H2O Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, mappy said: you said it not me inb4u said it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 I will try to post pics of tomorrow’s event down here. Just had WWA issued for 2-4”. With this particular system it’s worth noting the models ended up trending toward the GFS solution. Something to keep in mind. Nam was bone dry and now has a decent slug of moisture coming through. GFS the snowiest. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 5 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said: I will try to post pics of tomorrow’s event down here. Just had WWA issued for 2-4”. With this particular system it’s worth noting the models ended up trending toward the GFS solution. Something to keep in mind. Nam was bone dry and now has a decent slug of moisture coming through. GFS the snowiest. Dang I just looked up your town...you're way down there! Good luck tomorrow!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 1 minute ago, leesburg 04 said: Dang I just looked up your town...you're way down there! Good luck tomorrow!! Yea Disc and I are same area basically when you see him post. We’re definitely southwestern most portion of the forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 40 minutes ago, H2O said: @mappy "H2O is old enough to have seen Honus Wagner AND Mickey Mantle play!!!" I attended Pee Wee Reese and Roy Campanella nights in old Ebbets Field Brooklyn in the mid 50’s. No problem admitting such on age tolerant forums. As always .... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 It went from a 40" blizzard (not that I expected that to hold) to some slop and rain for 2 days. Ahhh.. 2020-21 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 I gotta say since Ralph and Wentz have been posting in this forum forever and a day they sort of kinda belong here but lately they have been real dolts and it's obviously because they have been on the northern fringe of the models. I'm sure they might try to respond with a no i'm not but it's too obvious. My bigger point is if for some reason you feel like posting in another regions forum don't come in with the negatives...we all know them it's our place to point them out not yours. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 1 hour ago, Buddy1987 said: Yea Disc and I are same area basically when you see him post. We’re definitely southwestern most portion of the forum. Clearly I need to learn my geography....I always assumed you were in SE VA lol. I thought I passed a Salem, VA en route to OBX every summer....oops Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toolsheds Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 11 hours ago, Lucketts said: Have a nice Nolan Ryan card from that year I have an 83 Nolan Ryan card I sent to the Astros and he signed it and sent it back. Need to look through my boxed of old cards and find it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Calling it now. The one EPS member that was over Fairfax, VA and skewed the temps will be the 12z operational. And then this place will die. Or maybe the most east member. Not sure. Wish there was a way to figure this stuff out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 1 minute ago, H2O said: Calling it now. The one EPS member that was over Fairfax, VA and skewed the temps will be the 12z operational. And then this place will die. Or maybe the most east member. Not sure. Wish there was a way to figure this stuff out. and i'll end up complaining about rain snow lines when I know I shouldn't this far out. Got fooled by the 6z eps's warm-skewed outliers. Now that I've had my coffee I feel better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 I think this guy is on to something! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 12z Suite scorecard... ICON --- disaster (w/ bargaining over maybe its thermals are their usual trash) GFS ---- CMC === UKIE ---- EURO ---- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 its not only predictable but also comical Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Gonna follow the ups and downs here. The opening bid was...NOT ICONic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 3 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: Gonna follow the ups and downs here. The opening bid was...NOT ICONic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 This is going to be another one of those I don't give a shit what it does storms after tracking for a week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 12z Suite scorecard...(0 for 2 as of 11 am) ICON --- disaster (w/ bargaining over maybe its thermals are their usual trash) GFS ---- primary holds on too long aiming for Ohio which, why? I grew up in Ohio and nothing should aim for there. Miller B hell, some snow front end, but meh if you are big game hunting, okay if you want 4+ inches or so.. CMC --- UKIE ---- EURO ---- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Man, I'm so glad people were too worried about southern suppression Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Wrote something that ya’ll might enjoy. Relevant to our work here, haha. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Next.. so, what's the next fantasy storm we're watching? This one is obviously getting flushed just like the rest of the garbage is horrible season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 If there were to be bad trends, now's the time to do it. At least make me feel better by having the whole subforum dealing with sleet/rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said: Looks like I came back at the right time You're going to be pretty busy in the panic room if this fails. This is probably our last and best chance of the winter before the pattern change occurs. Maybe if the reload occurs then we get another opportunity to track the next rainstorm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 What a train wreck. And, who knew the 95 corridor mixes in big storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 12z Suite scorecard...(1 for 3 as of 11:30 am am) ICON --- disaster (w/ bargaining over maybe its thermals are their usual trash) GFS ---- primary holds on too long aiming for Ohio which, why? I grew up in Ohio and nothing should aim for there. Miller B hell, some snow front end, but meh if you are big game hunting, okay if you want 4+ inches or so.. CMC ---a hit! area-wide 6+ inches with upwards to a foot some places but also genuine concern for our friends on the lowlands SE of 95 for mix or rain at the transfer. UKIE ---- EURO ---- 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 So the MA snowstorm tracking book is written and follows along like this. Chapter 1: 1 million PATTERN IS GREAT posts, no storm Chapter 2: Models have day 10 storm but everyone is jaded and caveats apply Chapter 3: One model sniffs it out 5 days ahead(usually with an unrealistic run) Chapter 4: Other models slowly catch on and trends are attempted to be made Chapter 5: People freak over fringed and suppression and how snow maps don't repeat the same totals from ONE run Chapter 6: Many of the burned know whats coming but stay quiet or try to temper things because too amped/too wrong a track spells doom for fall line east Chapter 7: models start to shit the bed except for usual areas Chapter 8: models hone in on track and amounts Chapter 9: Same areas get what they always do when they didn't need to fret one damn bit Chapter 10: DC rains when all is said and done because thats what it does We are in chapter 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DanTheMan Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Long duration events are my absolute favorite, ill even sacrifice totals (to an extent) for 60 hours of light/mod snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 I expect only 3-6'' from this storm, then the usual changeover to rain while N&W get a foot of snow. Then a cutter than an overrunning rainstorm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 GFS coming in with the 384 special? Not quite, but lots of tracking upcoming. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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