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January Banter 2021


Eskimo Joe
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1 hour ago, Hypothetical 240 hour snow said:

 

I would guess that 0.5qpf is more of a function of spatial averaging done to arrive at the ensemble mean, some members are going to have the band placement in different locations etc. There is no way the max water totals where the def band sets up will be that low.

 

Although it is more relevant for CAMs (because warm-season convection is smaller scale and generally more spatially heterogeneous).. probability matched mean is a better tool in instances like this where the placement of discrete features comes into play.

How do you go from what you posted a hour ago to this? This is great posting. Am I living in a Twilight Zone? Wtf

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Just curious, as someone who wants to learn...

Where did everyone get all of their knowledge from? I assume just a long time of exposure to it allows you to learn, and not skipping an opportunity to learn something new helps? Is there anything that would help immediately to learn a bit more other than listen?

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