LP08 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, nj2va said: God save the queen! Although some people swear by the UK, I never think its a good model lol But it’s #2 at 500! Can’t say I’ve ever said to myself after a storm...wow the Ukie sure nailed that one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 1 minute ago, nj2va said: God save the queen! Although some people swear by the UK, I never think its a good model lol UKMET 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 lol Hypo moved up to the Philly forum to make his troll posts 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
benjammin Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 As the Ukie goes so goes the Euro... Sometimes..Sent from my motorola edge plus using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 I’ll wait for the euro, then probably cry myself to sleep or something. I say this with a smile on my face. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 I’m watching the The Net right now with Sandra Bullock. Throwback movie and such a good, underrated movie. “Just give us the disk Angela, and we’ll give you your life back.” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 For real tonight though... the biggest EURO run EVER 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 I think 53 and 240 should have forecast contest, each can make ridiculous comments that are are off the wall awful, and the winner gets a box........ 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve25 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Definitely banter, but I'm stressing over temps IMBY basically not dropping at all tonight due to nagging cloud cover, which may lead to temps being a little warmer than expected tomorrow and so on and so forth. A couple degrees could make a huge difference yada yada Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 5 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: It sounds counter intuitive but it’s a complicated setup. The suppressive flow is relaxing. As it does eventually the coastal storm will amplify, phase and get captured. Once that it will stall and tuck and where that happens to the NW is where the heavy snow will develop. Illustrated below by the ggem. the capture/tuck was perfect there for DC northeast. The heavy snow is banding in the deformation axis where there is the convergence of winds and sheer at different levels. Look at how the winds ahead of the h5 h85 and surface levels all converge on that zone. Additionally you have moisture transport into that zone from the east. So you add moisture, instability and lift from convergence and that death band is what you get! But one issue on some guidance is the h5 opens up as it presses up against the shear from that suppression and because of that the transfer process is delayed and so the low doesn’t phase and capture until further northeast up the coast? I give you the NAM same scenario but the low is further northeast at the same time AND it never really got its act together and synced at at all levels like the rgem/ggem did. The result is the ensuing snow bands set up north. But yes suppression had a part in that. It’s delicate though. The suppression is easing. If it eased too soon the primary could hang on too long. If it suppressed initially we lose some of the WAA wave then the coastal front could be further southeast and the secondary will develop further ots. It’s a tricky balance. Miller Bs are a pain in the a$$ compared to muller As to pin down. If this was a juiced up gulf low we probably would have a better idea how it’s going to go by now. But guidance has a notoriously difficult time with transfers and phases. I’ll never forget how EVERY model was giving be a 6-10” snow from the CCB in early March 2018 only about 12 hours out and then the whole thing shifted northeast and I didn’t get a flake from the coastal. On the other hand a similar storm in Feb 1996 was supposed to hit NJ and crushed DC with no warning. I never count on a ccb from a miller b secondary until it’s snowing from it. 1 12 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 2 minutes ago, wawarriors4 said: I think 53 and 240 should have forecast contest, each can make ridiculous comments that are are off the wall awful, and the winner gets a box........ Such a great movie 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fourseasons Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 I had no idea the CMC and Ukie were not adult models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 God save the queen! Although some people swear by the UK, I never think its a good model lolUK nailed some Hurricane track once. I want to say Maria. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blueberryfaygo Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: holy shit thats funny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, fourseasons said: I had no idea the CMC and Ukie were not adult models. They are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fourseasons Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 6 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: They are. Sorry, just sarcastically saying something in relation to a comment in the other thread since if I said it over there it would be deleted. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 16 minutes ago, stormtracker said: That’s hilarious and so true! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blueberryfaygo Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 8 minutes ago, wxtrix said: How much for St Croix? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 well 00z euro has started... may the odds be ever in our favor Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Euro rolling. Fully expect 2 feet for PSU/north. I’m good with a warning event here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 lol remember when there were no regional sub forums and we were trying to do model threads? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
benjammin Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 ^I bet that was a lot of fun. Sent from my motorola edge plus using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, benjammin said: ^I bet that was a lot of fun. Sent from my motorola edge plus using Tapatalk it was a ****in shit show Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 lol this guy must be new here 2 minutes ago, CavalierHoo said: Why such a passive aggressive approach to this guy for the second time tonight? The UKMET is further south and lower in totals than most models. I'm sure you know this. Can't people post their opinions in this thread without a douchy comment? Practically half of the posts in this thread are about IMBY. Seems like the regulars get away with this.....regularly, without any gruff. Lighten up dude. Enjoy the snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
benjammin Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 it was a ****in shit showShocking...Sent from my motorola edge plus using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 they need to beef up the EC2 instances that the Euro seems to be running on - too slow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Winners of this run might be the people who went to sleep already. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blueberryfaygo Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 5 minutes ago, pazzo83 said: they need to beef up the EC2 instances that the Euro seems to be running on - too slow. F-it they should just run it on Lambda 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 43 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: That’s hilarious and so true! You know I love you bro and it's all in good fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deer Whisperer Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 These swings are wild. Late yesterday seemed to spark panik, 12-18 today was pandamonium, 0z back to panik... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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