nj2va Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, wawarriors4 said: Yeah, I have been following that. I've been hoping to get the WAA part as juiced up as possible, in EZF we get back side lovin as frequently as the Flyers win the Stanley Cup Yup, same for me. Give me like 0.5-0.6” QPF as snow Sunday and I could give two Fs what happens with the coastal. Miller Bs hate DC and the trends 00z show why. And eeeeeek, I just realized you’re a Flyers fan (makes sense with the profile picture!). You just lost a few points for me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 5 minutes ago, mappy said: I’ve got nothing of value to add to the main thread, but lol at the cmc, 2.5” qpf imby Not sure why anyone on the board from BWI north isn't smoking a cig and staring dreamily at that. Weird to see complaining/worry from anyone Route 32 and north after a run like that. That's close to max potential for us. Beyond, even. Not gonna happen, obviously, but fun to see a crazy run from one of the models this close in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 5 minutes ago, nj2va said: Yup, same for me. Give me like 0.5-0.6” QPF as snow Sunday and I could give two Fs what happens with the coastal. Miller Bs hate DC and the trends 00z show why. And eeeeeek, I just realized you’re a Flyers fan (makes sense with the profile picture!). You just lost a few points for me. Yeah, I know suppression was talked about a whole bunch, and for a while things moved South, but having lived near Fredericksburg now since 2009-2010 pretty much, I've come to know what usually happens and that's that the CCB pummels NE MD and North of here in general, so I'll take my Snow on the front end and be happy. #JuiceUpTheWAA 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, losetoa6 said: 2.5"....It's not farfetched...that's what's awesome about it . The general h5 setup argues for a biggie . Someone will get crushed with feet no doubt about it . ha, if only! I’ll happily take the gfs output that psu so clearly defined with his precip maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, North Balti Zen said: Not sure why anyone on the board from BWI north isn't smoking a cig and staring dreamily at that. Weird to see complaining/worry from anyone Route 32 and north after a run like that. That's close to max potential for us. Beyond, even. Not gonna happen, obviously, but fun to see a crazy run from one of the models this close in. The cmc, icon and regem were all 2” or more qpf imby. Just stupid wet lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 I’ll post the kuchera map from weather bell when it loads for the cmc but holy hell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, North Balti Zen said: Not sure why anyone on the board from BWI north isn't smoking a cig and staring dreamily at that. Weird to see complaining/worry from anyone Route 32 and north after a run like that. That's close to max potential for us. Beyond, even. Not gonna happen, obviously, but fun to see a crazy run from one of the models this close in. I think part of it is because this whole setup and the various scenarios between the WAA and the CCB is kinda confusing (I mean it is for me, at least), so it's a little hard to know where your yard is at outside of the snowfall maps themselves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, mappy said: The cmc, icon and regem were all 2” or more qpf imby. Just stupid wet lol Your wedding weekend dealie was that wet, right? I recall Dec. 2009 storm being more QPF than the Feb. ones. We need to herd some of the Balt worriers out of the disco thread by the way... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowchaser Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 This my call for Saturday night - Tuesday. Most of us if not all of us should see 6”+ imo. This storm should bring a smile to all of our faces 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 1 minute ago, LP08 said: I’ll post the kuchera map from weather bell when it loads for the cmc but holy hell. Holy hell for some random poster in PA or for us too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, nj2va said: Holy hell for some random poster in PA or for us too? Mostly Baltimore friends up to PSU, Losetoa6, and Mappy but we do alright. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just for posterity but goodness. Still some light snow falling too hah.could we suppress that... I dunno... 50 to 100 miles south and slightly west? 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gopper Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 2 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: Not sure why anyone on the board from BWI north isn't smoking a cig and staring dreamily at that. Weird to see complaining/worry after a run like that. That's close to max potential for us. Beyond, even. Not gonna happen, obviously, but fun to see a crazy run from one of the models this close in. Probably not, but it is on the table. Wish we could see 2 feet from VA to PA, but some will be blessed and some will lose. Hoping Baltimore is blessed!! I do fear this thing ends up north and we get missed from the backside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 I pledge allegiance... 