Juliancolton Posted August 22, 2021 Share Posted August 22, 2021 39 minutes ago, gravitylover said: That would really depend on when this thing stops moving WNW and turns to the N or NE wouldn't it? I'd be ok if it just moved out or fizzled... It's pretty much fully involved with the upper trough now. Circulation is getting diffuse, but as best I can tell from surface obs, it's near New London now which implies a heading just north of due west. If you believe the GFS (and I do), the post-tropical low is stalled out over the eastern Cats by sunrise tomorrow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted August 22, 2021 Author Share Posted August 22, 2021 12 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: It's pretty much fully involved with the upper trough now. Circulation is getting diffuse, but as best I can tell from surface obs, it's near New London now which implies a heading just north of due west. If you believe the GFS (and I do), the post-tropical low is stalled out over the eastern Cats by sunrise tomorrow. Agreed, look at how far west into PA the one band is 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted August 22, 2021 Share Posted August 22, 2021 The trough is acting like a brick wall for the southern edge of the storm. It’s pretty impressive to see bands rotate in and get squeezed on that line. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted August 22, 2021 Share Posted August 22, 2021 48 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: Agreed, look at how far west into PA the one band is Aye, that inverted trough has had staying power. It's really fascinating to watch the TC/ULL interaction and how it's producing precip in different ways across the region... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted August 22, 2021 Author Share Posted August 22, 2021 Just had a legit squall go through here, dumping rain and wind, thankfully a quick mover, up to .58 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hitman Posted August 22, 2021 Share Posted August 22, 2021 Over an inch now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted August 22, 2021 Share Posted August 22, 2021 That line that just moved through rockland heading almost due south was probably the heaviest rain ive ever seen around here. Legitimately blinding rain, instantly flooded roads. Luckily it moved through quickly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted August 22, 2021 Author Share Posted August 22, 2021 1 minute ago, BxEngine said: That line that just moved through rockland heading almost due south was probably the heaviest rain ive ever seen around here. Legitimately blinding rain, instantly flooded roads. Luckily it moved through quickly. That’s the one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted August 22, 2021 Share Posted August 22, 2021 I've had some moderate to very occasionally heavy rain but it's mostly been pretty light and steady most of the day. Up to ~.8 around the hill. We were out for a while earlier and there's some damage, power was out in most of the Carmel shopping district from a downed power line and there were a few rotten branches down but that's it. Of all the places a hurricane could end up in, central CT and moving WNW is not where I would have expected. Weather is a trip... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted August 22, 2021 Share Posted August 22, 2021 0.91 in the bucket so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted August 22, 2021 Share Posted August 22, 2021 18 minutes ago, hudsonvalley21 said: 0.91 in the bucket so far. I got almost that much last hour -ish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted August 22, 2021 Share Posted August 22, 2021 41 minutes ago, BxEngine said: I got almost that much last hour -ish. That deathband that has set up east to west along the NY/NJ border and lower westchester is causing some mayhem down in your area. Flash Flood Warning National Weather Service New York NY 451 PM EDT Sun Aug 22 2021 The National Weather Service in Upton has issued a * Flash Flood Warning for... Bergen County in northeastern New Jersey... Northern Essex County in northeastern New Jersey... Passaic County in northeastern New Jersey... Bronx County in southeastern New York... New York (Manhattan) County in southeastern New York... Southeastern Orange County in southeastern New York... Rockland County in southeastern New York... Southern Westchester County in southeastern New York... * Until 845 PM EDT. * At 451 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain across the warned area. Between 2 and 4 inches of rain have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches are possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted August 22, 2021 Share Posted August 22, 2021 Looking more and more like east of the river will avoid the worst of it. I guess the wildcard is how much steam is left tomorrow when everything pivots back through, possibly reinvigorated a bit by daytime instability Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted August 22, 2021 Share Posted August 22, 2021 Some steady rain here.. Nothing too crazy yet. .80" so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted August 22, 2021 Share Posted August 22, 2021 230600- Tropical Storm Henri Local Statement Advisory Number 28 National Weather Service New York NY