50-60 mph gusts. While one can safely discount those numbers, even a few 30 mph gusts would probably become problematic after several inches of rain. Thank you. The discussion currently is (more) about rainfall amounts. Which of course is important. More important to some of us than others! But I have been wondering about the potential for wind to be a problem as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted September 1, 2021 Author Share Posted September 1, 2021 Just hit 1.00" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 2 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: Just hit 1.00" 1.15” here How far are you from the walkill ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted September 1, 2021 Author Share Posted September 1, 2021 3 minutes ago, snywx said: 1.15” here How far are you from the walkill ? About 300 feet...but about 40 feet higher in elevation thankfully. Irene and Lee never came close to me, again, thankfully. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 4 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: About 300 feet...but about 40 feet higher in elevation thankfully. Irene and Lee never came close to me, again, thankfully. That’s great! I don’t think this will rival Irene but time will tell I guess 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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