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, Maestrobjwa said: I think part of it is because this whole setup and the various scenarios between the WAA and the CCB is kinda confusing (I mean it is for me, at least), so it's a little hard to know where your yard is at outside of the snowfall maps themselves. Strong system pumping good QPF and an early stout transfer would be ideal, tucked into the coast. I don't know that it is ALWAYS related, but in this particular set-up, weaker system with less qpf on the front end is resulting in a sloppier later transfer and late CCB. See, the NAMs. But they are mostly on their own on that right now. Just take the CMC somewhere private and be happy for an hour before something else causes worry. I think we can be safe in expecting warning level snow Sunday and Monday. Let's start there for Balt City... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 1 minute ago, North Balti Zen said: Your wedding weekend dealie was that wet, right? I recall Dec. 2009 storm being more QPF than the Feb. ones. We need to herd some of the Balt worriers out of the disco thread by the way... 22” where we got married in Frederick county. Couldn’t tell you what kind of setup it was, I was pretty preoccupied the week prior 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Random question here that I've been meaning to ask for awhile. What really is the difference between the 10:1 and Kuchera methods? Well, obviously 10:1 is what it says (and it includes sleet). But does Kuchera take into account sleet, dryness of the snow, varying ratios over time, etc.? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, mappy said: 22” where we got married in Frederick county. Couldn’t tell you what kind of setup it was, I was pretty preoccupied the week prior Some of the sat pics from the Dec 2009 storm showed the moisture flow back to Hawaii I think. That one was a QPF monster compared to the Feb ones, I think. Hope the CMC is right on QPF and temps, would benefit most of our forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deer Whisperer Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: could we suppress that... I dunno... 50 to 100 miles south and slightly west? I mean it doesn't seem like too much of an ask. One can hope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: could we suppress that... I dunno... 50 to 100 miles south and slightly west? That would be great, but I’m not holding out hope. This comes to mind..... 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, wawarriors4 said: That would be great, but I’m not holding out hope. This comes to mind..... lol you yanked this from Twitter 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, mappy said: lol you yanked this from Twitter A buddy of mine sent it to me earlier today, but yeah I'm sure it's on twitter too, it's comical. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 5 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: could we suppress that... I dunno... 50 to 100 miles south and slightly west? South, south, south! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 1 minute ago, North Balti Zen said: Some of the sat pics from the Dec 2009 storm showed the moisture flow back to Hawaii I think. That one was a QPF monster compared to the Feb ones, I think. Hope the CMC is right on QPF and temps, would benefit most of our forum. l do remember it snowing its ass off late morning and midday. Getting buzzed on mimosas, doing girly shit, watching the snow just fall and fall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, wawarriors4 said: A buddy of mine sent it to me earlier today, but yeah I'm sure it's on twitter too, it's comical. Pretty sure it’s from stormchasernick. He’s a CT wx weenie and is well know for his photoshops 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Demeter Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Ukie brings back better hope for us down here. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 1 minute ago, mappy said: Pretty sure it’s from stormchasernick. He’s a CT wx weenie and is well know for his photoshops Ahh got ya, I'll have to find the tweet/follow his twitter handle. @mappy yep, there it is, thanks for the info on a good new twitter follow. https://twitter.com/stormchasernick/status/1354822836267798528?s=20 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 6 minutes ago, Always in Zugzwang said: Random question here that I've been meaning to ask for awhile. What really is the difference between the 10:1 and Kuchera methods? Well, obviously 10:1 is what it says (and it includes sleet). But does Kuchera take into account sleet, dryness of the snow, varying ratios over time, etc.? Someone answered that Here at this link, not a ton of info out there on it, but the math makes sense to me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 1 minute ago, LP08 said: God save the queen! Although some people swear by the UK, I never think its a good model lol 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DanTheMan Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 All Hail King Ukie!!!!! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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