AL082021 548 PM EDT Sun Aug 22 2021 This product covers Southeast New York, Northeast New Jersey, and Southern Connecticut **HENRI WEAKENS A LITTLE MORE WHILE MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL CONNECTICUT** NEW INFORMATION --------------- * CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - The Tropical Storm Warning has been cancelled for Northeast Suffolk, Northern Fairfield, Northern Middlesex, Northern Nassau, Northern New Haven, Northern New London, Northern Westchester, Northwest Suffolk, Southeast Suffolk, Southern Fairfield, Southern Middlesex, Southern Nassau, Southern New Haven, Southern New London, Southern Westchester, and Southwest Suffolk * CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - None * STORM INFORMATION: - About 100 miles northeast of New York City NY or about 50 miles northwest of Montauk Point NY - 41.6N 72.4W - Storm Intensity 40 mph - Movement West-northwest or 290 degrees at 7 mph SITUATION OVERVIEW ------------------ At 5 PM EDT, the center of Tropical Storm Henri was located near Colchester CT. Henri is moving toward the west-northwest near 7 mph, and on its forecast track, Henri is expected to slow down further and possibly stall near the Connecticut-New York border tonight, then move across northern Connecticut or southern Massachusetts by Monday afternoon. The main threat from Henri is now heavy rain capable of producing flash flooding. The threat of rough seas, high surf, and dangerous rip currents continues at the ocean beaches. Widespread rainfall of 3 to 6 inches is forecast in the path of Henri with localized higher amounts possible. The highest amounts are forecast to occur across the lower Hudson Valley western Connecticut, and northeast New Jersey. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted August 22, 2021 Share Posted August 22, 2021 Pouring again. If we didnt have that couple hour break we’d be in really deep doodoo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted August 22, 2021 Author Share Posted August 22, 2021 1.38” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted August 22, 2021 Share Posted August 22, 2021 1.10” in the bucket.. areas just south of here in Sussex/W Passaic are in deep s**t 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted August 22, 2021 Share Posted August 22, 2021 1.5 with heavy rain for the last half hour or so. I'm betting there's some flooded roads below me on the hill, it's really coming down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted August 22, 2021 Author Share Posted August 22, 2021 Radar filling in around my neck of the woods, up to 1.72” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted August 23, 2021 Share Posted August 23, 2021 Well over 3.5” at this point. Just lost power. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycemt123 Posted August 23, 2021 Share Posted August 23, 2021 Well over 3.5” at this point. Just lost power. Where at?Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted August 23, 2021 Share Posted August 23, 2021 55 minutes ago, snywx said: 1.10” in the bucket.. areas just south of here in Sussex/W Passaic are in deep s**t 1.55 here so far. Upton’s QPF map form 7pm tonight thru Thursday. So I assume they are throwing this on top what’s already fallen. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted August 23, 2021 Share Posted August 23, 2021 Henri's LLC was near Torrington at the day's last visible satellite frames. There's also some kind of mesoscale circulation over southern Orange that appears to be enhancing precip rates. Little spokes of heavier echoes rotating around it 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted August 23, 2021 Author Share Posted August 23, 2021 2.01” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted August 23, 2021 Share Posted August 23, 2021 1 hour ago, BxEngine said: Pouring again. If we didnt have that couple hour break we’d be in really deep doodoo Agree. Gave a chance for some to runoff or be absorbed. Pouring here now too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted August 23, 2021 Share Posted August 23, 2021 9 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: Henri's LLC was near Torrington at the day's last visible satellite frames. There's also some kind of mesoscale circulation over southern Orange that appears to be enhancing precip rates. Little spokes of heavier echoes rotating around it Yup, agree with the enhancement. With the slow movement , I think it’s spin and dump time here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted August 23, 2021 Share Posted August 23, 2021 5 minutes ago, hudsonvalley21 said: Yup the slow movement , I think it’s spin and dump time here Yeah, tonight is gonna suck for a lot of spots. Hopefully all stay alert tonight in case the the need to bail quickly arises. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted August 23, 2021 Share Posted August 23, 2021 Just now, Juliancolton said: Yeah, tonight is gonna suck for a lot of spots. Hopefully all stay alert tonight in case the the need to bail quickly arises. Totally agree. Will be sleeping with one eye open tonight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted August 23, 2021 Share Posted August 23, 2021 Pouring now.. 1.8” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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